Cádiz vs Sporting Gijón 0-1 — LaLiga 2

LaLiga 2LaLiga 2 26/27

Cádiz

0–1

HT 0–0

Sporting Gijón

Sun 11 Oct·13:00·Matchday 9·Nuevo Mirandilla·Sporting Gijón won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners6
1Cards2
7Shots13
1Shots on target1
8Fouls7
13Throw-ins19
1Offsides1
13Goal kicks7
0Saves1
9Tackles13
15Interceptions12
2Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

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Matches

1 match

13:00CádizvSporting GijónLaLiga 20 won / 6 lost · −6.00u · 6 picks

Cards · Sporting Gijón total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9011 Oct, 05:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +9.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+9.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.1%EV-1.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.1%EV+7.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.1%EV+8.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 05:36: over 2.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Cádiz total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0211 Oct, 00:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+5.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-6.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-3.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-5.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+2.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-5.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-5.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:36: under 4.5 at 2.02 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1011 Oct, 03:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+5.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:36: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 24.5Actual: 20−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1010 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +24.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +24.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 24.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+24.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.6%EV+18.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 24.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 09:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Cádiz total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9510 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +18.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +18.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.0%EV+7.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.8%EV+18.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 12.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 09:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1710 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.4%EV+15.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+0.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+13.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 8.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 09:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−6.00units

W / L0 / 6picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga 2 Home teamCádiz Away teamSporting Gijón RefereeSaul Ais Reig

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Sporting Gijón total

Corners · Cádiz total

Offsides · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Cádiz total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

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