Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

50 picks shown with Superbet prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

18 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürthv1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga2 historical estimates

Cards · 1. FC Magdeburg total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.87
Closing odds1.87

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds1.87
    Model chance60.6%EV+13.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance60.6%EV+9.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance60.6%EV+9.2%

Corners · SpVgg Greuther Fürth total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.4%EV+17.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.4%EV+14.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.4%EV+11.9%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance57.4%EV+9.5%
KasımpaşavKonyasporTrendyol Süper Lig3 historical estimates

Corners · Kasımpaşa total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance52.1%EV+2.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance52.1%EV+0.0%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance55.0%EV+29.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance55.0%EV+12.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance55.0%EV+7.3%

Shots · Kasımpaşa total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 13.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.6%EV+22.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 13.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.6%EV+10.3%
  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance64.5%EV+25.7%
Stade de ReimsvMontpellierLigue 21 historical estimate

Corners · Stade de Reims total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance52.9%EV+8.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance52.9%EV+5.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance52.9%EV+0.9%
Stade LavalloisvSochauxLigue 21 historical estimate

Corners · Stade Lavallois total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance53.6%EV+10.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance53.6%EV+8.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.6%EV+7.3%
FC GroningenvPEC ZwolleEredivisie3 historical estimates

Fouls · PEC Zwolle total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance50.8%EV+27.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance50.8%EV+19.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.3%EV+19.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.3%EV+18.4%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 32.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds3.35
Closing odds3.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 32.5
    Reference odds3.35
    Closing odds3.35
    Model chance53.4%EV+79.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance65.3%EV+43.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance65.3%EV+20.8%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 11.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance55.7%EV+44.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance55.7%EV+22.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance55.7%EV+17.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance55.7%EV+17.0%
FC Bayern Münchenv1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga6 historical estimates

Cards · 1. FC Union Berlin total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.0%EV+16.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance57.0%EV+12.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.0%EV+11.1%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 17.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.8%EV+25.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.8%EV+22.8%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 17.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance64.7%EV+42.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance64.7%EV+23.0%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 33.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.40
Closing odds2.40

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance52.9%EV+27.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance52.9%EV+21.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance52.9%EV+16.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance52.9%EV+16.4%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.5%EV+23.1%

Shots · FC Bayern München total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance58.3%EV+63.2%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.0%EV+59.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.0%EV+52.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.0%EV+52.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.0%EV+49.1%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds3.50
Closing odds3.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds3.50
    Closing odds3.50
    Model chance55.1%EV+93.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds3.30
    Closing odds3.30
    Model chance55.1%EV+82.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds3.15
    Closing odds3.15
    Model chance55.1%EV+73.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance74.5%EV+56.4%

Shots on target · FC Bayern München total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds4.65
Closing odds4.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds4.65
    Closing odds4.65
    Model chance51.5%EV+139.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.9%EV+59.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.9%EV+55.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.9%EV+55.7%
Albacete BalompiévCórdobaLaLiga 23 historical estimates

Corners · Albacete Balompié total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.4%EV+4.2%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 28.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.40
Closing odds2.40

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance54.8%EV+31.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance54.8%EV+23.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.8%EV+9.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance61.3%EV+19.4%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance53.5%EV+5.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
Juve StabiavCesenaSerie B2 historical estimates

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance59.5%EV+16.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Model chance59.5%EV+11.9%

Shots on target · Juve Stabia total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 4.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.5%EV+3.6%
KAA GentvStandard LiègePro League2 historical estimates

Cards · KAA Gent total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.0%EV+19.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.0%EV+11.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance57.0%EV+11.2%

Cards · Standard Liège total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.27
Closing odds2.27

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.27
    Closing odds2.27
    Model chance51.6%EV+17.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.6%EV+8.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.6%EV+5.7%
AS MonacovRC LensLigue 12 historical estimates

Cards · AS Monaco total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance52.7%EV+5.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance52.7%EV+0.1%

Corners · AS Monaco total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.4%EV+7.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.4%EV+5.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance51.4%EV+3.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.4%EV+0.2%
MonzavSassuoloSerie A6 historical estimates

Cards · Monza total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance54.3%EV+9.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.3%EV+8.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.3%EV+3.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.3%EV+3.2%

Cards · Sassuolo total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance51.3%EV+6.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.3%EV+2.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.3%EV+2.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.3%EV+0.1%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance74.0%EV+88.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance74.0%EV+81.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance74.0%EV+73.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance80.2%EV+62.0%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 29.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.75
Closing odds2.75

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance54.3%EV+49.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance54.3%EV+46.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance54.3%EV+46.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance54.3%EV+38.5%

Shots · Monza total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance59.1%EV+35.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance59.1%EV+32.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance59.1%EV+30.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance59.1%EV+25.2%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 13.5
    Reference odds1.96
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance68.2%EV+33.6%

Shots on target · Monza total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance60.2%EV+47.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance60.2%EV+38.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance60.2%EV+38.4%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance60.2%EV+14.4%
EspanyolvElcheLaLiga4 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.5%EV+35.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.5%EV+32.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance57.5%EV+32.2%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance64.7%EV+42.3%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 24.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+19.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+19.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+17.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance50.9%EV+4.3%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 24.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance64.6%EV+29.3%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance57.0%EV+25.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.0%EV+19.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.0%EV+19.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.0%EV+16.8%

Shots on target · Espanyol total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance50.3%EV+8.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance50.3%EV+8.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance50.3%EV+4.1%
Bristol CityvWatfordChampionship2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 28.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance67.7%EV+32.0%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance55.2%EV+40.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance61.5%EV+23.1%

Shots · Bristol City total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance54.8%EV+9.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.8%EV+6.8%
BrentfordvChelseaPremier League2 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.6%EV+5.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.6%EV+5.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.6%EV+4.3%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance58.2%EV+16.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance58.2%EV+7.7%

Shots · Brentford total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 14.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.27
Closing odds2.27

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.27
    Closing odds2.27
    Model chance54.8%EV+24.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance54.8%EV+20.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance54.8%EV+20.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 14.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance54.8%EV+20.5%
Central CórdobavDefensa y JusticiaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 historical estimate

Corners · Central Córdoba total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.5%EV+13.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.5%EV+10.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.5%EV+10.2%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.4%
CearávNovorizontinoBrasileirão Série B2 historical estimates

Cards · Ceará total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance61.6%EV+29.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance61.6%EV+29.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance61.6%EV+26.3%

Cards · Novorizontino total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance67.1%EV+28.7%
New York City FCvNew York Red BullsMLS5 historical estimates

Cards · New York Red Bulls total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.88
Closing odds1.88

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Model chance66.7%EV+25.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance66.7%EV+23.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance66.7%EV+23.4%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 25.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance69.0%EV+31.1%

Goal kicks · New York City FC total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance51.2%EV+5.9%

Goal kicks · New York Red Bulls total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance52.5%EV+3.3%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.7%EV+4.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.7%EV+2.1%
Racing ClubvSarmientoLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 historical estimates

Cards · Sarmiento total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance53.8%EV+18.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.8%EV+13.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.8%EV+5.0%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance57.7%EV+13.6%

Fouls · Sarmiento total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.92
Closing odds1.92

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds1.92
    Closing odds1.92
    Model chance56.4%EV+8.3%

Selected day

Fri, 18 Sept 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

50 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

5,458 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.6%
Profit+143.96 u
W / L2,704 / 2,754
Avg odds2.13
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

Drag to move this button. Its position is remembered.