Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama 0-1 — CONMEBOL Sudamericana

CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

Boca Juniors

0–1

HT 0–1

Vasco da Gama

Tue 13 Oct·18:30·Semi final·Alberto Jose Armando·Vasco da Gama won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

9Corners1
1Cards4
18Shots9
2Shots on target2
8Fouls11
28Throw-ins19
1Offsides1
7Goal kicks14
1Saves2
17Tackles17
13Interceptions9
11Dribbles18

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

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Board

Matches

1 match

18:30Boca JuniorsvVasco da GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana4 won / 3 lost · +2.21u · 7 picks

Cards · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 15:10

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +27.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +27.5%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 99 settled picksand +6.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.7%EV+36.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.7%EV+27.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.7%EV+30.4%
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.7%EV+57.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 15:10: under 2.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 15:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9112 Oct, 04:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.6%EV+0.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.5%EV+1.2%
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.5%EV+2.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-10.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-10.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-13.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 04:32: under 3.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 16:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeWon

under 12.5Actual: 11+1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 03:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 75.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.33
Expected value at recommendation: +51.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 75.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +51.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance75.6%EV+51.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.7%EV+13.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.7%EV+2.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance75.7%EV+51.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 03:42: under 12.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeLost

over 10.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0012 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +21.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +21.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.9%EV+21.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.4%EV-4.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.4%EV-4.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.62
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.4%EV-3.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:28. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Boca Juniors total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 2+1.85u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.857 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +67.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +67.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.9%EV+67.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.9%EV+23.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.9%EV+5.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.9%EV+11.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.9%EV+14.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.58
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.9%EV-2.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 2.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 44.5Actual: 47+1.45u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.4513 Oct, 05:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +45.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +45.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 44.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.2%EV+45.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 05:36: over 44.5 at 2.45 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreeLost

over 20.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 15:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +22.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +9.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 20.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.3%EV+22.4%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+16.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 15:34: over 20.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 17:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+31.6%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+2.21units

W / L4 / 3picks

Avg odds2.20settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionCONMEBOL Sudamericana Home teamBoca Juniors Away teamVasco da Gama RefereePiero Maza