Genoa vs Fiorentina 2-1 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Genoa

2–1

HT 2–0

Fiorentina

Sat 10 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·Luigi Ferraris, Genoa·Genoa won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners4
5Cards3
10Shots13
4Shots on target3
11Fouls10
15Throw-ins25
2Offsides2
13Goal kicks7
3Saves2
23Tackles19
8Interceptions3
5Dribbles10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00GenoavFiorentinaSerie A7 won / 13 lost · −5.06u · 20 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.427 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +21.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +21.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.42
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+21.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.4%EV+22.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.4%EV+22.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.4%EV+22.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.4%EV+15.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 3.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +17.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +17.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.3%EV+17.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV+1.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV+1.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV+1.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.74
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.6%EV+7.1%
15 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Genoa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +23.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +23.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.9%EV+23.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.8%EV+12.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.8%EV+12.5%
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.5%EV-45.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.5%EV-45.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.5%EV-45.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.5%EV-45.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.5%EV-44.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:28. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Genoa total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 3+1.45u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.458 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +33.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +33.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+33.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+27.7%
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+33.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+24.9%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+30.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.3%EV+38.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 2.45 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Fiorentina total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.808 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +57.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +57.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.3%EV+57.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.3%EV+60.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation3.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.3%EV+102.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.2%EV+62.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.2%EV+65.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 5.5 at 2.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 22.5Actual: 21+2.05u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.059 Oct, 05:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +71.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +71.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
At recommendation3.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.3%EV+71.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:42: under 22.5 at 3.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 02:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Genoa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 11+0.83u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.837 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 76.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.31
Expected value at recommendation: +40.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 76.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.31. Expected value at recommendation: +40.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance76.6%EV+40.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance78.7%EV+33.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance78.7%EV+45.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance78.7%EV+45.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 12.5 at 1.83 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Fiorentina total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 10+0.83u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.837 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.5%EV+28.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.6%EV+16.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance70.0%EV+40.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance70.0%EV+40.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 12.5 at 1.83 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Genoa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 0.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.758 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+39.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 0.5
At recommendation2.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+46.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 0.5
At recommendation2.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+36.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 0.5
At recommendation2.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+36.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 0.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+44.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 0.5 at 2.75 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Saves · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 5+0.90u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.909 Oct, 05:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +4.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +4.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+4.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.9%EV-34.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:42: under 6.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 09:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 23−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.227 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +20.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +20.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.16
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.4%EV+11.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+20.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 28.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Genoa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +24.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +24.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.3%EV+41.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.1%EV+24.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.8%EV-32.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.8%EV-43.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.8%EV-39.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance28.8%EV-40.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 13.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Genoa total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 13.5Actual: 10+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 78.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.29
Expected value at recommendation: +48.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 78.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.29. Expected value at recommendation: +48.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 13.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance78.0%EV+48.9%
KambiClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.2%EV+10.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.2%EV+19.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.2%EV+10.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.2%EV+17.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.2%EV+10.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.2%EV-0.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 13.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Fiorentina total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.918 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 78.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.29
Expected value at recommendation: +49.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 78.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.29. Expected value at recommendation: +49.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance78.0%EV+49.0%
KambiClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance84.2%EV+61.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance84.2%EV+102.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance84.2%EV+131.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance84.2%EV+97.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance84.2%EV+74.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 14.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.009 Oct, 09:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +4.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+5.7%
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.2%EV+4.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+11.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+11.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+13.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:34: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Genoa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.109 Oct, 09:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +11.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +11.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.9%EV+11.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.9%EV+6.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.9%EV+6.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.9%EV+4.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance35.6%EV-32.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance35.6%EV-32.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance35.6%EV-32.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:34: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Genoa total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.358 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +26.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +26.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.6%EV+26.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.9%EV+7.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.9%EV+10.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.9%EV+5.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.32
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.9%EV+4.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 2.35 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Fiorentina total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 3+0.97u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.977 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+4.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.0%EV-46.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.0%EV-50.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.0%EV-50.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.0%EV-44.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.0%EV-52.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 40.5Actual: 40−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.609 Oct, 05:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +31.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 40.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+10.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 40.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+31.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 40.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.3%EV+13.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:42: over 40.5 at 2.60 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Genoa total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 19.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.259 Oct, 05:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +27.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +27.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 19.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.6%EV+27.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV+18.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV+9.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:42: over 19.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−25.3%ROI · 20 units staked

Profit−5.06units

W / L7 / 13picks

Avg odds2.22settled picks

Recorded picks201 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamGenoa Away teamFiorentina RefereeFabio Maresca

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · Genoa total

Corners · Genoa total

Corners · Fiorentina total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Genoa total

Fouls · Fiorentina total

Goals · Genoa total

Saves · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Genoa total

Shots · Genoa total

Shots · Fiorentina total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Genoa total

Shots on target · Genoa total

Shots on target · Fiorentina total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Genoa total

This match

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