Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

54 picks shown with Superbet prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

17 matches
GenoavSüdtirolCoppa Italia1 historical estimate

Fouls · Südtirol total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 13.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance58.5%EV+49.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance58.5%EV+34.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance58.5%EV+28.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance67.9%EV+29.0%
Rayo VallecanovEspanyolLaLiga2 historical estimates

Cards · Espanyol total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance63.4%EV+33.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance63.4%EV+28.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance63.4%EV+26.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance63.4%EV+20.4%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+12.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+11.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+10.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+7.5%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance63.5%EV+21.2%
Deportivo AlavésvValenciaLaLiga5 historical estimates

Cards · Valencia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.00
Closing odds3.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds3.00
    Closing odds3.00
    Model chance53.0%EV+59.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance53.0%EV+45.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance53.0%EV+29.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance53.0%EV+19.3%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.1%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance66.0%EV+31.9%

Fouls · Valencia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+18.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+18.0%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance63.5%EV+26.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance63.5%EV+17.4%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance53.1%EV+24.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.1%EV+22.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.1%EV+22.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance53.1%EV+19.5%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.22
Closing odds2.22

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.22
    Closing odds2.22
    Model chance53.4%EV+18.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.4%EV+12.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance53.4%EV+9.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.4%EV+6.8%
AFC AjaxvWillem II TilburgEredivisie5 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.8%EV+13.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance56.8%EV+10.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.8%EV+5.0%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 34.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 34.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance52.3%EV+49.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 34.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance52.3%EV+41.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 33.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.1%EV+27.9%

Shots · AFC Ajax total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 23.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.27
Closing odds2.27

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.27
    Closing odds2.27
    Model chance74.8%EV+69.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance74.8%EV+57.1%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance74.8%EV+47.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance74.8%EV+38.4%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance57.2%EV+34.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance57.2%EV+34.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance57.2%EV+25.9%

Shots on target · AFC Ajax total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.42
Closing odds2.42

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.42
    Closing odds2.42
    Model chance59.0%EV+42.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance59.0%EV+38.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance59.0%EV+38.6%
Peterborough UnitedvBarnsleyEFL Cup1 historical estimate

Cards · Barnsley total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.17
Closing odds2.17

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance55.8%EV+21.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance55.8%EV+17.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance55.8%EV+14.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance55.8%EV+8.7%
HibernianvKilmarnockScottish Premiership3 historical estimates

Cards · Hibernian total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance53.2%EV+9.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.2%EV+3.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.2%EV+1.1%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance54.1%EV+9.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance54.1%EV+5.4%

Shots · Hibernian total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.4%EV+28.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.4%EV+28.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance60.6%EV+21.3%
West Ham UnitedvFulhamEFL Cup3 historical estimates

Corners · West Ham United total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance66.0%EV+31.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance66.0%EV+29.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance66.0%EV+25.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance66.0%EV+25.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance66.0%EV+25.3%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Model chance66.0%EV+24.0%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 28.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance56.0%EV+31.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.0%EV+28.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.0%EV+28.9%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance62.1%EV+24.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance56.0%EV+12.0%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance59.4%EV+45.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance59.4%EV+45.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance59.4%EV+45.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance59.4%EV+39.6%
Bristol CityvLincoln CityChampionship1 historical estimate

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.02
Closing odds2.02

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance55.1%EV+11.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance55.1%EV+7.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.1%EV+1.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance55.1%EV+1.9%
MiddlesbroughvMillwallChampionship4 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 30.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds3.35
Closing odds3.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds3.35
    Closing odds3.35
    Model chance54.2%EV+81.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.70
    Closing odds2.70
    Model chance54.2%EV+46.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.3%EV+39.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.3%EV+32.6%

Shots · Middlesbrough total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 17.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.5
    Reference odds3.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.7%EV+75.9%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance73.7%EV+80.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance73.7%EV+51.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance80.2%EV+60.3%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.22
Closing odds2.22

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.22
    Closing odds2.22
    Model chance59.7%EV+32.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance59.7%EV+25.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance59.7%EV+16.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance59.7%EV+10.4%

Shots on target · Middlesbrough total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 6.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.50
Closing odds2.50

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance55.7%EV+39.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance55.7%EV+33.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance55.7%EV+30.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance55.7%EV+22.6%
LiverpoolvTottenham HotspurEFL Cup2 historical estimates

Cards · Tottenham Hotspur total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance58.1%EV+33.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance58.1%EV+27.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance58.1%EV+24.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance58.1%EV+24.9%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 29.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.95
Closing odds2.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance50.5%EV+49.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance50.5%EV+44.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance50.5%EV+39.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance50.5%EV+13.7%
FiorentinavPisaCoppa Italia3 historical estimates

