Belarus vs Finland — UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27
Tue 6 Oct··Matchday 4·Neutral venue·Stadion Rudolf Illovszky·Belarus won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 1Corners5
- 4Cards2
- 6Shots14
- 2Shots on target2
- 17Fouls11
- 26Throw-ins26
- 1Offsides1
- 6Goal kicks2
- 2Saves1
- 14Tackles12
- 13Interceptions5
- 3Dribbles6
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
Belarusv
FinlandUEFA Nations League1 won / 0 lost · +1.50u · 1 pick
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
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- Break-even odds
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- Expected value at recommendation
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Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
Model chance—EV—UnchangedAt recommendation2.50Closing odds2.50Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 03:00Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin12.4%
- over 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.5%
- over 14.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin12.5%
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin11.9%
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
Model chance—EV—UnchangedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds2.30Last captured before kickoffas of 6 Oct, 03:30Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
- over 12.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin11.8%
- over 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin12.5%
- over 14.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate51.5%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin11.5%
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate43.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.4%
- over 16.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 6 Oct, 11:50: over 15.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Predictions