Almería vs Leganés 3-0 — LaLiga 2

LaLiga 2LaLiga 2 26/27

Almería

3–0

HT 0–0

Leganés

Sun 11 Oct·08:15·Matchday 9·Estadio del Mediterráneo·Almería won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

8Corners3
2Cards5
18Shots7
8Shots on target1
15Fouls25
21Throw-ins7
1Offsides0
5Goal kicks7
1Saves5
11Tackles20
4Interceptions11
9Dribbles1

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:15AlmeríavLeganésLaLiga 21 won / 5 lost · −4.05u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.917 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+8.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+8.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+8.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.04
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+22.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+8.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+15.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Almería total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.107 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+16.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.7%EV+13.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.7%EV+39.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.0%EV+22.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+8.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Leganés total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+3.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.77
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV-7.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV-10.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV-13.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.77
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV-7.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV-10.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.5%EV+0.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2011 Oct, 03:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +22.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+22.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+17.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:32: over 3.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1710 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.8%EV+3.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+12.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.4%EV-0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 9.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 14:50. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Almería total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 8+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9510 Oct, 05:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +2.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +2.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+2.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.6%EV-13.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.6%EV-10.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 05:47: over 5.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−67.5%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−4.05units

W / L1 / 5picks

Avg odds2.06settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga 2 Home teamAlmería Away teamLeganés RefereeGonzalo Romero Freixas

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Almería total

Corners · Leganés total

Offsides · match total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Almería total

This match

Around this match

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