Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City 2-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Blackburn Rovers

2–1

HT 2–0

Cardiff City

Sat 10 Oct·08:00·Matchday 9·Ewood Park·Blackburn Rovers won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

11Corners6
1Cards0
17Shots10
8Shots on target1
9Fouls6
27Throw-ins19
4Offsides1
12Goal kicks9
0Saves5
23Tackles19
12Interceptions11
5Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available8Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00Blackburn RoversvCardiff CityChampionship6 won / 4 lost · +2.86u · 10 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 17+1.25u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.257 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +18.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+10.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+10.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+10.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+15.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+18.7%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV+10.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 11.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 11+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.6%EV+0.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+7.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV-8.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.98
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+4.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+2.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+8.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Cardiff City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 6+1.30u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.308 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +26.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +26.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+26.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+23.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-1.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+8.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+0.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+7.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 5.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+1.12u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.128 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+7.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance25.3%EV-44.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance25.3%EV-44.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 1.5 at 2.12 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Cardiff City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.908 Oct, 11:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.7%EV+29.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.7%EV+36.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 1.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 31.5Actual: 27−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.3010 Oct, 04:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +68.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +68.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 31.5
At recommendation3.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+68.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 04:06: over 31.5 at 3.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 17+1.32u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.329 Oct, 09:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +27.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +27.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+27.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance21.4%EV-52.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 14.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0010 Oct, 05:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +17.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +17.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.7%EV+17.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.1%EV+3.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.1%EV+6.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.1%EV+2.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:18: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 8+0.96u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.968 Oct, 04:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +5.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +5.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.7%EV+5.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.7%EV+6.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance32.4%EV-41.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance32.4%EV-38.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 4.5 at 1.96 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 08:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Cardiff City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.888 Oct, 04:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.2%EV+5.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance70.2%EV+26.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance70.2%EV+26.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance70.2%EV+26.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance70.2%EV+34.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 1.88 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+28.6%ROI · 10 units staked

Profit+2.86units

W / L6 / 4picks

Avg odds2.19settled picks

Recorded picks101 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamBlackburn Rovers Away teamCardiff City RefereeTom Nield

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Corners · Cardiff City total

Goals · Blackburn Rovers total

Goals · Cardiff City total

Shots · match total

Shots · Blackburn Rovers total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Blackburn Rovers total

Shots on target · Cardiff City total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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