Aldosivi vs Sarmiento 1-3 — Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026

Aldosivi

1–3

HT 1–1

Sarmiento

Fri 9 Oct·11:30·Matchday 12·Estadio Jose Maria Minella·Sarmiento won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners1
5Cards3
14Shots14
4Shots on target3
17Fouls15
19Throw-ins16
1Offsides0
9Goal kicks10
0Saves3
19Tackles16
8Interceptions5
2Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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0Free available0VIP available8Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

11:30AldosivivSarmientoLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 won / 6 lost · −2.95u · 9 picks

Cards · Aldosivi total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.879 Oct, 02:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +7.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +7.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+4.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.4%EV+7.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.2%EV+0.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.62
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.2%EV-7.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:42: under 2.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Sarmiento total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.857 Oct, 13:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+5.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+0.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.7%EV-7.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.7%EV-4.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:42: under 2.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 10:49. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sarmiento total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.897 Oct, 11:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.89
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+13.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.89
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+13.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV-1.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.47
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV-16.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV-17.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV-17.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.72
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV-2.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 11:47: over 3.5 at 1.89 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 32−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.978 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +20.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +20.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetAt recommendationunder 24.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.8%EV+22.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.2%EV+20.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: under 24.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Aldosivi total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 67.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +31.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 67.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +31.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance72.4%EV+30.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.4%EV+31.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: under 12.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · Aldosivi total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.059 Oct, 01:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +4.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +4.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+7.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.8%EV+4.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 01:06: over 1.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 28+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.008 Oct, 04:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +4.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +4.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.0%EV+4.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.7%EV-20.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.7%EV-18.0%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:48: over 25.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 11:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Aldosivi total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 4+0.90u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.907 Oct, 11:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +6.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +6.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+6.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.0%EV+7.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV+0.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-6.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.8%EV-6.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 11:47: under 4.5 at 1.90 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Sarmiento total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 3+1.15u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.157 Oct, 11:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +16.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +16.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+16.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+6.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV-5.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV-12.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV-12.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 11:51: under 3.5 at 2.15 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:28. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−32.8%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit−2.95units

W / L3 / 6picks

Avg odds1.96settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol Home teamAldosivi Away teamSarmiento RefereeLuis Lobo Medina

Match overview

Matches

Cards · Aldosivi total

Cards · Sarmiento total

Corners · Sarmiento total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Aldosivi total

Offsides · Aldosivi total

Shots · match total

Shots on target · Aldosivi total

Shots on target · Sarmiento total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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