Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

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59 picks shown with Crocobet prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

14 matches
Levski SofiavRed Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League3 historical estimates

Corners · Levski Sofia total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Paddy Powerreference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Paddy Powerreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance62.5%EV+19.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance62.5%EV+15.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance62.5%EV+15.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance62.5%EV+12.6%

Goal kicks · Red Bull Salzburg total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance62.6%EV+43.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance62.6%EV+40.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance62.6%EV+34.5%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance55.7%EV+22.6%
OFI CretevTSG HoffenheimUEFA Europa League5 historical estimates

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.07
Closing odds2.07

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+28.3%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.07
    Closing odds2.07
    Model chance66.5%EV+37.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.4%EV+7.4%

Fouls · TSG Hoffenheim total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 12.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance55.1%EV+40.6%
  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 12.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance65.6%EV+44.3%

Goal kicks · OFI Crete total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 9.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance61.2%EV+34.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance61.2%EV+22.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance61.2%EV+19.3%

Offsides · OFI Crete total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance76.8%EV+72.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance76.8%EV+57.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance76.8%EV+53.5%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.65
Closing odds2.65

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Model chance50.5%EV+33.9%
Real BetisvGetafeLaLiga5 historical estimates

Cards · Getafe total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 2.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance63.5%EV+55.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance63.5%EV+52.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance63.5%EV+39.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance63.5%EV+30.1%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 24.5
Liderbetreference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance56.7%EV+44.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance56.7%EV+38.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance56.7%EV+36.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 25.5
    Reference odds2.22
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance64.1%EV+42.2%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 27.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.85
Closing odds2.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.85
    Closing odds2.85
    Model chance50.3%EV+43.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance50.3%EV+38.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 27.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.3%EV+0.5%

Shots · Real Betis total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 15.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance57.3%EV+20.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.3%EV+14.5%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance58.2%EV+22.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance58.2%EV+22.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance58.2%EV+22.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance58.2%EV+16.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance58.2%EV+14.6%
Manchester CityvNorwich CityEFL Cup8 historical estimates

Cards · Norwich City total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance57.9%EV+18.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.9%EV+15.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance57.9%EV+15.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance57.9%EV+14.1%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 19.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.60
Closing odds2.60

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance57.4%EV+49.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance57.4%EV+40.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 19.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance57.4%EV+37.7%

Fouls · Norwich City total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.6%EV+43.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance58.6%EV+43.6%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance69.9%EV+50.2%

Goal kicks · Manchester City total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.90
Closing odds1.90

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance81.8%EV+55.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance81.8%EV+55.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance81.8%EV+51.4%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 30.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.55
Closing odds2.55

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.55
    Closing odds2.55
    Model chance52.1%EV+32.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.1%EV+27.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance52.1%EV+27.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance52.1%EV+25.0%

Shots · Manchester City total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance54.6%EV+61.1%
  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance74.5%EV+71.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance74.5%EV+63.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance74.5%EV+63.8%
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 20.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance74.5%EV+42.1%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 11.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.95
Closing odds2.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.95
    Closing odds2.95
    Model chance50.4%EV+48.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.90
    Closing odds2.90
    Model chance50.4%EV+46.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Model chance50.4%EV+38.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    Reference odds2.60
    Closing odds2.60
    Model chance50.4%EV+31.1%

Shots on target · Manchester City total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.67
Closing odds2.67

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.67
    Closing odds2.67
    Model chance60.9%EV+62.5%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance60.9%EV+37.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 7.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance72.2%EV+58.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance72.2%EV+58.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 7.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance72.2%EV+51.7%
CelticvFerencváros TCUEFA Europa League2 historical estimates

Corners · Celtic total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance50.9%EV+4.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance50.9%EV+4.4%
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.8%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.8%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance66.6%EV+63.2%
Lillestrøm SKvTorreenseUEFA Europa League3 historical estimates

Corners · Lillestrøm SK total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Paddy Powerreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Paddy Powerreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance51.2%EV+15.3%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance51.2%EV+12.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.2%EV+7.6%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.2%EV+5.0%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.04
    Closing odds2.04
    Model chance51.2%EV+4.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.2%EV+2.4%

Goal kicks · Torreense total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 8.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance61.2%EV+37.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance61.2%EV+34.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance61.2%EV+31.5%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 8.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance61.8%EV+35.9%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance61.8%EV+29.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance61.8%EV+29.8%
Real SociedadvBournemouthUEFA Europa League3 historical estimates

Corners · Real Sociedad total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 4.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance59.7%EV+37.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance59.7%EV+34.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance59.7%EV+34.4%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.22
    Closing odds2.22
    Model chance59.7%EV+32.6%
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance59.7%EV+31.4%

Goal kicks · Bournemouth total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance64.2%EV+47.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance64.2%EV+44.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance64.2%EV+44.5%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.20
Closing odds2.20

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance59.6%EV+31.2%
Viktoria PlzeňvRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseUEFA Europa League2 historical estimates

Goal kicks · Viktoria Plzeň total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance53.3%EV+22.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Model chance53.3%EV+17.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance53.3%EV+14.5%

Goal kicks · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 7.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance60.9%EV+24.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance60.9%EV+21.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance60.9%EV+18.7%
BeşiktaşvOlympique de MarseilleUEFA Europa League3 historical estimates

