Catanzaro vs Mantova 1-3 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Catanzaro

1–3

HT 0–2

Mantova

Sun 11 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·Stadio Nicola Ceravolo·Mantova won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners6
2Cards2
14Shots17
4Shots on target8
8Fouls13
23Throw-ins15
2Offsides0
9Goal kicks12
5Saves3
16Tackles23
11Interceptions8
8Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Board

Matches

1 match

07:00CatanzarovMantovaSerie B3 won / 2 lost · +1.08u · 5 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.4211 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.42
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+22.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV+24.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.7%EV+26.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 3.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Catanzaro total

Open match →FreeLost

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1011 Oct, 04:04

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.1%EV+5.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.1%EV+15.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV+9.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 04:04: under 1.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 05:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.5Actual: 11+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +3.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +3.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+3.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+1.2%
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Mantova total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+9.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+2.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+0.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-3.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-5.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV+11.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 9.5Actual: 12+1.07u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0710 Oct, 15:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+5.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 15:11: over 9.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+21.6%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+1.08units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds2.12settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamCatanzaro Away teamMantova RefereeMucera, Giuseppe

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Catanzaro total

Corners · match total

Corners · Mantova total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings