Predictions Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Public beta 18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research Independence, method & limitations We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.
An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.
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Match day · Loading… Bookmaker filters price options; results use the recorded picks.
Today * Est. = historical estimate
Browse the full month W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 — — 31 — — W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Picks Daily results Overall results Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
29 picks shown with Superbet prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
06:00 Albacete Balompié v Eibar 2 historical estimates under 2.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.97
→ Closing odds 1.97
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.97
→ Closing odds 1.97
Model chance 66.2%EV +30.5%Betlive Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 66.2%EV +29.1%Crocobet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 66.2%EV +22.5%Liderbet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.80
→ Closing odds 1.80
Model chance 66.2%EV +19.2%Corners · Albacete Balompié total Open match → Historical estimate under 4.5
Bet365 reference price
Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Bet365 reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 61.3%EV +34.9%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 61.3%EV +34.9%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 61.3%EV +34.9%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 61.3%EV +34.9%Superbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.15
→ Closing odds 2.15
Model chance 61.3%EV +31.9%BetMGM UK Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 61.3%EV +19.6%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 61.3%EV +19.6%07:00 Finland v Albania 1 historical estimate under 4.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.88
→ Closing odds 1.88
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.88
→ Closing odds 1.88
Model chance 60.6%EV +14.0%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 60.6%EV +12.2%10:00 Iceland v Bulgaria 1 historical estimate under 2.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 51.0%EV +2.1%10:00 Croatia v England 2 historical estimates under 3.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 62.3%EV +27.8%Paddy Power Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 62.3%EV +21.5%Superbet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 62.3%EV +19.7%Crocobet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 62.3%EV +18.4%Liderbet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 62.3%EV +18.4%Kambi Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 1.84
→ Closing odds 1.84
Model chance 62.3%EV +14.7%under 19.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 3.20
→ Closing odds 3.20
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 19.5 Reference odds 3.20
→ Closing odds 3.20
Model chance 50.6%EV +62.1%Crocobet Closing estimate under 19.5 Reference odds 3.10
→ Closing odds 3.10
Model chance 50.6%EV +57.0%Betlive Closing estimate under 19.5 Reference odds 3.00
→ Closing odds 3.00
Model chance 50.6%EV +51.9%Superbet Closing estimate under 20.5 Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 57.7%EV +19.5%10:00 Belarus v San Marino 1 historical estimate under 6.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 6.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 58.5%EV +14.1%Liderbet Closing estimate under 6.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 58.5%EV +14.1%Kambi Closing estimate under 6.5 Reference odds 1.93
→ Closing odds 1.93
Model chance 58.5%EV +13.0%Superbet Closing estimate under 6.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 58.5%EV +12.4%Crocobet Closing estimate under 6.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 58.5%EV +11.2%10:00 Estonia v Luxembourg 1 historical estimate under 3.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Model chance 64.3%EV +47.9%Betlive Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 64.3%EV +44.7%Crocobet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 64.3%EV +41.5%Superbet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 64.3%EV +41.5%Kambi Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.02
→ Closing odds 2.02
Model chance 64.3%EV +29.9%10:30 Cádiz v Leganés 3 historical estimates under 4.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 55.6%EV +5.7%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 55.6%EV +2.9%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.80
→ Closing odds 1.80
Model chance 55.6%EV +0.2%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.80
→ Closing odds 1.80
Model chance 55.6%EV +0.2%over 24.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.12
→ Closing odds 2.12
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate over 24.5 Reference odds 2.12
→ Closing odds 2.12
Model chance 52.8%EV +12.0%Liderbet Closing estimate over 24.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 52.8%EV +8.3%Crocobet Closing estimate over 24.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 52.8%EV +3.0%over 12.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.17
→ Closing odds 2.17
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate over 12.5 Reference odds 2.17
→ Closing odds 2.17
Model chance 51.2%EV +11.1%Liderbet Closing estimate over 12.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 51.2%EV +5.0%11:45 Defensa y Justicia v San Lorenzo 1 historical estimate under 23.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 23.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 53.4%EV +4.1%12:00 Canada v Peru 1 historical estimate under 5.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.15
→ Closing odds 2.15
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.15
→ Closing odds 2.15
Model chance 52.3%EV +12.3%Betlive Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 52.3%EV +9.7%Kambi Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 52.3%EV +9.7%Crocobet Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 52.3%EV +4.5%12:45 Switzerland v Slovenia 1 historical estimate under 5.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 54.3%EV +22.2%Liderbet Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 54.3%EV +22.2%Crocobet Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 54.3%EV +19.5%Bet365 Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 54.3%EV +14.1%Superbet Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds 2.07
