Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Mon, 7 Sept 2026 · 10 positions on 4 matches across 1 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
CagliarivLecceSerie A3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.85 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 13.51.85+0.9%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+17.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.65+40.2%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
UdinesevLazioSerie A1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+1.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
ElchevReal SociedadLaLiga3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +5.15 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.85 avg → +1.85 · ROI +185.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.85+99.3%12.0%won +1.85first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Crocobetover 9.52.45+32.9%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.85 avg → +1.85 · ROI +185.0%- Crocobetover 4.52.85+52.3%12.0%won +1.85first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
VitóriavGrêmioBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+14.3%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.80−9.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.50 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.50+54.2%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
Board record · all time
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.