Casa Pia vs Santa Clara 0-1 — Liga Portugal Betclic

Liga Portugal BetclicLiga Portugal 26/27

Casa Pia

0–1

HT 0–0

Santa Clara

Sat 10 Oct·13:30·Matchday 8·Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior·Santa Clara won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners7
3Cards5
5Shots14
2Shots on target2
17Fouls13
26Throw-ins26
2Offsides2
7Goal kicks8
1Saves2
16Tackles18
7Interceptions8
4Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:30Casa PiavSanta ClaraLiga Portugal Betclic0 won / 6 lost · −6.00u · 6 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.328 Oct, 08:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +29.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +29.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.9%EV+29.6%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:42: under 4.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Casa Pia total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.928 Oct, 08:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.7%EV+18.4%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:42: under 2.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 11:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Santa Clara total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8010 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 70.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.42
Expected value at recommendation: +26.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 70.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.42. Expected value at recommendation: +26.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance70.5%EV+26.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:48: under 2.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 23.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 08:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +28.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +28.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveClosing estimateover 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 23.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.0%EV+28.0%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:42: over 23.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 08:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Casa Pia total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.278 Oct, 08:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.59
Expected value at recommendation: +43.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +43.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.6%EV+27.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.6%EV+24.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.27
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.1%EV+43.2%

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:42: over 10.5 at 2.27 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 08:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:42: over 7.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−6.00units

W / L0 / 6picks

Avg odds2.06settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLiga Portugal Betclic Home teamCasa Pia Away teamSanta Clara RefereeIancu Vasilica

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Casa Pia total

Cards · Santa Clara total

Shots · match total

Shots · Casa Pia total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

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