FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution — MLS
MLSMLS 2026
Wed 14 Oct··TQL Stadium·New England Revolution won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 12Corners5
- 3Cards1
- 21Shots10
- 9Shots on target5
- 8Fouls7
- 29Throw-ins14
- 2Offsides4
- 4Goal kicks7
- 2Saves7
- 5Tackles10
- 3Interceptions11
- 3Dribbles6
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
FC CincinnativNew England RevolutionMLS2 won / 2 lost · −0.08u · 4 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.90
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 114 settled picksand +2.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance52.8%EV+5.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance50.7%EV-6.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance50.7%EV-6.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.853 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance50.7%EV-3.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance50.7%EV-1.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.954 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance50.7%EV-1.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
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Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 19:50: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 22:47. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 68.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.46
- Expected value at recommendation
- +32.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 68.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.46. Expected value at recommendation: +32.3%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 230 settled picksand +9.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
Model chance68.9%EV+32.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.92Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
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Recommendation record
Recorded 14 Oct, 05:48: under 22.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 08:24. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.88
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +0.2%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
Model chance53.3%EV+0.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.88Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance47.1%EV-2.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.075 bookmaker lines available.
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Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 10.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:10. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 50.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 2.00
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
Model chance50.1%EV+1.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.02Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance45.4%EV-10.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.983 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 13 Oct, 03:42: under 4.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 04:32. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions
This match
Around this match
Previous meetings
- Sun 15 MarNew England Revolution 6-1 FC Cincinnati
- Sat 14 JunNew England Revolution 0-1 FC Cincinnati
- Sat 5 AprFC Cincinnati 1-0 New England Revolution
- Sat 22 JunFC Cincinnati 1-2 New England Revolution
- Sun 17 MarNew England Revolution 1-2 FC Cincinnati
- Sat 1 JulFC Cincinnati 2-2 New England Revolution
- Sat 29 AprNew England Revolution 1-1 FC Cincinnati
- Sun 3 JulNew England Revolution 2-2 FC Cincinnati
- Sat 21 MayFC Cincinnati 2-3 New England Revolution
- Sat 21 AugNew England Revolution 4-1 FC Cincinnati