Fouls · Pisa total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 13.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.87
Closing odds1.87

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.0%EV+13.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.0%EV+10.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.0%EV+8.0%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds1.87
    Model chance64.0%EV+19.8%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.9%EV+5.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.9%EV+5.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.9%EV+5.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance53.9%EV+2.5%

Shots on target · Fiorentina total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance51.1%EV+17.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance51.1%EV+14.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance51.1%EV+8.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.1%EV+4.7%
ReadingvBrentfordEFL Cup3 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 29.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+54.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+54.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance54.4%EV+49.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance71.9%EV+43.8%

Shots · Reading total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance59.6%EV+22.1%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance60.8%EV+27.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance60.8%EV+24.6%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance60.8%EV+21.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance60.8%EV+18.5%
Ipswich TownvArsenalEFL Cup3 historical estimates

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance55.0%EV+45.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance55.0%EV+45.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance55.0%EV+40.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance55.0%EV+19.4%

Shots · Ipswich Town total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
BetMGM UKreference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance60.6%EV+30.2%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance60.6%EV+28.4%

Shots on target · Ipswich Town total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.8%EV+4.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.8%EV+4.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance54.8%EV+4.1%
ElchevReal MadridLaLiga7 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance80.3%EV+96.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance80.3%EV+96.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance80.3%EV+88.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.17
    Closing odds2.17
    Model chance80.3%EV+74.2%

Fouls · Real Madrid total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance72.2%EV+91.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.8%EV+67.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.8%EV+63.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance81.8%EV+63.6%

Goal kicks · Elche total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance59.9%EV+19.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance59.9%EV+16.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance59.9%EV+13.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance59.9%EV+13.8%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 31.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365Closing estimateover 29.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance66.2%EV+26.3%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance54.0%EV+53.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance54.0%EV+32.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance54.0%EV+26.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance54.0%EV+18.8%

Shots · Elche total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance51.3%EV+13.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Model chance51.3%EV+3.7%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 12.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds3.30
Closing odds3.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds3.30
    Closing odds3.30
    Model chance58.8%EV+94.1%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds3.30
    Closing odds3.30
    Model chance58.8%EV+94.1%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 12.5
    Reference odds3.10
    Closing odds3.10
    Model chance58.8%EV+82.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance77.8%EV+55.7%

Shots on target · Elche total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 4.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds3.60
Closing odds3.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds3.60
    Closing odds3.60
    Model chance59.3%EV+113.6%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    Reference odds3.40
    Closing odds3.40
    Model chance59.3%EV+101.8%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.9%EV+78.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.9%EV+74.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.9%EV+74.5%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.9%EV+66.9%
Vasco da GamavIndependiente Santa FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana5 historical estimates

Cards · Independiente Santa Fe total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance61.7%EV+14.2%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 22.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.95
Closing odds2.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance69.2%EV+104.0%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.3%EV+95.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance75.3%EV+48.4%

Fouls · Independiente Santa Fe total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance59.3%EV+39.4%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance69.3%EV+45.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance69.3%EV+45.6%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.32
Closing odds2.32

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.32
    Closing odds2.32
    Model chance50.6%EV+17.3%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.9%EV+13.7%

Shots · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 17.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 17.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.1%EV+2.2%
PlatensevFluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores5 historical estimates

Cards · Fluminense total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance56.5%EV+7.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance56.5%EV+4.6%

Corners · Platense total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.80
Closing odds2.80

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance51.2%EV+43.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.80
    Closing odds2.80
    Model chance51.2%EV+43.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.62
    Closing odds2.62
    Model chance51.2%EV+34.3%
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.50
    Closing odds2.50
    Model chance51.2%EV+28.1%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance67.9%EV+29.7%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance74.9%EV+64.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance74.9%EV+57.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance74.9%EV+57.4%

Fouls · Fluminense total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 11.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.27
Closing odds2.27

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.27
    Closing odds2.27
    Model chance80.4%EV+82.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance80.4%EV+68.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance80.4%EV+68.8%

Goal kicks · Fluminense total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 11.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance61.4%EV+25.8%
NáuticovOperário-PRBrasileirão Série B1 historical estimate

Cards · Operário-PR total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance58.0%EV+21.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance58.0%EV+21.8%

Selected day

Tue, 15 Sept 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

54 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

5,458 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.6%
Profit+143.96 u
W / L2,704 / 2,754
Avg odds2.13
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

Drag to move this button. Its position is remembered.