Benevento vs Cesena 2-0 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Benevento

2–0

HT 1–0

Cesena

Sat 10 Oct·07:00·Matchday 6·Stadio Ciro Vigorito·Benevento won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners5
5Cards0
18Shots11
6Shots on target1
16Fouls8
19Throw-ins23
2Offsides5
8Goal kicks13
1Saves3
17Tackles15
10Interceptions14
8Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

07:00BeneventovCesenaSerie B3 won / 0 lost · +3.20u · 3 picks

Corners · Benevento total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 5+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds2.109 Oct, 09:25

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 53.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance53.9%EV+13.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:25
BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.89
Closing odds1.89
Unchanged
Model chance53.9%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.89Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:40
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.15
Model chance53.5%EV+9.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds4.45Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- under 4.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- under 5.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- under 6.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- under 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:31
- under 8.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 00:00
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds1.90
Odds down−0.10
Model chance54.2%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- under 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin12.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- under 5.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- under 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:39
- under 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:36
- under 8.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 10:05
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV-8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:34
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:34
- under 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate−6.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 01:34
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.89
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV-6.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.89Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:27
- under 6.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:39
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.3%EV-0.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds7.50Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−37.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 3.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate18.7%Closing EV estimate−18.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 4.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate49.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 6.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.6%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 7.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 8.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 13:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 29+1.22u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.229 Oct, 03:42

Closing odds2.229 Oct, 03:36

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.22
Closing odds2.22
Unchanged
Model chance54.4%EV+20.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 03:40
- over 24.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 25.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 26.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:36
- over 27.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:36
- over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.22Closing chance estimate56.0%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:36
- over 29.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+29.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 06:37
- over 30.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate+29.7%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:08
- over 31.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate+31.9%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:08

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:42: over 28.5 at 2.22 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 07:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Benevento total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 18+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.889 Oct, 16:22

Closing odds1.889 Oct, 07:08

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 63.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.59
Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 63.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.88
Unchanged
Model chance63.0%EV+18.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 12.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 13.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 14.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate+18.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 07:08
- over 16.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate54.2%Closing EV estimate+19.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 17.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39
- over 18.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate36.9%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 04:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 16:22: over 15.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+106.7%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit+3.20units

W / L3 / 0picks

Avg odds2.07settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamBenevento Away teamCesena RefereeMaria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Benevento total

Shots · match total

Shots · Benevento total

This match

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