ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven — Eredivisie
EredivisieEredivisie 26/27
Sat 17 Oct··Matchday 9·Bingoal Stadium·ADO Den Haag won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 3Corners2
- 3Cards2
- 16Shots15
- 5Shots on target4
- 20Fouls9
- 20Throw-ins14
- 1Offsides5
- 7Goal kicks17
- 3Saves3
- 16Tackles15
- 8Interceptions8
- 1Dribbles5
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
ADO Den HaagvPSV EindhovenEredivisie3 won / 2 lost · +1.15u · 5 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 53 settled picksand +1.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance53.5%EV+0.7%UnchangedAt recommendation1.88Closing odds1.88Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:26Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin6.6%
- over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin7.1%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin6.7%
- over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin7.0%
- over 4.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin6.8%
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance53.5%EV-7.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.73Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin3.8%
- over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin6.8%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin7.9%
- over 3.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin7.8%
- over 4.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin5.7%
- over 5.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin4.3%
- over 6.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−41.9%margin3.2%
- over 7.5odds51.00Closing chance estimate0.8%Closing EV estimate−56.8%margin1.8%
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance53.5%EV-3.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:27Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.2%
- over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin12.3%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.1%
- over 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin12.0%
- over 4.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin12.2%
- over 5.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−55.8%margin12.2%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance53.5%EV-6.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.2%
- over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin11.9%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.7%
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.0%
- over 4.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−25.3%margin11.7%
- over 5.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−56.5%margin12.5%
KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance53.5%EV-8.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.71Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin9.6%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin9.0%
- over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin8.6%
- over 4.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin9.3%
- over 5.5odds9.50Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−36.4%margin9.5%
- over 6.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−46.9%margin—
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance53.5%EV-9.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin12.5%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin12.9%
- over 3.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin12.6%
- over 4.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin13.2%
- over 5.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin7.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 08:27: over 2.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 61.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.64
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 61.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +10.3%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 64 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance61.3%EV+10.3%UnchangedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin13.8%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.4%
- over 3.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.9%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin13.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance61.2%EV+7.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin14.2%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.3%
- over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin14.0%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance61.2%EV+7.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin14.6%
- over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.3%
- over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin14.0%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 02:39: over 2.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 54.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.84
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 109 settled picksand +6.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance54.4%EV+14.3%UnchangedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.2%
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.3%
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance54.3%EV+11.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.05Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin13.3%
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance54.3%EV-29.4%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.30Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.30Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin—
- over 2.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate28.0%Closing EV estimate−43.4%margin—
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance54.3%EV+6.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.8%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 02:39: over 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 58.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.72
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.5%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 124 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 19.5
Model chance58.3%EV+16.5%Odds up+0.02At recommendation2.00Closing odds2.02Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 18.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.7%
- over 19.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin11.6%
- over 20.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.4%
BetliveClosing estimateover 19.5
Model chance52.7%EV+10.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 16.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.1%
- over 17.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin13.3%
- over 18.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.3%
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin14.3%
- over 20.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin14.1%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.5
Model chance52.7%EV+2.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 17.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.5%
- over 18.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin14.4%
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.8%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
Model chance52.7%EV-7.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin14.3%
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin14.3%
- over 20.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.3%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.5
Model chance52.7%EV-5.2%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 15.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin8.2%
- over 16.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin8.1%
- over 17.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin7.9%
- over 18.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin8.0%
- over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin8.2%
- over 20.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin7.8%
- over 21.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin7.9%
- over 22.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin7.9%
Recommendation record
Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: over 19.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 69.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.44
- Expected value at recommendation
- +56.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 69.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.44. Expected value at recommendation: +56.9%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 421 settled picksand +0.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 36.5
Model chance69.7%EV+56.9%UnchangedAt recommendation2.25Closing odds2.25Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 01:28Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin13.4%
- under 37.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin13.8%
- under 38.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin14.3%
- under 39.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin13.8%
- under 40.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin13.4%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 36.5
Model chance63.8%EV+12.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.76Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:42Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin8.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 01:29: under 36.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Predictions