Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

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21 picks shown with Kambi prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

14 matches

09:05Al-FayhavAl-AhliSaudi Pro League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 9.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9218 Oct, 06:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 120 settled picksand +2.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.6%EV+12.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:09: under 9.5 at 1.92 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

09:20AbhavAl-KholoodSaudi Pro League2 picks· 0 active

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeResult under review

under 2.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9516 Oct, 20:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +3.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.0%EV+1.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.04
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
25 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.99
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
14 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 20:18: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 00:49. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Al-Kholood total

Open match →FreeResult under review

over 1.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2018 Oct, 06:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +17.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +17.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+17.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+9.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+9.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+17.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.23
No saved recommendation
Model chance33.4%EV-25.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance33.4%EV-31.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:20: over 1.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:03. The original pick remains in the results.

10:30MonzavCagliariSerie A0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Shots on target · Cagliari total

Open match →FreeLost

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0218 Oct, 07:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+4.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 3.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 11:34. The original pick remains in the results.

11:00TrabzonsporvBeşiktaşTrendyol Süper Lig1 won / 1 lost · +0.16u · 2 picks

Corners · Trabzonspor total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.16u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1617 Oct, 11:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +24.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +24.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 183 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.16
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.7%EV+24.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 11:00: under 4.5 at 2.16 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 15:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Beşiktaş total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8817 Oct, 13:39

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 66.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.51
Expected value at recommendation: +24.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 66.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +24.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 61 settled picksand +0.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.5%EV+19.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.5%EV+24.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.86
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 13:39: over 1.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 14:35. The original pick remains in the results.

12:00Al-HilalvAl-HazemSaudi Pro League2 picks· 0 active

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeIn play

under 3.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0016 Oct, 18:50

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 61 settled picksand +1.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+3.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.42
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+44.1%
33 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+28.0%
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+28.0%
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+34.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+28.0%
13 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+34.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.21
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+31.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.32
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.5%EV+38.1%
15 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 18:50: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 00:50. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeIn play

under 10.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0618 Oct, 06:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +16.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +16.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 120 settled picksand +2.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+16.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.6%EV+0.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.6%EV+3.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.6%EV+6.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:09: under 10.5 at 2.06 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

12:30Celta Vigo BvCD TenerifeLaLiga 21 pick· 0 active

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeIn play

over 2.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0715 Oct, 15:09

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +5.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.8%EV+7.2%
14 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.18
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-11.0%
25 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-20.4%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-20.4%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-16.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-22.4%
14 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-14.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.13
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.8%EV-13.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 15:09: over 2.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 15 Oct, 15:16. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45ParmavTorinoSerie A3 picks· 0 active

Corners · Parma total

Open match →FreeIn play

under 3.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0717 Oct, 13:39

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 187 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+13.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.9%EV-33.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.9%EV-26.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.9%EV-26.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.9%EV-25.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.9%EV-28.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.9%EV-28.2%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 13:39: under 3.5 at 2.07 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 21:10. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Torino total

Open match →FreeIn play

over 4.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1012 Oct, 18:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 65.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.52
Expected value at recommendation: +38.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 65.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +38.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.9%EV+38.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.9%EV-18.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.9%EV-18.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.9%EV-16.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.9%EV-18.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.9%EV-5.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.9%EV-16.4%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:42: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Torino total

Open match →FreeIn play

over 14.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3515 Oct, 14:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 67.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +57.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 67.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +57.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.1%EV+57.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance26.1%EV-36.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance26.1%EV-30.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance26.1%EV-34.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 14:06: over 14.5 at 2.35 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 00:21. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45Rodez AFvMontpellierLigue 21 pick· 0 active

Goals · Montpellier total

Open match →FreeIn play

over 1.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0218 Oct, 06:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +26.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 62.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +26.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.8%EV+17.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.5%EV+18.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.5%EV+18.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.5%EV+18.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.5%EV+26.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.5%EV-44.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:20: over 1.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Tottenham HotspurvCoventry CityPremier League1 pick· 0 active

Shots · Coventry City total

Open match →VIPIn play

under 9.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8115 Oct, 14:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 64.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.56
Expected value at recommendation: +16.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 64.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +16.6%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 34 settled picksand +18.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.4%EV+16.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.7%EV+28.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.5%EV-22.7%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.5%EV+3.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.5%EV-10.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.5%EV-8.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 14:06: under 9.5 at 1.81 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:47. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00GetafevRayo VallecanoLaLiga1 pick· 0 active

Shots · Rayo Vallecano total

Open match →FreeIn play

under 11.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9718 Oct, 07:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +6.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 145 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+6.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.7%EV-29.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.7%EV-18.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.7%EV-18.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.7%EV-26.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance38.7%EV-22.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 07:42: under 11.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

13:15Sporting BragavGil VicenteLiga Portugal Betclic1 pick· 0 active

Corners · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeIn play

under 4.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3017 Oct, 06:55

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +23.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +23.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 180 settled picksand +1.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.6%EV+23.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 06:55: under 4.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 05:54. The original pick remains in the results.

16:00SarmientovBarracas CentralLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 pick· 0 active

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 8.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 00:06

Current odds1.9119 Oct, 13:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.91
Current odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance53.8%EV+2.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.89
Current odds1.89
Unchanged
Model chance53.8%EV+1.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentover 8.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.8%EV-6.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentover 8.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.8%EV-6.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 8.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.8%EV-6.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentover 8.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.8%EV-1.7%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 00:06: over 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

16:30GoiásvNáuticoBrasileirão Série B3 picks· 0 active

Cards · Náutico total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 2.5

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0018 Oct, 09:33

Current odds2.0019 Oct, 13:35

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 32 settled picksand +3.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance51.9%EV+3.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentover 2.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV-10.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 2.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV-7.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentover 2.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.5%EV+0.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 09:33: over 2.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 12:01. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Goiás total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 5.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9517 Oct, 18:05

Current odds2.1619 Oct, 13:35

Odds up+0.21

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.95
Current odds2.16
Odds up+0.21
Model chance54.8%EV+6.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV-1.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV-1.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV-4.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV-1.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+0.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 18:05: under 5.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 05:54. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 8.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8918 Oct, 06:09

Current odds1.9519 Oct, 13:35

Odds up+0.06

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 120 settled picksand +2.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation1.89
Current odds1.95
Odds up+0.06
Model chance53.5%EV+1.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 06:09: under 8.5 at 1.89 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

17:00CorinthiansvVitóriaBrasileirão Série A1 pick· 0 active

Shots · Vitória total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 10.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1815 Oct, 14:06

Current odds—

No current quote for this line

Model chance at recommendation: 58.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +27.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +27.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 125 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.18
Current odds—
No current quote for this line
Model chance58.3%EV+27.0%
SuperbetCurrentover 10.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 14:06: over 10.5 at 2.18 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 20:23. The original pick remains in the results.

Selected day

Mon, 19 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Return−8.1%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit−0.57units

W / L3 / 4picks

Avg odds2.03settled picks

Recorded picks2922 awaiting result

All dates

Overall results

5,137 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,974 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.7%

Profit+137.80 u

W / L2,524 / 2,613

Avg odds2.12

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.