Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama 1-2 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Botafogo

1–2

HT 0–1

Vasco da Gama

Wed 7 Oct·17:30·Matchday 29·Estádio Nilton Santos·Vasco da Gama won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

7Corners14
1Cards0
11Shots17
2Shots on target8
10Fouls12
22Throw-ins13
3Offsides2
5Goal kicks8
5Saves1
16Tackles10
11Interceptions15
1Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

17:30BotafogovVasco da GamaBrasileirão Série A6 won / 2 lost · +10.08u · 8 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 1+1.77u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.777 Oct, 16:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.77
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.48
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.2%EV+17.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.2%EV+29.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.2%EV+27.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 4.5 at 2.77 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Botafogo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 1+1.17u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.177 Oct, 16:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.0%EV-1.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.0%EV-4.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.0%EV-1.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 2.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 0+2.80u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.807 Oct, 16:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 1.5
At recommendation3.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.8%EV+32.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.8%EV+24.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 1.5 at 3.80 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 14+4.30u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation5.307 Oct, 16:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation5.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation5.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance22.4%EV-12.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds4.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance22.4%EV-10.4%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: over 7.5 at 5.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 25.5Actual: 22+1.07u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.077 Oct, 16:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 25.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.5%EV+9.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 25.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 12+0.97u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.977 Oct, 16:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+2.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: under 12.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 31.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.507 Oct, 11:35

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 31.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.9%EV-5.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.17
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.9%EV-0.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 11:35: over 31.5 at 2.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Botafogo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.857 Oct, 16:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance24.8%EV-38.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance24.8%EV-38.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.47
No saved recommendation
Model chance24.8%EV-38.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 16:30: over 5.5 at 2.85 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+126.0%ROI · 8 units staked

Profit+10.08units

W / L6 / 2picks

Avg odds2.93settled picks

Recorded picks81 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamBotafogo Away teamVasco da Gama RefereeBruno Arleu de Araujo

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Botafogo total

Cards · Vasco da Gama total

Corners · Vasco da Gama total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Vasco da Gama total

Shots · match total

Shots on target · Botafogo total

This match

Around this match

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