Frosinone vs Sassuolo 4-2 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Frosinone

4–2

HT 3–2

Sassuolo

Fri 16 Oct·12:45·Matchday 7·Stadio Benito Stirpe·Frosinone won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners4
0Cards1
21Shots14
10Shots on target6
13Fouls11
23Throw-ins19
3Offsides3
5Goal kicks15
4Saves6
20Tackles17
10Interceptions10
4Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available5Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45FrosinonevSassuoloSerie A1 won / 5 lost · −4.15u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1413 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +9.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +9.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +4.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.14
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+9.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+3.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+1.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+1.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+1.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+9.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+6.4%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 10.5 at 2.14 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sassuolo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1012 Oct, 18:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +15.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +15.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+15.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+2.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV-3.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV+5.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV-3.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV+16.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV+9.0%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · Frosinone total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1016 Oct, 03:50

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +9.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +9.6%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 79 settled picksand +11.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.2%EV+4.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.2%EV+9.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.2%EV+9.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV+10.7%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 03:50: over 8.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · Sassuolo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 3+0.85u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8516 Oct, 02:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 108 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.0%EV+1.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.9%EV+4.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.33
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.9%EV-27.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.9%EV-1.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 02:47: over 1.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Sassuolo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9114 Oct, 00:52

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 131 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+0.1%
CrocobetAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.2%EV+14.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation2.28
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.5%EV+19.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+26.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+20.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+15.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 00:52: over 15.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 02:13. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 36.5Actual: 42−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9016 Oct, 03:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +6.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +6.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 410 settled picksand +1.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 36.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+6.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 36.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+6.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 36.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+1.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 03:00: under 36.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−69.2%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−4.15units

W / L1 / 5picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamFrosinone Away teamSassuolo RefereeMatteo Marchetti

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Sassuolo total

Goal kicks · Frosinone total

Offsides · Sassuolo total

Shots · Sassuolo total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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