Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sun, 6 Sept 2026 · 54 positions on 17 matches across 1 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions54all with a result
won / lost26 / 28positions won / lost
avg odds2.11mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−0.85units, one a position
ROI, the day−1.6%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 17 of 17 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
FrosinonevVeneziaSerie A4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −1.90 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+67.0%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.75 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.75+78.5%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.85+58.0%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
Offsides · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetover 3.52.10+9.2%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
TroyesvRC StrasbourgLigue 14 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.10 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+3.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.45+28.4%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 7.51.90+0.9%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 7.51.85−6.2%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
ParmavMonzaSerie A2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.15 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 13.51.95+14.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 7.51.85−3.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
CoritibavMirassolBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.95 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetunder 12.51.95+17.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Offsides · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetover 2.52.00+18.3%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
ValenciavBarcelonaLaLiga5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +4.30 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.90−4.5%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetunder 3.52.10+15.2%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 9.52.00+13.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.90+7.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.30 avg → +2.30 · ROI +230.0%- Crocobetunder 2.53.30+122.0%12.3%won +2.30first captured 3.30 → last pre-kickoff 3.30
Eintracht FrankfurtvFC AugsburgBundesliga4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.40 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.90−1.4%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 10.51.85−3.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Crocobetover 10.52.45+26.1%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 5.51.95+18.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
BolognavSassuoloSerie A2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.75 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 12.51.90+3.0%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+0.2%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
MálagavLevante UDLaLiga6 positions · 0 of 6 won · −6.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.45+40.5%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.85+56.0%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 10.53.10+77.3%12.3%lost −1.00first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+35.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 8.51.95+19.9%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 4.51.85+9.4%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Deportivo AlavésvOsasunaLaLiga3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.00 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 2.51.85−4.1%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 3.51.95+0.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Throw-ins · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Crocobetover 40.52.20+15.5%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Olympique de MarseillevParis FCLigue 12 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.00 units
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+18.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 8.52.20+17.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
JuventusvMilanSerie A4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.20 units
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.85+9.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 8.52.20+11.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.90−1.7%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Throw-ins · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 33.51.95+4.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
InternacionalvSantosBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+12.6%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.20+23.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
RemovFlamengoBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 10.52.10+13.7%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 3.52.10+15.3%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
CruzeirovAthleticoBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.10 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.00+44.0%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetover 9.52.10+6.2%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetover 5.52.00+17.0%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
EspanyolvSevillaLaLiga2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.40 units
Offsides · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Crocobetover 3.52.20+34.7%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Throw-ins · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Crocobetover 40.52.20+24.5%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
BotafogovPalmeirasBrasileirão Série A4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.20 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 2.51.95+2.5%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetunder 12.51.80+19.3%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 9.51.95+12.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 4.52.00+10.9%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
CorinthiansvChapecoenseBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.20 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.20+23.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetover 8.51.80+11.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 6.52.20+10.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Board record · all time
settled positions2,2979 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,157 / 1,140positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+65.02units, one a position
measured ROI+2.8%2,297 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.