Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 28 positions on 5 matches across 7 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem VIP Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions28all with a result
won / lost19 / 9positions won / lost
avg odds2.02mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+9.60units, one a position
ROI, the day+34.3%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 5 of 5 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
CFR 1907 ClujvFC Universitatea ClujRomanian Super Liga6 positions · 1 of 6 won · −4.02 units
Corners · match total · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 9.52.00+3.0%7.9%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 9.51.92+1.2%9.2%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 9.51.90+0.1%13.2%lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 9.51.90+0.1%13.2%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 9.51.90+0.1%13.2%lost −1.00
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.21 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 22.51.95+28.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 20.52.45+26.5%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Superbetunder 20.52.22+14.6%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 2.22
Shots · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 15.52.32+76.8%9.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
- Liderbetover 15.52.05+56.2%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Shots · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → +0.98 · ROI +98.5%- Superbetover 14.52.02+39.7%8.3%won +1.02
- Liderbetover 14.51.95+34.8%13.8%won +0.95
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 5.52.55+47.1%10.6%lost −1.00
- Liderbetover 5.52.50+44.3%14.1%lost −1.00
- Betliveover 5.52.10+16.8%14.3%lost −1.00
Throw-ins · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 19.52.45+83.5%13.8%lost −1.00
- Superbetunder 20.52.00+61.4%8.1%lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 20.51.85+49.3%14.7%lost −1.00
SantosvFlamengoBrasileirão Série A4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.25 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 23.51.95+7.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 25.51.95+34.6%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 27.51.85−2.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 12.52.00+11.4%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKover 12.51.85+3.0%11.5%won +0.85first captured 1.84 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetover 12.51.85+3.0%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 4.52.20+11.1%14.4%lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKover 4.52.17+9.5%11.0%lost −1.00
- Superbetover 4.52.17+9.5%8.6%lost −1.00
- Kambiover 4.52.12+7.0%10.9%lost −1.00
AthleticovAtlético MineiroBrasileirão Série A8 positions · 7 of 8 won · +5.81 units
Cards · match total · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → +1.06 · ROI +106.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.20+24.4%7.6%won +1.20
- Betliveunder 4.52.05+15.9%13.3%won +1.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.05+15.9%13.3%won +1.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+15.9%13.3%won +1.05
- Kambiunder 4.51.95+10.3%9.8%won +0.95
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +89.0%- Kambiunder 2.51.93+22.3%9.0%won +0.93
- Betliveunder 2.51.85+17.2%14.7%won +0.85
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetunder 25.52.20+22.6%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 26.52.00+25.4%8.5%won +1.00first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +97.0%- Kambiover 27.52.23+24.8%11.5%won +1.23first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.23
- Superbetover 27.52.00+11.9%7.8%won +1.00first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 27.51.85+3.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetover 26.51.80+12.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- BetMGM UKover 14.51.85+8.0%11.5%won +0.85first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Kambiover 14.51.85+8.0%11.5%won +0.85first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · away team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +106.7%- Superbetover 12.52.40+28.7%7.9%won +1.40
- Kambiover 11.51.95+25.1%11.2%won +0.95
- Crocobetover 11.51.85+18.6%14.7%won +0.85
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +87.0%- Superbetover 4.51.87+13.4%8.1%won +0.87
Throw-ins · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 37.52.10+33.6%14.3%lost −1.00
FluminensevCoritibaBrasileirão Série A4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.93 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +107.5%- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+24.9%14.4%won +1.20
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+10.7%13.8%won +0.95
Fouls · match total · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +96.7%- Superbetunder 23.52.25+15.5%9.0%won +1.25first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 23.51.85−5.0%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 24.51.80+5.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.51.95+2.0%13.8%lost −1.00
Shots · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%- Crocobetover 28.51.95+8.7%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 28.51.80+0.3%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
PalmeirasvBahiaBrasileirão Série A6 positions · 6 of 6 won · +6.15 units
Fouls · match total · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +116.7%- Superbetunder 24.52.30+32.7%8.0%won +1.30first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 24.52.10+21.1%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 25.52.10+35.9%12.1%won +1.10first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.00+30.3%14.5%won +1.00
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80+34.1%12.7%won +0.80
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +107.5%- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+14.8%14.4%won +1.20
- Liderbetunder 1.51.95+1.8%13.8%won +0.95
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 28.51.95+13.9%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +86.7%- Kambiover 17.51.95+19.9%11.5%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 18.51.85−2.0%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- BetMGM UKover 18.51.80−4.6%11.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.3%- Crocobetover 6.52.35+20.3%14.0%won +1.35
- BetMGM UKover 6.52.10+7.5%11.3%won +1.10
- Kambiover 6.52.10+7.5%11.3%won +1.10
Board record · all time
settled positions1,1349 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost602 / 532positions won / lost
avg odds2.14mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+128.29units, one a position
measured ROI+11.3%1,134 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.