Model chance 54.3%EV +12.5%Paddy Power Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 54.3%EV +11.4%Kambi Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 54.3%EV +4.3%12:45 Spain v Czechia 2 historical estimates under 18.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 3.25
→ Closing odds 3.25
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 18.5 Reference odds 3.25
→ Closing odds 3.25
Model chance 53.9%EV +75.2%Crocobet Closing estimate under 18.5 Reference odds 3.10
→ Closing odds 3.10
Model chance 53.9%EV +67.1%Betlive Closing estimate under 18.5 Reference odds 2.80
→ Closing odds 2.80
Model chance 53.9%EV +50.9%Superbet Closing estimate under 18.5 Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Model chance 53.9%EV +24.0%Shots on target · Spain total Open match → Historical estimate over 8.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate over 8.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 50.3%EV +5.6%Bet365 Closing estimate over 8.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 50.3%EV +0.6%Betlive Closing estimate over 8.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 50.3%EV +0.6%Crocobet Closing estimate over 8.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 50.3%EV +0.6%12:45 North Macedonia v Scotland 3 historical estimates under 24.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 24.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 57.5%EV +9.3%under 12.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.87
→ Closing odds 1.87
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 12.5 Reference odds 1.87
→ Closing odds 1.87
Model chance 58.7%EV +9.8%Shots · North Macedonia total Open match → Historical estimate over 8.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate over 8.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 53.1%EV +1.9%14:00 Atlético Tucumán v Barracas Central 1 historical estimate Corners · Atlético Tucumán total Open match → Historical estimate under 4.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 58.3%EV +31.1%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 58.3%EV +31.1%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 58.3%EV +28.2%Superbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.15
→ Closing odds 2.15
Model chance 58.3%EV +25.3%BetMGM UK Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 58.3%EV +22.4%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds 2.07
Model chance 58.3%EV +20.6%14:00 Newell's Old Boys v Lanús 2 historical estimates under 24.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 24.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 53.8%EV +3.2%under 12.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 12.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 57.1%EV +11.3%Crocobet Closing estimate under 12.5 Reference odds 1.80
→ Closing odds 1.80
Model chance 57.1%EV +2.7%15:30 Atlético Mineiro v Red Bull Bragantino 4 historical estimates Cards · Red Bull Bragantino total Open match → Historical estimate under 2.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 2.35
→ Closing odds 2.35
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.35
→ Closing odds 2.35
Model chance 65.2%EV +53.2%Crocobet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 65.2%EV +43.5%Superbet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.12
→ Closing odds 2.12
Model chance 65.2%EV +38.2%Corners · Atlético Mineiro total Open match → Historical estimate under 5.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 53.8%EV +3.3%Bet365 Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.91
→ Closing odds 1.91
Model chance 53.8%EV +2.7%BetMGM UK Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.88
→ Closing odds 1.88
Model chance 53.8%EV +1.2%Kambi Closing estimate under 5.5 Reference odds 1.88
→ Closing odds 1.88
Model chance 53.8%EV +1.2%under 25.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds 2.07
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 25.5 Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds 2.07
Model chance 71.0%EV +47.0%Crocobet Closing estimate under 24.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 64.4%EV +19.2%Fouls · Red Bull Bragantino total Open match → Historical estimate under 13.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Crocobet Closing estimate under 12.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 60.8%EV +33.8%Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 13.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 70.6%EV +41.2%20:00 USA v Mexico 3 historical estimates under 1.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.12
→ Closing odds 2.12
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.12
→ Closing odds 2.12
Model chance 52.4%EV +11.2%Kambi Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.08
→ Closing odds 2.08
Model chance 52.4%EV +9.1%under 1.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds 2.07
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds 2.07
Model chance 58.6%EV +21.3%Kambi Closing estimate under 1.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 58.6%EV +17.2%under 3.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Model chance 52.8%EV +21.6%Crocobet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 52.8%EV +16.3%Superbet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.17
→ Closing odds 2.17
Model chance 52.8%EV +14.7%Kambi Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.16
→ Closing odds 2.16
Model chance 52.8%EV +14.1%BetMGM UK Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.15
→ Closing odds 2.15
Model chance 52.8%EV +13.6%Selected day
Sat, 3 Oct 2026 Recorded results · all bookmaker options Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.
29 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
ROI +2.6%
Profit +132.56 u
W / L 2,518 / 2,604
Avg odds 2.15
How to read this board A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.
Finlandv
AlbaniaUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Icelandv
BulgariaUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Croatiav
EnglandUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates
Belarusv
San MarinoUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Estoniav
LuxembourgUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Canadav
PeruInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate
Switzerlandv
SloveniaUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Spainv
CzechiaUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates
North Macedoniav
ScotlandUEFA Nations League3 historical estimates
USAv
MexicoInternational Friendly Games3 historical estimates