CF Monterrey vs CF Pachuca 2-1 — Liga MX, Apertura

Liga MX, AperturaLiga MX, Apertura 2026

CF Monterrey

2–1

HT 2–0

CF Pachuca

Sun 18 Oct·19:00·Matchday 12·Estadio BBVA·CF Monterrey won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners8
3Cards3
10Shots11
4Shots on target3
8Fouls16
16Throw-ins22
2Offsides3
5Goal kicks10
2Saves2
14Tackles23
17Interceptions9
7Dribbles2

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

19:00CF MonterreyvCF PachucaLiga MX, Apertura1 won / 3 lost · −2.00u · 4 picks

Cards · CF Pachuca total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1018 Oct, 06:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 66.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.50
Expected value at recommendation: +40.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 66.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +40.2%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 228 settled picksand +1.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.8%EV+40.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:09: under 2.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 07:49. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 11+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 06:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 70.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.42
Expected value at recommendation: +41.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 70.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.42. Expected value at recommendation: +41.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance70.7%EV+41.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:18: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 18:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9115 Oct, 18:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 88 settled picksand +27.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+14.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 18:18: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · CF Monterrey total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9115 Oct, 18:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 52 settled picksand +6.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.4%EV+13.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 18:18: over 5.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−50.0%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit−2.00units

W / L1 / 3picks

Avg odds1.98settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLiga MX, Apertura Home teamCF Monterrey Away teamCF Pachuca RefereeCésar Ramos Palazuelos

Match overview

Matches

Cards · CF Pachuca total

Corners · match total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · CF Monterrey total

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