Inter Miami CF vs DC United 4-0

MLSMLS 2026

Inter Miami CF

4–0

HT 2–0

DC United

Sat 10 Oct·17:30·Nu Stadium·Inter Miami CF won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners2
17Shots15
9Shots on target2
17Fouls6
12Throw-ins9
0Offsides1
11Goal kicks5
2Saves5
10Tackles10
5Interceptions8
6Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Board

Matches

1 match

17:30Inter Miami CFvDC UnitedMLS5 won / 5 lost · +0.07u · 10 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.157 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +9.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +9.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.8%EV+9.1%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.8%EV+9.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.8%EV+9.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.8%EV+15.2%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.8%EV+7.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.8%EV+14.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 10.5 at 2.15 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Inter Miami CF total

Open match →FreeLost

over 6.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.057 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+12.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.1%EV+6.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.1%EV+9.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+15.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.8%EV-0.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.98
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.8%EV+0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 6.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · DC United total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.258 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+13.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.0%EV+20.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+8.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.0%EV+20.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.0%EV+18.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV-6.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV+13.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 3.5 at 2.25 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon

under 24.5Actual: 23+0.87u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.879 Oct, 04:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.5%EV+0.5%
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.9%EV+8.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.5%EV+0.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 04:47: under 24.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · DC United total

Open match →FreeWon

under 12.5Actual: 6+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.909 Oct, 09:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+1.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-1.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:34: under 12.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 30.5Actual: 32+1.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.058 Oct, 17:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 30.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+8.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:42: over 30.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Inter Miami CF total

Open match →VIPLost

over 19.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.178 Oct, 17:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +27.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +27.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 19.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+27.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:42: over 19.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 16:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 11.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.278 Oct, 17:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+3.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+13.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+22.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV-8.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.93
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+1.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 17:42: over 11.5 at 2.27 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Inter Miami CF total

Open match →FreeWon

over 7.5Actual: 9+1.28u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.287 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +32.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +32.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+21.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+31.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+0.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.6%EV+10.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.9%EV+32.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.9%EV+37.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 7.5 at 2.28 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 17:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · DC United total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+0.97u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.977 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+6.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+0.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.5%EV-14.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.5%EV-19.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 3.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+0.7%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit+0.07units

W / L5 / 5picks

Avg odds2.10settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLS Home teamInter Miami CF Away teamDC United RefereeSzpala, Lukasz

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Inter Miami CF total

Corners · DC United total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · DC United total

Shots · match total

Shots · Inter Miami CF total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Inter Miami CF total

Shots on target · DC United total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings