Grêmio vs Internacional 1-1 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Grêmio

1–1

HT 0–1

Internacional

Sun 11 Oct·14:30·Matchday 30·Arena do Grêmio·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners5
3Cards3
12Shots14
3Shots on target3
10Fouls26
20Throw-ins16
2Offsides0
10Goal kicks13
2Saves2
13Tackles20
7Interceptions14
8Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available7Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

14:30GrêmiovInternacionalBrasileirão Série A3 won / 7 lost · −3.85u · 10 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 6+1.15u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1511 Oct, 08:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 78.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.28
Expected value at recommendation: +68.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 78.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.28. Expected value at recommendation: +68.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance78.1%EV+61.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance78.1%EV+68.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.5%EV+78.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.5%EV+74.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.5%EV+59.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance77.5%EV+78.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 08:36: under 6.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Grêmio total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.259 Oct, 14:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +40.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +40.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+16.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.3%EV+40.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+25.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.8%EV+45.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 14:47: under 2.5 at 2.25 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Internacional total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.289 Oct, 14:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +38.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +38.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.9%EV+39.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.9%EV+47.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.5%EV+38.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance70.6%EV+79.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 14:47: under 2.5 at 2.28 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 11+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+14.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+9.1%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+9.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+9.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+14.8%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.98
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV+7.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV+1.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Grêmio total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +24.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +24.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.2%EV+24.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.2%EV+21.2%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV+0.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV-2.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV+13.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV-2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.3%EV+8.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 29.5Actual: 36−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8210 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 73.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.37
Expected value at recommendation: +33.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 73.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.37. Expected value at recommendation: +33.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 29.5
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.1%EV+33.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: under 29.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 02:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Internacional total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 26−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1211 Oct, 02:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 64.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.56
Expected value at recommendation: +36.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +36.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 14.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.3%EV+36.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: under 14.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 26−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1210 Oct, 01:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +16.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +16.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+16.0%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.08
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.2%EV+0.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:47: over 28.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 15:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Grêmio total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.359 Oct, 14:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +31.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +31.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+7.0%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+31.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.8%EV+2.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.8%EV+14.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 14:47: over 14.5 at 2.35 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 15:04. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Grêmio total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.089 Oct, 14:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.08
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.0%EV+12.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.9%EV-19.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.9%EV-19.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.9%EV-11.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 14:47: over 4.5 at 2.08 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 15:04. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−38.5%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit−3.85units

W / L3 / 7picks

Avg odds2.12settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamGrêmio Away teamInternacional RefereeRodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Grêmio total

Cards · Internacional total

Corners · match total

Corners · Grêmio total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Internacional total

Shots · match total

Shots · Grêmio total

Shots on target · Grêmio total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

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