Flamengo vs Fluminense 1-0 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Flamengo

1–0

HT 0–0

Fluminense

Sun 11 Oct·14:30·Matchday 30·Estádio do Maracanã·Flamengo won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners2
3Cards4
17Shots11
6Shots on target3
21Fouls18
10Throw-ins21
6Goal kicks13
3Saves5
18Tackles20
10Interceptions8
2Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

14:30FlamengovFluminenseBrasileirão Série A2 won / 3 lost · −1.09u · 5 picks

Cards · Fluminense total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.129 Oct, 14:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +13.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +13.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+32.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+38.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.4%EV+13.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.72
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+49.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 14:47: under 2.5 at 2.12 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Flamengo total

Open match →FreeWon

under 6.5Actual: 4+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+3.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+0.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+2.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV-0.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.72
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV-2.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.7%EV+8.9%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 6.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPLost

under 26.5Actual: 39−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8510 Oct, 14:27

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 68.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.46
Expected value at recommendation: +26.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 68.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.46. Expected value at recommendation: +26.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 26.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.6%EV+26.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 14:27: under 26.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 02:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Fluminense total

Open match →FreeLost

under 13.5Actual: 18−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0211 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 76.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.31
Expected value at recommendation: +54.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 76.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.31. Expected value at recommendation: +54.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 13.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance76.4%EV+54.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 13.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Flamengo total

Open match →VIPWon

under 17.5Actual: 17+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 03:56

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+5.5%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-6.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-6.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV+12.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:56: under 17.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 12:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−21.8%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit−1.09units

W / L2 / 3picks

Avg odds1.98settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamFlamengo Away teamFluminense RefereeRafael Rodrigo Klein

Matches

Cards · Fluminense total

Corners · Flamengo total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Fluminense total

Shots · Flamengo total

This match

Around this match

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