Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sat, 26 Sept 2026 · 46 positions on 28 matches across 4 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem VIP Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions46all with a result
won / lost27 / 19positions won / lost
avg odds2.04mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+8.98units, one a position
ROI, the day+19.5%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 28 of 28 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
AD CeutavReal Sociedad BLaLiga 21 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.02 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.0%- Superbetover 26.52.02+7.1%8.3%won +1.02first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
GranadavFC AndorraLaLiga 21 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.19 units
Shots · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → +1.19 · ROI +119.2%- Superbetover 27.52.52+30.2%10.1%won +1.52first captured 2.52 → last pre-kickoff 2.52
- Betliveover 27.52.35+21.4%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetover 26.51.95+13.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 26.51.95+13.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
San Marinov
FinlandUEFA Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 23.53.05+66.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 3.05 → last pre-kickoff 3.05
- Crocobetunder 23.52.95+61.1%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Betliveunder 23.52.85+55.6%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
Bulgariav
LuxembourgUEFA Nations League2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.92 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 19.51.95+2.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Throw-ins · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +96.7%- Betliveover 21.52.00+1.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 21.52.00+1.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 21.51.90−3.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Icelandv
EstoniaUEFA Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.95 units
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 20.51.95+10.0%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Faroe Islandsv
KazakhstanUEFA Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.05 units
Throw-ins · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Liderbetover 22.52.10+5.1%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveover 22.52.05+2.6%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetover 22.52.00+0.1%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
CD TenerifevCádizLaLiga 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 23.52.20+18.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetover 23.52.00+7.5%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Celta Vigo BvCE SabadellLaLiga 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 26.52.00+3.2%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetover 25.51.88+9.9%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Liderbetover 26.51.85−4.5%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
North Macedoniav
SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 23.51.85+1.4%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Czechiav
CroatiaUEFA Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.88 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Superbetunder 23.51.88−4.9%7.8%won +0.88first captured 1.74 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Englandv
SpainUEFA Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.44 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 20.53.15+59.2%11.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 3.15
- Crocobetunder 20.52.30+16.2%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 20.52.25+13.7%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 21.52.05+17.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Slovakiav
MoldovaUEFA Nations League2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.14 units
Fouls · match total · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +96.7%- Liderbetunder 25.52.00+0.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 25.51.95−1.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 25.51.95−1.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Throw-ins · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +116.7%- Betliveover 21.52.55+46.8%12.2%won +1.55first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Crocobetover 20.52.10+35.5%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetover 19.51.85+31.7%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
USAv
PeruInternational Friendly Games1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 22.51.80−4.7%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Canadav
ChileInternational Friendly Games3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.44 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 24.52.50+52.1%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetunder 25.52.00+32.8%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Betliveover 20.52.10+14.0%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetover 20.51.95+5.9%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.42 avg → +1.42 · ROI +142.5%- Betliveover 12.52.50+27.3%14.1%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetover 12.52.35+19.7%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
CF MontréalvFC CincinnatiMLS1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.97 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +97.0%- Superbetunder 23.51.97+33.4%8.2%won +0.97first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Atlanta UnitedvNew York City FCMLS2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 24.51.97+33.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Betliveunder 22.51.95+3.6%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 22.51.85−1.8%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 25.52.00+5.0%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.27 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 25.51.95+2.3%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 24.51.85+9.8%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Charlotte FCvChicago FireMLS1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 21.51.92+0.5%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Philadelphia UnionvOrlando City SCMLS3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.93 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 24.51.87+16.4%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Shots · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Liderbetover 29.52.05+2.8%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetover 29.51.95−2.2%8.1%won +0.95first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.5%- Superbetover 19.52.00+6.6%8.1%won +1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 19.51.85−1.4%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Seattle Sounders FCvMinnesota UnitedMLS2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.82 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 24.51.90−0.2%8.2%won +0.90first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetover 15.51.92+19.9%8.3%won +0.92first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Austin FCvSan Diego FCMLS1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.89 units
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +88.5%- Superbetunder 23.51.97+18.1%8.2%won +0.97first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Liderbetunder 23.51.80+7.9%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
FC DallasvLos Angeles FCMLS3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.05 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 22.51.92−1.5%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 24.52.10+14.9%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.62 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Superbetover 12.51.95+17.2%8.1%won +0.95first captured 1.76 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Nashville SCvToronto FCMLS3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.99 units
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → +0.84 · ROI +84.0%- Superbetunder 23.51.88+17.9%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Liderbetunder 22.51.80−0.5%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.67 avg → +1.67 · ROI +167.5%- Superbetover 28.53.10+55.1%11.0%won +2.10first captured 3.05 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
- Liderbetover 27.52.25+27.2%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Shots · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → +1.48 · ROI +147.5%- Superbetover 17.52.60+34.3%9.9%won +1.60first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Liderbetover 17.52.35+21.4%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Houston DynamovSporting Kansas CityMLS1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.95 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Superbetover 25.51.95+7.0%8.1%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Mexicov
ColombiaInternational Friendly Games1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 23.52.35+19.1%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 24.52.00+13.2%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Real Salt LakevNew England RevolutionMLS3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 24.51.88+36.6%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Liderbetunder 21.52.00+2.1%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 26.51.90−3.6%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 14.52.05+2.9%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetover 13.51.85+10.8%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
LA GalaxyvColorado RapidsMLS3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.15 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 25.51.90+5.4%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 25.51.80−0.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 26.51.80−8.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetover 13.51.85−4.1%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Vancouver WhitecapsvDC UnitedMLS3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.09 units
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.5%- Liderbetunder 25.51.95+5.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 25.51.90+2.6%8.2%won +0.90first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.5%- Superbetover 28.52.50+25.5%9.4%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Liderbetover 27.51.85+4.9%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 19.51.95−2.1%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetover 18.51.87+9.2%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
San Jose EarthquakesvPortland TimbersMLS1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.10 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Liderbetunder 23.52.10+34.7%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Board record · all time
settled positions1,2389 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost641 / 597positions won / lost
avg odds2.13mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+100.28units, one a position
measured ROI+8.1%1,238 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
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- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Each bookmaker and market cell is measured separately. Its own record needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive 14- and 30-day returns. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes that bookmaker's offer at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes it below +10 %. Other bookmakers on the same market can have different states. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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