Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 · 37 positions on 18 matches across 1 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem VIP Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions37all with a result
won / lost31 / 6positions won / lost
avg odds2.09mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+25.95units, one a position
ROI, the day+70.1%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 18 of 18 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
1. FSV Mainz 05vSC Paderborn 07Bundesliga3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +5.05 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.10 avg → +2.10 · ROI +210.0%- Crocobetunder 19.53.10+84.7%12.3%won +2.10first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Crocobetover 28.52.30+16.7%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → +1.65 · ROI +165.0%- Crocobetover 17.52.65+32.8%11.8%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
SV 07 ElversbergvBayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.50 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 17.53.50+83.7%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 3.50 → last pre-kickoff 3.50
1. FC Union BerlinvEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.70 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 25.51.85+2.7%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 13.51.85−4.5%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
RB LeipzigvBorussia M'gladbachBundesliga1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 18.51.85+15.7%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Levante UDvReal BetisLaLiga4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.90 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 23.51.85+12.8%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 26.51.85−2.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Crocobetover 13.52.20+25.8%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Throw-ins · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 16.51.90+8.7%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
RC StrasbourgvRC LensLigue 12 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.90 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetunder 23.51.95+9.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 12.51.95−1.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
FiorentinavFrosinoneSerie A4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.95 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 24.52.85+81.2%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 26.51.95+8.4%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetover 15.52.10+8.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 18.51.90−3.0%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
MonzavUdineseSerie A2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 24.52.00+9.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetover 16.52.00+21.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
SassuolovTorinoSerie A2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.95 units
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 12.51.95+16.6%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetover 17.52.00+15.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Real SociedadvEspanyolLaLiga1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 25.52.30+26.0%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
JuventusvParmaSerie A1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 23.51.85−6.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Olympique LyonnaisvLe HavreLigue 14 positions · 4 of 4 won · +3.90 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Crocobetunder 24.52.20+16.8%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 24.51.90+3.4%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 14.51.85+8.9%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 19.51.95+8.4%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
AuxerrevAngersLigue 11 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 19.51.85+10.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Stade BrestoisvToulouseLigue 11 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.10 units
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetover 17.52.10+46.3%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
SevillavAtlético MadridLaLiga3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.20 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 23.51.85+10.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Crocobetover 12.52.45+35.3%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Throw-ins · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 18.51.90−1.4%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Atlético MineirovVitóriaBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.20 units
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 24.52.10+20.7%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetover 26.51.80−4.5%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
São PaulovRed Bull BragantinoBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.80 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 26.51.85+18.7%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 14.51.95−1.9%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Vasco da GamavCruzeiroBrasileirão Série A1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.00 units
Fouls · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 27.52.00+32.7%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Board record · all time
settled positions1,1189 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost595 / 523positions won / lost
avg odds2.14mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+131.04units, one a position
measured ROI+11.7%1,118 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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