Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Fri, 9 Oct 2026 · 48 positions on 19 matches across 7 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions471 awaiting a result
won / lost17 / 30positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−11.91units, one a position
ROI, the day−25.4%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 19 of 19 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
Al-FatehvAl-AhliSaudi Pro League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.96 units
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → +0.96 · ROI +96.0%- Kambiunder 3.52.02+9.0%—won +1.02
- Liderbetunder 3.51.90+2.5%—won +0.90
FC Corvinul HunedoaravFC VoluntariRomanian Super Liga2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.07 units
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.46 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 9.52.00+30.9%—won +1.00
- Superbetover 10.52.92+58.2%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.5%- Superbetover 5.52.00+15.7%—won +1.00
- Liderbetover 5.51.85+7.0%—won +0.85
1. FC Heidenheimv1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga2 positions · 0 of 1 won · 1 awaiting result · −1.00 units
Cards · away team · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 2.51.90+18.9%—awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 2.51.80+12.7%—awaiting result
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 10.52.25+24.8%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 9.51.95+28.9%—lost −1.00
Eintracht BraunschweigvHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.10+15.9%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 2.51.95+7.6%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 10.52.35+29.2%—lost −1.00
GalatasarayvKasımpaşaTrendyol Süper Lig4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.20 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.51.95+26.7%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 2.51.85+20.2%—lost −1.00
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.25+16.9%—lost −1.00
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.25+25.6%—won +1.25
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 10.51.95+0.8%—won +0.95
AldosivivSarmientoLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.87+7.4%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 2.51.80+4.1%—lost −1.00
MoreirensevGil VicenteLiga Portugal Betclic2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 3.52.00+0.6%—lost −1.00
- Superbetunder 3.51.97+14.7%—lost −1.00
- Betliveunder 3.51.85+7.7%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 3.51.80+4.8%—lost −1.00
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.05+18.4%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 12.51.95+12.6%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80+19.5%—lost −1.00
MontpelliervGrenoble Foot 38Ligue 22 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.51.85+28.4%—lost −1.00
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.20+22.8%—lost −1.00
- Bet365under 5.52.10+14.9%—lost −1.00
- Betliveunder 5.52.10+14.3%—lost −1.00
SochauxvUS Boulogne Côte-d'OpaleLigue 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.17 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.83 · ROI +82.5%- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+23.7%—won +0.85
- Betliveunder 2.51.80+21.5%—won +0.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.35+25.9%—lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.15+10.5%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 4.52.10+9.4%—lost −1.00
PSV EindhovenvSC HeerenveenEredivisie5 positions · 0 of 5 won · −5.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 9.51.87+0.4%—lost −1.00
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 2.51.85+5.1%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 2.51.80+2.3%—lost −1.00
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 7.51.95+21.9%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.61 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 13.52.70+46.7%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 13.52.65+44.0%—lost −1.00
- Kambiover 13.52.60+53.4%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 13.52.50+35.9%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 8.52.35+49.3%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 8.52.30+46.1%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 8.52.10+33.4%—lost −1.00
Borussia DortmundvSV Werder BremenBundesliga2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.99 units
Shots on target · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → +1.09 · ROI +109.0%- Kambiover 6.52.17+9.8%—won +1.17
- Superbetover 6.52.10+6.2%—won +1.10
- Bet365over 6.52.00+1.2%—won +1.00
Throw-ins · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetover 36.51.90+9.7%—won +0.90
RC LensvOlympique LyonnaisLigue 15 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.99 units
Cards · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +129.6%- Kambiunder 1.52.38+34.0%—won +1.38
- Superbetunder 1.52.35+31.0%—won +1.35
- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+29.5%—won +1.30
- Liderbetunder 1.52.30+29.5%—won +1.30
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+20.1%—won +1.15
Cards · away team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.79 avg → +1.79 · ROI +179.4%- Crocobetunder 1.52.85+64.1%—won +1.85
- Liderbetunder 1.52.85+64.1%—won +1.85
- Superbetunder 1.52.82+60.7%—won +1.82
- Betliveunder 1.52.75+61.4%—won +1.75
- Kambiunder 1.52.70+55.4%—won +1.70
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.51.97+14.5%—lost −1.00
- Kambiunder 5.51.86+11.6%—lost −1.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 8.51.90+1.8%—won +0.90
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 3.52.20+10.6%—lost −1.00
- Betliveover 3.52.15+8.0%—lost −1.00
SK BeverenvLommel SKPro League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.30 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.12+19.1%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 1.51.95+6.7%—lost −1.00
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.90+1.6%—won +0.90
Corners · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKunder 5.52.12+13.2%—lost −1.00
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 10.51.80+12.1%—won +0.80
MálagavEspanyolLaLiga4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.39 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.10+40.4%—lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.00+33.7%—lost −1.00
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 13.51.90+14.5%—lost −1.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → +1.19 · ROI +119.5%- Crocobetunder 6.52.10+53.4%—won +1.10
- Liderbetunder 6.52.05+49.7%—won +1.05
- Superbetunder 7.51.88+58.5%—won +0.88
- Betliveunder 5.52.75+59.1%—lost −1.00
Saves · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.30+16.5%—won +1.30
- Crocobetover 6.52.10+6.3%—won +1.10
West Ham UnitedvQueens Park RangersChampionship3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 3.52.50+28.5%—lost −1.00
- Betliveover 3.52.25+15.6%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 3.52.20+13.1%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 9.51.80+11.2%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.25+29.2%—lost −1.00
Sporting BragavSportingLiga Portugal Betclic4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.10 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.80+24.1%—won +0.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKunder 3.52.08+41.0%—lost −1.00
- Kambiunder 3.52.08+41.0%—lost −1.00
- Bet365under 3.52.00+35.6%—lost −1.00
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.00+20.6%—won +1.00
- Liderbetunder 11.52.00+20.6%—won +1.00
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Liderbetunder 4.52.30+16.0%—won +1.30
Gimnasia y EsgrimavAtlético TucumánLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.10+23.0%—lost −1.00
Instituto De CórdobavBoca JuniorsLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 2.51.80+16.1%—lost −1.00
Club Atlético Unión de Santa FevDefensa y JusticiaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.10+10.5%—lost −1.00
Board record · all time
settled positions09 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost0 / 0positions won / lost
avg odds—mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+0.00units, one a position
measured ROI—0 settled positions in the board record — under the 1,000 the plan's ROI wants
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Each bookmaker and market cell is measured separately. Its own record needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive 14- and 30-day returns. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes that bookmaker's offer at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes it below +10 %. Other bookmakers on the same market can have different states. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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