Avellino vs Sampdoria 4-1 — Serie B

Serie BSerie B 26/27

Avellino

4–1

HT 4–1

Sampdoria

Fri 9 Oct·12:30·Matchday 6·Partenio-Adriano Lombardi·Avellino won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

0Corners6
4Cards1
9Shots12
4Shots on target · Result conflict3
11Fouls12
14Throw-ins25
3Offsides1
8Goal kicks5
2Saves0
21Tackles11
10Interceptions6
4Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

0Free available0VIP available11Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:30AvellinovSampdoriaSerie B3 won / 9 lost · −5.75u · 12 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.857 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 66.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.51
Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 66.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.0%EV+38.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.4%EV+22.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.1%EV+24.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.1%EV+30.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance67.1%EV+17.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.157 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+8.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+8.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+13.9%
LiderbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+8.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.0%EV+16.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 9.5 at 2.15 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Avellino total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.207 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+13.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+12.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.2%EV+2.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+13.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-8.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-8.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+12.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sampdoria total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+10.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+10.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+3.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.2%EV-3.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+7.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.1%EV+10.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.2%EV-0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +2.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +2.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+7.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+5.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+3.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+7.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-4.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-4.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-4.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV+1.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Sampdoria total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.638 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +55.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +55.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.63
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.1%EV+55.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.38
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.3%EV-2.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.3%EV-7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.3%EV-7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.3%EV-7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.3%EV-3.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 1.5 at 2.63 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 27.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.207 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetAt recommendationover 27.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.6%EV+15.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 27.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 00:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Avellino total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 9+1.25u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.258 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +36.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +36.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.7%EV+36.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.3%EV-38.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 11.5 at 2.25 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Sampdoria total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.888 Oct, 08:11

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.9%EV+6.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.7%EV+2.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 08:11: over 13.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+6.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+4.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: over 8.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 07:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Avellino total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.128 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +21.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +21.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.1%EV+21.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance32.1%EV-35.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: under 3.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Sampdoria total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.058 Oct, 11:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +56.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +56.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation3.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+56.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:22: over 5.5 at 3.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−47.9%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit−5.75units

W / L3 / 9picks

Avg odds2.19settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie B Home teamAvellino Away teamSampdoria RefereeJuan Luca Sacchi

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · Avellino total

Corners · Sampdoria total

Goals · match total

Goals · Sampdoria total

Shots · match total

Shots · Avellino total

Shots · Sampdoria total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Avellino total

Shots on target · Sampdoria total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem

Bro VIP · Beta

Football intelligence, with your VIP.

What are we exploring, bro?