ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

Sat 17 Oct··Matchday 9·Bingoal Stadium·ADO Den Haag won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 3Corners2
  • 3Cards2
  • 16Shots15
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 20Fouls9
  • 20Throw-ins14
  • 1Offsides5
  • 7Goal kicks17
  • 3Saves3
  • 16Tackles15
  • 8Interceptions8
  • 1Dribbles5
0Free available0VIP available4Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
ADO Den HaagvPSV EindhovenEredivisie3 won / 2 lost · +1.15u · 5 picks

Goals · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds1.88
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 53 settled picksand +1.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.5%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:26

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV-7.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−14.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−14.4%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds23.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−41.9%margin3.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds51.00Closing chance estimate0.8%Closing EV estimate−56.8%margin1.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV-3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:27

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−23.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−55.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV-6.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.0%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−25.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−56.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV-8.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.71Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds9.50Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−36.4%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds21.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−46.9%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV-9.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate77.2%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate−9.0%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate15.6%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate6.7%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 08:27: over 2.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 6+0.80u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
61.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+10.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 61.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +10.3%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 64 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Unchanged
    Model chance61.3%EV+10.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate37.9%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.2%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.2%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin14.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate61.2%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.9%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 02:39: over 2.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 5+1.10u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.84
Expected value at recommendation
+14.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 109 settled picksand +6.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.4%EV+14.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate83.7%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.3%EV+11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.3%EV-29.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.30Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate28.0%Closing EV estimate−43.4%margin—Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance54.3%EV+6.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.3%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 02:39: over 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 19.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.02
Model chance at recommendation
58.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.72
Expected value at recommendation
+16.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 124 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 19.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds up+0.02
    Model chance58.3%EV+16.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 18.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 19.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.7%EV+10.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 16.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.7%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.7%EV-7.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 02:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−7.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.7%EV-5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 08:21

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate52.7%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 21.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate40.0%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 22.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate34.1%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: over 19.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 36.5Actual: 34+1.25u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
69.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.44
Expected value at recommendation
+56.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 69.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.44. Expected value at recommendation: +56.9%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 421 settled picksand +0.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 36.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Unchanged
    Model chance69.7%EV+56.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 01:28

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+43.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 37.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate68.8%Closing EV estimate+34.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 38.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+28.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 39.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 40.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.3%Closing EV estimate+17.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 36.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.8%EV+12.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 17 Oct, 06:42

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 36.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 01:29: under 36.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+23.0%ROI · 5 units staked
Profit+1.15units
W / L3 / 2picks
Avg odds2.01settled picks
Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

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