Atlético Mineiro vs Santos 2-1 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Atlético Mineiro

2–1

HT 0–0

Santos

Sun 11 Oct·13:00·Matchday 30·Arena MRV·Atlético Mineiro won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

12Corners3
3Cards5
21Shots10
5Shots on target3
10Fouls12
17Throw-ins9
1Offsides3
8Goal kicks12
2Saves4
12Tackles24
7Interceptions10
7Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00Atlético MineirovSantosBrasileirão Série A1 won / 5 lost · −4.10u · 6 picks

Cards · Santos total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.009 Oct, 13:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +9.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +9.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.1%EV+13.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.5%EV+9.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.2%EV+13.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 13:47: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+3.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.4%EV+11.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.96
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.4%EV+14.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.4%EV+6.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.4%EV+11.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.4%EV+10.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 5.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Santos total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.108 Oct, 10:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+6.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV-4.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV-7.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV-4.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV+13.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:36: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 3+0.90u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.908 Oct, 10:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.6%EV+1.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV+3.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV+8.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV-1.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV-1.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV-1.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV+1.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV+6.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.7%EV+5.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 2.5 at 1.90 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.7%EV+23.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.2%EV+3.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.66
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.2%EV+3.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: under 15.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+0.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-2.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-3.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 06:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−68.3%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−4.10units

W / L1 / 5picks

Avg odds1.97settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamAtlético Mineiro Away teamSantos RefereeAlex Gomes Stefano

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Santos total

Corners · Atlético Mineiro total

Corners · Santos total

Goals · match total

Shots · Atlético Mineiro total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

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