Cyprus vs Latvia 2-1 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Cyprus

2–1

HT 0–0

Latvia

Mon 5 Oct·10:00·Matchday 4·GSP Stadium·Cyprus won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners3
2Cards3
19Shots12
7Shots on target1
10Fouls8
20Throw-ins6
2Offsides1
10Goal kicks14
0Saves5
8Tackles14
8Interceptions11
5Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:00

Cyprusv

LatviaUEFA Nations League3 won / 4 lost · −0.35u · 7 picks

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 18−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.855 Oct, 09:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 25.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 25.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 25.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 09:00: over 25.5 at 2.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Cyprus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.305 Oct, 09:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 12.5
At recommendation3.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 09:00: over 12.5 at 3.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Cyprus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 10+1.40u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.405 Oct, 09:05

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 6.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.1%EV-31.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 09:05: over 6.5 at 2.40 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Cyprus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.305 Oct, 09:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 09:00: under 14.5 at 2.30 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Cyprus total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.505 Oct, 09:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV+4.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 09:00: under 4.5 at 2.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Cyprus total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 22.5Actual: 20+1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 08:40

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 22.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 22.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance74.2%EV+33.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 08:40: under 22.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Latvia total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 19.5Actual: 6+1.25u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.255 Oct, 09:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 19.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.4%EV+22.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 09:00: under 19.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−5.0%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit−0.35units

W / L3 / 4picks

Avg odds2.51settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamCyprus Away teamLatvia RefereeGiorgi Kruashvili

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Cyprus total

Goal kicks · Cyprus total

Shots · Cyprus total

Shots on target · Cyprus total

Throw-ins · Cyprus total

Throw-ins · Latvia total

This match

Around this match

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