Al-Nassr vs Neom SC 1-0 — Saudi Pro League

Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 26/27

Al-Nassr

1–0

HT 0–0

Neom SC

Tue 20 Oct·12:00·Matchday 10·Al-Awwal Park·Al-Nassr won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners1
1Cards4
17Shots7
2Shots on target1
14Fouls18
21Throw-ins24
3Offsides4
4Goal kicks10
1Saves1
16Tackles14
17Interceptions7
11Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:00Al-NassrvNeom SCSaudi Pro League3 won / 16 lost · −13.90u · 19 picks

Corners · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 8
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.67u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.6720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.6720 Oct, 17:05

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 60.9%
Break-even odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +8.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.67
Closing odds1.67
Unchanged
Model chance60.9%EV+1.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 17:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 08:23
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:23
- under 2.5odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:23
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:23
- under 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:23
- under 5.5odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:23
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 04:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 04:05
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 04:05
- under 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 04:05
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.47
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:18
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 4.5odds1.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 14 Oct, 06:21
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 08:17
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds5.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:17
- under 2.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:17
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 4.5odds1.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:17
- under 5.5odds1.08Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 08:17
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 18 Oct, 12:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds12.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.4%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:00
- under 1.5odds4.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:00
- under 2.5odds2.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:00
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:00
- under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:00
- under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:00
- under 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 18 Oct, 12:00

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 3.5 at 1.67 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 45
Reconstructed matches: 45
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 22.5Actual: 32−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.8520 Oct, 03:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 59.7%
Break-even odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 45 settled picksand +29.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance59.7%EV+10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 21.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 22.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 23.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 25.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 21.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 22.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 24.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 22.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 247
Reconstructed matches: 238
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 32−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7020 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.7020 Oct, 03:37

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 59.9%
Break-even odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.9% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 247 settled picksand +6.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds1.70
Unchanged
Model chance59.9%EV+1.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 21.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 22.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 24.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 21.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 25.5odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 23.5 at 1.70 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 42
Reconstructed matches: 42
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 14+0.85u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.8520 Oct, 03:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 59.2%
Break-even odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.2% · Break-even odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 42 settled picksand +20.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance59.2%EV+9.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 14.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 16.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 17.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 18.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 15.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Neom SC total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 81
Reconstructed matches: 81
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.7520 Oct, 03:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 63.1%
Break-even odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds1.75
Unchanged
Model chance63.1%EV+10.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 10.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 9.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →VIPLost

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 13
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.5520 Oct, 11:52

Odds down−0.02

Estimated chance: 68.2%
Break-even odds: 1.47
Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 68.2% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds1.55
Odds down−0.02
Model chance68.2%EV+7.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 1.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 2.5odds9.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 3.5odds30.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 4.5odds85.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
Bet365Closing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 17:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 2.5odds11.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 3.5odds34.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 1.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 2.5odds9.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
LiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 24
Reconstructed matches: 22
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.5720 Oct, 17:05

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 66.8%
Break-even odds: 1.50
Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 66.8% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 24 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds1.57
Unchanged
Model chance66.8%EV+4.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 17:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 2.5odds11.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 3.5odds34.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 1.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 2.5odds9.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
LiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
SuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 1.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 2.5odds9.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 3.5odds30.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 4.5odds85.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 13
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5020 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.5020 Oct, 11:00

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 68.0%
Break-even odds: 1.47
Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 68.0% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +5.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
At recommendation1.50
Closing odds1.50
Unchanged
Model chance68.0%EV+2.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
Bet365Closing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 17:05
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 1.5odds3.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 2.5odds11.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin4.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
- over 3.5odds34.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 17:05
BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:55
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:00
- over 1.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 2.5odds6.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:55
- over 3.5odds8.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 17 Oct, 18:15
KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 1.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 2.5odds9.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
SuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:52
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 1.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 2.5odds9.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 3.5odds30.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52
- over 4.5odds85.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:52

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 224
Reconstructed matches: 218
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8020 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.8020 Oct, 09:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 61.0%
Break-even odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 224 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance61.0%EV+9.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 10:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 21.5odds1.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:50
- over 22.5odds1.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 09:45
- over 23.5odds1.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 09:16
- over 24.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 09:45
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 09:03
- over 26.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:50
- over 27.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 09:03
- over 28.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:50
- over 29.5odds3.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:09
BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 26.5odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 27.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 28.5odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 29.5odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 23.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 25.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 27.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 28.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 25.5 at 1.80 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 13
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7620 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.7620 Oct, 11:18

