Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · 25 positions on 14 matches across 1 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem VIP Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions25all with a result
won / lost15 / 10positions won / lost
avg odds2.19mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+7.95units, one a position
ROI, the day+31.8%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 14 of 14 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
Paris FCvNiceLigue 11 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Throw-ins · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 17.52.20+45.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
AthleticovFluminenseBrasileirão Série A1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 27.51.85+3.4%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Real MadridvMálagaLaLiga1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.85 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.85 avg → +1.85 · ROI +185.0%- Crocobetunder 20.52.85+121.9%12.0%won +1.85first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
FC AugsburgvFC Schalke 04Bundesliga3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.10 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Crocobetunder 22.52.30+24.1%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 25.51.85+13.2%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 13.51.95+14.6%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
NapolivComoSerie A1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 23.52.00+3.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Deportivo La CoruñavValenciaLaLiga3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −0.55 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Crocobetunder 21.52.45+32.5%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 26.52.65+71.8%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 13.52.65+66.6%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
CagliarivInterSerie A3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +5.20 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.10 avg → +2.10 · ROI +210.0%- Crocobetunder 21.53.10+56.4%12.3%won +2.10first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetover 25.52.00+2.1%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.10 avg → +2.10 · ROI +210.0%- Crocobetover 9.53.10+138.8%12.3%won +2.10first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
LaziovGenoaSerie A1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 23.53.10+55.3%12.3%lost −1.00first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
AS MonacovOlympique de MarseilleLigue 11 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Throw-ins · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 16.51.90+10.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
FlamengovBotafogoBrasileirão Série A1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 25.51.85+10.4%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
CorinthiansvSantosBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.85 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 27.52.00+35.2%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 25.51.85−3.3%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
MirassolvPalmeirasBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 24.51.80+2.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 12.51.85−6.1%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
GrêmiovChapecoenseBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.20 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetunder 25.51.80+1.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Throw-ins · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 17.51.85+0.6%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
BahiavInternacionalBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 28.52.00+44.2%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 27.51.95+11.5%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 16.51.95+12.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Board record · all time
settled positions1,1189 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost595 / 523positions won / lost
avg odds2.14mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+131.04units, one a position
measured ROI+11.7%1,118 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.