Benevento vs Cesena 2-0 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Benevento

2–0

HT 1–0

Cesena

Sat 10 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·Stadio Ciro Vigorito·Benevento won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners5
5Cards0
18Shots11
6Shots on target1
16Fouls8
19Throw-ins23
2Offsides5
8Goal kicks13
1Saves3
17Tackles15
10Interceptions14
8Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Board

Matches

1 match

07:00BeneventovCesenaSerie B3 won / 0 lost · +3.20u · 3 picks

Corners · Benevento total

Open match →VIPWon

under 5.5Actual: 5+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+13.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.89
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+1.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+9.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+8.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV-8.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.89
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV-6.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV-0.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 28.5Actual: 29+1.22u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.229 Oct, 03:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+20.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:42: over 28.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 07:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Benevento total

Open match →VIPWon

over 15.5Actual: 18+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.889 Oct, 16:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.59
Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.0%EV+18.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 16:22: over 15.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+106.7%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit+3.20units

W / L3 / 0picks

Avg odds2.07settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamBenevento Away teamCesena RefereeMaria Sole Ferrieri Caputi