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 60.3%
Break-even odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 60.3% · Break-even odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.76
Closing odds1.76
Unchanged
Model chance60.3%EV+6.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 7.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 9.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 10.5odds2.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:25
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 8.5 at 1.76 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 129
Reconstructed matches: 127
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.7520 Oct, 03:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 58.8%
Break-even odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds1.75
Unchanged
Model chance58.8%EV+2.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 10.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 8.5odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:25
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 7.5odds1.48Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 8.5odds1.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 10.5odds2.72Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 11.5odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:25

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 183
Reconstructed matches: 178
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.9720 Oct, 07:47

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 57.8%
Break-even odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Break-even odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 183 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds1.97
Unchanged
Model chance57.8%EV+13.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 10:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:50
- over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:18
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:38
- over 8.5odds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:18
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
- over 10.5odds2.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:00
- over 11.5odds3.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
- over 12.5odds4.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
- over 13.5odds6.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 11.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:26
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:26
- over 11.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:26
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 12.5odds3.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 9.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 89
Reconstructed matches: 86
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9120 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.9120 Oct, 11:18

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 54.6%
Break-even odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Break-even odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance54.6%EV+4.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:26
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- over 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:26
- over 11.5odds3.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:26
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- over 11.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
- over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 10.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- over 12.5odds3.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 10:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 06:50
- over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:18
- over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:38
- over 8.5odds1.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:18
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
- over 10.5odds2.57Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:00
- over 11.5odds3.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
- over 12.5odds4.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
- over 13.5odds6.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 9
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.58u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5820 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.5620 Oct, 11:36

Odds down−0.02

Estimated chance: 65.5%
Break-even odds: 1.53
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 65.5% · Break-even odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +21.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.58
Closing odds1.56
Odds down−0.02
Model chance65.5%EV+3.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 3.5odds1.56Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.9%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:36
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:37
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds2.15Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:37
- under 4.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 01:53
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 11:18
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds10.00Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin—Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 07:47
- under 1.5odds4.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 2.5odds2.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.61Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.6%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 4.5odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 5.5odds1.09Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.2%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 11:18
- under 6.5odds1.01Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 10:18

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 3.5 at 1.58 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 392
Reconstructed matches: 386
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 45−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.7520 Oct, 03:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 62.6%
Break-even odds: 1.60
Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.6% · Break-even odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 392 settled picksand +19.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds1.75
Unchanged
Model chance62.6%EV+9.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 30.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 31.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 33.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 34.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:49
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 31.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 33.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 32.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 290
Reconstructed matches: 285
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 45−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.7520 Oct, 03:49

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 62.4%
Break-even odds: 1.60
Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.4% · Break-even odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 290 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds1.75
Unchanged
Model chance62.4%EV+9.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:49
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 31.5odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 33.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
BetliveClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 30.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 31.5odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 32.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 33.5odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 34.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 32.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 175
Reconstructed matches: 172
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.8520 Oct, 03:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 62.3%
Break-even odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.3% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 175 settled picksand +26.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance62.3%EV+15.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 15.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 17.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 18.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:49
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 15.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 17.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 16.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 233
Reconstructed matches: 227
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.8520 Oct, 03:49

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 59.4%
Break-even odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 233 settled picksand +14.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.85
Unchanged
Model chance59.4%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:49
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 15.5odds2.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
- under 17.5odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:49
BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 15.5odds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.4%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 17.5odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 18.5odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 16.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 182
Reconstructed matches: 179
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds1.7520 Oct, 03:03

Unchanged

Estimated chance: 60.4%
Break-even odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 60.4% · Break-even odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 182 settled picksand +13.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds1.75
Unchanged
Model chance60.4%EV+5.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 20 Oct, 03:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 14.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03
- under 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailableCaptured 20 Oct, 03:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 15.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−73.2%ROI · 19 units staked

Profit−13.90units

W / L3 / 16picks

Avg odds1.75settled picks

Recorded picks191 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSaudi Pro League Home teamAl-Nassr Away teamNeom SC RefereeFaisal Suleiman Al-Balawi

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Neom SC total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Neom SC total

Goals · Neom SC total

Goals · Neom SC total

Goals · Neom SC total

Shots · match total

Shots · Neom SC total

Shots · Neom SC total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Neom SC total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Throw-ins · Neom SC total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem