Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 92 positions on 52 matches across 7 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem VIP Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions8210 awaiting a result
won / lost35 / 47positions won / lost
avg odds2.19mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−6.23units, one a position
ROI, the day−7.6%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 52 of 52 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
ArsenalvLeeds UnitedPremier League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 26.51.85+0.9%11.2%lost −1.00
West Bromwich AlbionvBirmingham CityChampionship1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.05 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Liderbetover 24.52.05+21.3%11.3%won +1.05
Charlton AthleticvBristol CityChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 25.51.90+20.4%11.5%lost −1.00
Swansea CityvNorwich CityChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 14.52.30+22.0%8.0%lost −1.00
Rayo VallecanovAthletic ClubLaLiga2 positions · awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Crocobetunder 6.52.30+34.9%12.4%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 6.52.28+33.7%9.7%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 6.52.25+32.0%12.0%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 7.51.95+41.8%8.4%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Crocobetover 26.51.85+0.8%11.2%awaiting result
GenoavFiorentinaSerie A3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −0.86 units
Fouls · match total · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.14 avg → +1.14 · ROI +113.8%- Crocobetunder 24.52.20+72.0%12.1%won +1.20
- Liderbetunder 24.52.20+72.0%12.1%won +1.20
- Superbetunder 24.52.10+64.2%7.9%won +1.10
- Betliveunder 24.52.05+60.3%13.3%won +1.05
Shots · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 29.52.95+69.2%12.0%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 30.52.95+50.9%11.4%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 27.52.40+66.4%13.1%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 27.52.30+59.5%12.4%lost −1.00
Throw-ins · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 19.51.95+9.8%11.9%lost −1.00
BeneventovCesenaSerie B1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.20 units
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Superbetover 16.52.20+19.2%7.9%won +1.20
1. FSV Mainz 05vBayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.19 units
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → +1.19 · ROI +118.5%- Betliveunder 21.52.50+43.0%11.9%won +1.50
- Superbetunder 21.51.87+7.0%7.5%won +0.87
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.15+27.2%13.2%lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+24.3%12.1%lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 7.52.05+21.3%13.3%lost −1.00
FC AugsburgvFC Bayern MünchenBundesliga2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.44 units
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.24 · ROI +123.5%- Superbetunder 16.52.27+21.0%8.2%won +1.27
- Liderbetunder 16.52.20+17.3%12.1%won +1.20
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Kambiover 32.52.20+15.6%11.2%won +1.20
SC Paderborn 07vVfB StuttgartBundesliga2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.17 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 20.52.12+8.2%7.8%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.0%- Liderbetover 12.52.40+31.7%13.1%won +1.40
- Betliveover 12.52.30+26.2%12.4%won +1.30
- Superbetover 12.52.07+13.6%7.8%won +1.07
- Bet365over 12.51.91+4.8%7.9%won +0.91
Al-HazemvNeom SCSaudi Pro League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 10.51.87+8.1%7.8%lost −1.00
SunderlandvBrighton & Hove AlbionPremier League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.40 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → +1.40 · ROI +140.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.40+53.5%12.1%won +1.40
ChelseavBournemouthPremier League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.95 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Liderbetunder 8.51.95+6.4%13.8%won +0.95
Ipswich TownvFulhamPremier League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.00 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Superbetunder 7.52.00+15.9%8.5%won +1.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 27.51.92+0.7%10.9%lost −1.00
Heart of MidlothianvSt. MirrenScottish Premiership2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 30.53.55+97.9%10.8%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 27.52.10+53.0%14.3%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.73 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 19.52.95+54.0%8.0%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 18.52.50+50.4%14.1%lost −1.00
RangersvKilmarnockScottish Premiership2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.67 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 29.51.95+37.1%13.8%won +0.95
- Superbetover 32.53.40+81.8%11.4%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.58 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 24.53.05+80.6%8.0%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 22.52.10+51.4%14.3%lost −1.00
Derby CountyvWrexhamChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 24.51.90+16.1%11.5%lost −1.00
Sheffield UnitedvLincoln CityChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 26.52.05+6.7%11.3%lost −1.00
Preston North EndvMillwallChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 27.51.90+24.9%11.5%lost −1.00
WatfordvBurnleyChampionship2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.25 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Liderbetover 27.52.05+25.1%11.3%won +1.05
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Liderbetover 13.52.20+38.5%12.1%won +1.20
MiddlesbroughvWolverhamptonChampionship2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 28.52.05+30.4%11.3%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 15.52.02+10.9%8.0%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 14.51.90+21.6%11.5%lost −1.00
Blackburn RoversvCardiff CityChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 28.52.05+25.8%11.3%lost −1.00
Deportivo AlavésvAtlético MadridLaLiga3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.19 units
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Superbetunder 25.52.05+21.8%8.7%won +1.05
- Betliveunder 25.51.85+9.9%11.2%won +0.85
- Liderbetunder 24.52.10+9.0%12.1%lost −1.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → +1.19 · ROI +119.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.30+16.7%12.4%won +1.30
- Betliveunder 6.52.15+9.1%13.2%won +1.15
- Superbetunder 6.52.12+7.6%8.9%won +1.12
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 11.52.05+20.8%13.3%lost −1.00
FC BotoșanivUTA AradRomanian Super Liga2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.30 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 23.52.02+16.6%8.3%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Superbetover 16.52.30+46.7%8.0%won +1.30
AD CeutavCE SabadellLaLiga 21 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.42 units
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.42 avg → +1.42 · ROI +142.0%- Superbetover 12.52.42+28.2%8.0%won +1.42
Casa PiavSanta ClaraLiga Portugal Betclic2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 24.52.60+45.9%13.7%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 24.52.35+31.9%11.5%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 11.52.42+22.7%8.0%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 10.52.10+27.3%14.3%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 10.52.05+24.3%13.3%lost −1.00
IntervParmaSerie A3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 20.52.20+80.5%12.1%lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 20.52.20+80.5%12.1%lost −1.00
- Betliveunder 20.52.15+76.4%13.2%lost −1.00
- Superbetunder 20.52.05+68.2%7.9%lost −1.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.49 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 33.53.15+83.5%8.1%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 33.52.70+50.6%11.4%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 30.52.20+56.7%12.1%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 30.52.20+56.8%12.1%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 30.52.20+56.8%12.1%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.42 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 24.52.85+97.4%10.2%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 22.52.45+88.5%12.2%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 22.52.30+76.3%12.4%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 22.52.06+57.9%11.8%lost −1.00
Çaykur RizesporvFenerbahçeTrendyol Süper Lig3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.17 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.82 · ROI +82.0%- Superbetunder 25.51.82+0.7%8.1%won +0.82
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Liderbetover 30.52.25+21.1%13.4%won +1.25
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Liderbetover 13.52.10+31.7%14.3%won +1.10
BarcelonavGetafeLaLiga4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.78 units
Fouls · match total · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.44 avg → +1.44 · ROI +143.8%- Liderbetunder 20.53.05+76.7%12.8%won +2.05
- Superbetunder 22.52.30+68.4%8.0%won +1.30
- Betliveunder 22.52.20+61.1%12.1%won +1.20
- Crocobetunder 22.52.20+61.1%12.1%won +1.20
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 11.52.02+29.9%8.0%lost −1.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 29.52.18+57.7%11.2%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 29.52.15+55.5%13.2%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 29.52.10+51.9%12.1%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 29.52.05+48.3%13.3%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
4 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.34 avg → +1.34 · ROI +134.3%- BetMGM UKover 21.52.28+69.9%11.0%won +1.28
- Kambiover 21.52.23+66.2%11.5%won +1.23
- Crocobetover 21.52.00+49.0%12.5%won +1.00
- Liderbetover 21.52.00+49.0%12.5%won +1.00
- Superbetover 24.52.90+56.7%10.2%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 23.52.65+62.2%11.8%lost −1.00
RB LeipzigvEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.17 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.5%- Betliveunder 8.52.20+19.8%12.1%won +1.20
- Liderbetunder 8.52.15+17.1%13.2%won +1.15
Manchester UnitedvTottenham HotspurPremier League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 8.52.10+21.6%8.6%lost −1.00
- Betliveunder 8.51.85+7.1%11.2%lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 8.51.80+4.2%12.7%lost −1.00
FeyenoordvAZ AlkmaarEredivisie3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 21.51.87+15.0%8.1%lost −1.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 32.53.50+81.5%8.4%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 31.52.85+65.1%10.9%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 29.52.25+56.6%13.4%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.60 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 19.53.00+65.8%8.0%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 18.52.70+65.3%14.0%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 17.52.10+21.3%11.7%lost −1.00
MarítimovFC PortoLiga Portugal Betclic1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 27.51.92+41.6%8.3%lost −1.00
Al-HilalvAl-IttihadSaudi Pro League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.00 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Superbetunder 10.52.00+40.7%8.7%won +1.00
Fortuna SittardvFC TwenteEredivisie2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.01 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 33.53.45+80.2%10.6%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 30.52.50+74.0%14.1%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 30.51.94+35.0%11.3%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → +0.99 · ROI +99.0%- Betliveover 11.52.10+14.8%14.3%won +1.10
- Kambiover 10.51.97+26.4%11.4%won +0.97
- BetMGM UKover 10.51.90+27.2%11.7%won +0.90
FCSBvSC Oțelul GalațiRomanian Super Liga2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Superbetunder 24.51.88+42.1%7.8%won +0.88
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.0%- Superbetover 20.52.12+47.9%7.9%won +1.12
NapolivFrosinoneSerie A2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.55 units
Fouls · match total · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.55 avg → +1.55 · ROI +155.0%- Crocobetunder 21.52.85+120.2%12.2%won +1.85
- Betliveunder 21.52.45+89.3%12.2%won +1.45
- Liderbetunder 21.52.35+81.6%14.0%won +1.35
Shots · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 19.52.10+28.5%12.1%lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKover 19.51.80+6.6%11.5%lost −1.00
AS MonacovToulouseLigue 13 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 23.52.20+11.1%7.9%lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 24.52.10+20.4%12.1%lost −1.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.62 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 29.52.85+46.1%12.0%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 29.52.70+38.4%12.2%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 29.52.65+35.8%11.8%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 28.52.28+22.8%11.0%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
2 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 15.52.00+10.1%7.9%won +1.00
- Liderbetover 15.51.95+7.3%11.9%won +0.95
- Crocobetover 17.52.85+46.7%12.0%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 16.52.45+47.3%12.2%lost −1.00
- Superbetover 16.52.00+20.2%7.5%lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKover 16.51.98+19.0%11.4%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 16.51.98+19.0%11.4%lost −1.00
Stade BrestoisvAngersLigue 13 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.44 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +122.0%- Superbetunder 22.52.22+22.6%8.3%won +1.22
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 28.52.38+48.3%11.0%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +121.7%- Superbetover 16.52.30+25.9%9.2%won +1.30
- Liderbetover 16.52.20+20.8%12.1%won +1.20
- Kambiover 15.52.15+36.6%11.5%won +1.15
Paris Saint-GermainvLe MansLigue 12 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.40 units
Shots · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → +1.40 · ROI +140.5%- Kambiover 31.52.90+48.0%10.9%won +1.90
- Bet365over 29.51.91+27.2%7.9%won +0.91
Shots · home team · over
2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +99.7%- Kambiover 21.52.20+34.4%11.4%won +1.20
- BetMGM UKover 20.51.84+31.1%11.3%won +0.84
- Superbetover 22.51.95+42.4%9.3%lost −1.00
LorientvParis FCLigue 12 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.26 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 27.53.30+72.1%12.3%lost −1.00
- Superbetover 24.52.12+47.5%10.3%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 24.52.00+43.2%11.2%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 24.51.95+39.1%11.9%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 24.51.95+39.1%11.9%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.16 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 12.52.42+29.7%10.5%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 12.52.30+27.2%12.4%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 12.52.30+27.2%12.4%lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKover 12.52.12+18.2%11.6%lost −1.00
- Bet365over 11.52.00+31.8%7.9%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 11.51.80+18.7%11.6%lost −1.00
Real MadridvVillarrealLaLiga2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.30 units
Fouls · match total · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Crocobetunder 21.52.45+84.4%12.2%won +1.45
- Betliveunder 21.52.35+76.9%12.0%won +1.35
- Liderbetunder 21.52.35+76.9%14.0%won +1.35
- Superbetunder 21.52.05+54.3%8.3%won +1.05
Shots · home team · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 21.52.40+33.7%9.2%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 21.52.30+28.1%12.4%lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKover 20.52.02+27.9%11.6%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 20.51.98+25.3%11.5%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 20.51.90+20.3%13.2%lost −1.00
AFC AjaxvNEC NijmegenEredivisie3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.08 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetunder 21.51.92+34.0%8.3%won +0.92
Shots · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 32.52.80+53.6%13.8%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 31.52.17+32.0%11.0%lost −1.00
Shots · home team · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 21.52.47+35.7%8.1%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 20.52.45+53.3%13.8%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 20.51.98+23.9%11.5%lost −1.00
Celta Vigo BvReal Sociedad BLaLiga 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 13.51.90+12.6%7.6%lost −1.00
Vasco da GamavRemoBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 24.52.10+16.9%8.6%lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 24.52.00+11.4%14.5%lost −1.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 30.51.91+6.3%7.9%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 30.51.80+0.3%14.4%lost −1.00
TigrevBanfieldLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.36 units
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Betliveunder 21.52.95+49.1%13.9%won +1.95
- Crocobetunder 23.51.95+29.8%13.8%won +0.95
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +90.9%- Bet365over 15.51.91+10.9%7.9%won +0.91
Inter Miami CFvDC UnitedMLS2 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Betliveunder 23.52.05+2.7%13.3%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 24.51.95+12.0%8.1%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Crocobetover 29.51.85+6.4%14.7%awaiting result
Orlando City SCvColumbus CrewMLS1 position · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 23.51.92+15.3%8.3%awaiting result
São PaulovVitóriaBrasileirão Série A1 position · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Betliveunder 24.52.80+51.4%13.8%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 25.52.45+50.0%12.2%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 26.52.05+39.2%8.3%awaiting result
- Crocobetunder 26.52.00+35.8%14.5%awaiting result
River PlatevEstudiantes de Río CuartoLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 23.51.97+32.7%7.9%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Crocobetover 26.51.85+5.8%14.7%awaiting result
Minnesota UnitedvHouston DynamoMLS1 position · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 24.51.88+23.9%8.1%awaiting result
Austin FCvNashville SCMLS1 position · awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 11.52.12+18.0%8.1%awaiting result
Board record · all time
settled positions09 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost0 / 0positions won / lost
avg odds—mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+0.00units, one a position
measured ROI—0 settled positions in the board record — under the 1,000 the plan's ROI wants
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.