Predictions Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Public beta 18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research Independence, method & limitations We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.
An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.
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0 Free available0 VIP available11 Recorded Free4 Recorded VIP
Match day · Loading… Bookmaker filters price options; results use the recorded picks.
Today * Est. = historical estimate
Browse the full month W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 — — 31 — — W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
W / L picksEst. = historical estimate
Picks Daily results Overall results Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
15 picks shown with Superbet prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
05:35 China v New Zealand 1 historical estimate under 3.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 2.90
→ Closing odds 2.90
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.90
→ Closing odds 2.90
Model chance 53.1%EV +54.1%Betlive Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.75
→ Closing odds 2.75
Model chance 53.1%EV +46.1%Crocobet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.70
→ Closing odds 2.70
Model chance 53.1%EV +43.5%Superbet Closing estimate under 3.5 Reference odds 2.45
→ Closing odds 2.45
Model chance 53.1%EV +30.2%06:00 Real Valladolid v Córdoba 2 historical estimates over 27.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 2.80
→ Closing odds 2.80
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate over 27.5 Reference odds 2.80
→ Closing odds 2.80
Model chance 51.7%EV +44.8%Superbet Closing estimate over 27.5 Reference odds 2.32
→ Closing odds 2.32
Model chance 51.7%EV +20.0%Liderbet Closing estimate over 27.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 51.7%EV +8.6%Crocobet Closing estimate over 25.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 65.0%EV +29.9%Shots on target · Real Valladolid total Open match → Historical estimate over 4.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.02
→ Closing odds 2.02
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate over 4.5 Reference odds 2.02
→ Closing odds 2.02
Model chance 51.6%EV +4.3%Crocobet Closing estimate over 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 51.6%EV +0.7%07:00 Lithuania v Azerbaijan 1 historical estimate under 4.5
Crocobet reference price
Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Crocobet reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 54.0%EV +5.3%Superbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 54.0%EV +5.3%08:15 Mallorca v Almería 2 historical estimates under 2.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.92
→ Closing odds 1.92
Model chance 53.5%EV +2.7%under 4.5
Betlive reference price
Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Betlive reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 50.0%EV +2.5%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.05
→ Closing odds 2.05
Model chance 50.0%EV +2.5%Superbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.02
→ Closing odds 2.02
Model chance 50.0%EV +1.0%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 50.0%EV +0.0%10:00 Serbia v Netherlands 2 historical estimates under 21.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 2.75
→ Closing odds 2.75
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 21.5 Reference odds 2.75
→ Closing odds 2.75
Model chance 54.3%EV +49.4%Crocobet Closing estimate under 21.5 Reference odds 2.45
→ Closing odds 2.45
Model chance 54.3%EV +33.1%Betlive Closing estimate under 21.5 Reference odds 2.25
→ Closing odds 2.25
Model chance 54.3%EV +22.2%Superbet Closing estimate under 23.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 67.1%EV +27.4%under 10.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 10.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 57.6%EV +15.2%Crocobet Closing estimate under 10.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 57.6%EV +12.3%Superbet Closing estimate under 10.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 57.6%EV +12.3%Betlive Closing estimate under 10.5 Reference odds 1.85
→ Closing odds 1.85
Model chance 57.6%EV +6.5%10:30 Eibar v Las Palmas 1 historical estimate under 4.5
BetMGM UK reference price
Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
BetMGM UK reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Model chance 57.4%EV +31.9%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Model chance 57.4%EV +31.9%Superbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.17
→ Closing odds 2.17
Model chance 57.4%EV +24.5%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 57.4%EV +14.7%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 57.4%EV +14.7%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 57.4%EV +14.7%12:45 Norway v Portugal 2 historical estimates under 19.5
Liderbet reference price
Reference odds 2.55
→ Closing odds 2.55
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Crocobet Closing estimate under 20.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 62.0%EV +24.1%Liderbet reference price Closing estimate under 19.5 Reference odds 2.55
→ Closing odds 2.55
Model chance 55.0%EV +40.3%Betlive Closing estimate under 19.5 Reference odds 2.45
→ Closing odds 2.45
Model chance 55.0%EV +34.8%Superbet Closing estimate under 19.5 Reference odds 2.27
→ Closing odds 2.27
Model chance 55.0%EV +24.9%under 7.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.97
→ Closing odds 1.97
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 7.5 Reference odds 1.97
→ Closing odds 1.97
Model chance 59.2%EV +16.7%12:45 Germany v Greece 1 historical estimate under 21.5
Crocobet reference price
Reference odds 2.95
→ Closing odds 2.95
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet Closing estimate under 23.5 Reference odds 2.07
→ Closing odds —
Different lines · no price comparison Model chance 65.8%EV +36.3%Crocobet reference price Closing estimate under 21.5 Reference odds 2.95
→ Closing odds 2.95
Model chance 53.0%EV +56.4%Liderbet Closing estimate under 21.5 Reference odds 2.65
→ Closing odds 2.65
Model chance 53.0%EV +40.5%Betlive Closing estimate under 21.5 Reference odds 2.55
→ Closing odds 2.55
Model chance 53.0%EV +35.2%13:00 Real Oviedo v Sporting Gijón 2 historical estimates under 2.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.12
→ Closing odds 2.12
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 2.12
→ Closing odds 2.12
Model chance 52.9%EV +12.3%Betlive Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 52.9%EV +3.3%Liderbet Closing estimate under 2.5 Reference odds 1.95
→ Closing odds 1.95
Model chance 52.9%EV +3.3%under 4.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.30
→ Closing odds 2.30
Model chance 53.1%EV +22.2%Liderbet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.27
→ Closing odds 2.27
Model chance 53.1%EV +20.6%Betlive Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.20
→ Closing odds 2.20
Model chance 53.1%EV +16.9%Crocobet Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.10
→ Closing odds 2.10
Model chance 53.1%EV +11.6%Kambi Closing estimate under 4.5 Reference odds 2.00
→ Closing odds 2.00
Model chance 53.1%EV +6.2%17:00 Columbus Crew v Inter Miami CF 1 historical estimate Goal kicks · Inter Miami CF total Open match → Historical estimate under 6.5
Superbet reference price
Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.
Bookmaker prices and pick details Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bookmaker Line Captured → closing Model chance EV
Superbet reference price Closing estimate under 6.5 Reference odds 1.90
→ Closing odds 1.90
Model chance 53.9%EV +2.4%Selected day
Sun, 27 Sept 2026 Recorded results · all bookmaker options Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.
15 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
ROI +2.5%
Profit +127.97 u
W / L 2,551 / 2,637
Avg odds 2.14
How to read this board A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.
Chinav
New ZealandInternational Friendly Games1 historical estimate
Lithuaniav
AzerbaijanUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
Serbiav
NetherlandsUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates
Norwayv
PortugalUEFA Nations League2 historical estimates
Germanyv
GreeceUEFA Nations League1 historical estimate