Goal kicks · Beşiktaş total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance50.2%EV+5.3%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance50.2%EV+5.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance50.2%EV+0.3%

Offsides · Beşiktaş total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance70.1%EV+40.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance70.1%EV+36.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance70.1%EV+36.7%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.45
Closing odds2.45

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds2.45
    Model chance60.1%EV+47.2%
Crystal PalacevLech PoznańUEFA Europa League2 historical estimates

Goal kicks · Crystal Palace total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.30
Closing odds2.30

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance54.6%EV+25.5%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance54.6%EV+25.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance54.6%EV+25.5%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Model chance54.6%EV+15.7%

Offsides · Crystal Palace total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.15
Closing odds2.15

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance76.5%EV+64.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance76.5%EV+60.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance76.5%EV+60.8%
JuventusvNEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League3 historical estimates

Offsides · Juventus total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance77.1%EV+50.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance77.1%EV+50.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance77.1%EV+46.5%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 5.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance53.7%EV+12.8%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.7%EV+7.5%

Shots · Juventus total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 18.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.7%EV+1.2%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.7%EV+1.2%
MálagavVillarrealLaLiga7 historical estimates

Cards · Villarreal total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.32
Closing odds2.32

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.32
    Closing odds2.32
    Model chance51.3%EV+18.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance51.3%EV+15.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance51.3%EV+10.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.3%EV+7.6%

Goal kicks · Villarreal total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance59.3%EV+24.5%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance59.3%EV+24.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance59.3%EV+21.6%

Offsides · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance61.9%EV+23.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance61.9%EV+11.4%

Saves · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 6.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 6.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance53.7%EV+7.3%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 25.5
Bet365reference price
Reference odds1.91
Closing odds1.91

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+5.0%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.02
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+3.4%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+2.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance51.2%EV+2.4%
  • Bet365reference priceClosing estimateover 25.5
    Reference odds1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Model chance58.1%EV+11.0%

Shots on target · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 9.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.40
Closing odds2.40

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Model chance56.7%EV+36.1%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.7%EV+30.4%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.7%EV+30.4%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds2.30
    Model chance56.7%EV+30.4%

Shots on target · Málaga total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 3.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.00
Closing odds2.00

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance67.5%EV+35.0%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Model chance67.5%EV+28.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance67.5%EV+24.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance67.5%EV+24.8%
FlamengovIndependiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores5 historical estimates

Cards · Flamengo total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 1.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.10
Closing odds2.10

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance51.8%EV+8.9%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance51.8%EV+6.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance51.8%EV+3.7%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 20.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+0.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance54.4%EV+0.7%

Fouls · Independiente del Valle total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 10.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance58.9%EV+8.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance58.9%EV+5.9%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance60.3%EV+17.6%

Shots on target · Flamengo total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.05
Closing odds2.05

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Model chance64.5%EV+32.1%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Model chance64.5%EV+28.9%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance64.5%EV+25.7%
Montevideo City TorquevCiencianoCONMEBOL Sudamericana8 historical estimates

Cards · Cienciano total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 3.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.85
Closing odds1.85

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Model chance82.9%EV+53.3%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Model chance82.9%EV+49.2%

Corners · Montevideo City Torque total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 6.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds2.35
Closing odds2.35

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance60.8%EV+42.8%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Model chance60.8%EV+42.8%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.15
    Closing odds2.15
    Model chance60.8%EV+30.6%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Model chance60.8%EV+27.6%

Fouls · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 23.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds2.25
Closing odds2.25

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.30
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.5%EV+30.0%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 23.5
    Reference odds2.25
    Closing odds2.25
    Model chance70.3%EV+58.3%
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 21.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.5%EV+18.7%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance63.7%EV+14.7%

Fouls · Cienciano total

Open match →Historical estimate
under 13.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.88
Closing odds1.88

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.45
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.7%EV+38.9%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    Reference odds2.20
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance56.7%EV+24.7%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateunder 13.5
    Reference odds1.88
    Closing odds1.88
    Model chance83.9%EV+57.7%
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
    Reference odds1.80
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance67.4%EV+21.4%

Shots · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 26.5
Crocobetreference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetreference priceClosing estimateover 26.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance53.0%EV+3.3%

Shots on target · Montevideo City Torque total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 5.5
Betlivereference price
Reference odds1.95
Closing odds1.95

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betlivereference priceClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.4%EV+0.2%
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Model chance51.4%EV+0.2%

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 42.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.87
Closing odds1.87

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 43.5
    Reference odds1.95
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance61.5%EV+20.0%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 42.5
    Reference odds1.87
    Closing odds1.87
    Model chance65.8%EV+22.9%

Throw-ins · Montevideo City Torque total

Open match →Historical estimate
over 22.5
Superbetreference price
Reference odds1.97
Closing odds1.97

Reconstructed from saved model and bookmaker data. This was not a saved pre-match recommendation and is excluded from recorded performance.

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 23.5
    Reference odds2.10
    Closing odds—
    Different lines · no price comparison
    Model chance52.2%EV+9.6%
  • Superbetreference priceClosing estimateover 22.5
    Reference odds1.97
    Closing odds1.97
    Model chance59.0%EV+16.3%

Selected day

Thu, 17 Sept 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Historical estimates for this date are shown below. They are excluded from recorded results.

59 historical estimates shown below. Their calculated returns appear only in the calendar and all-date display totals.

All dates

Overall results

5,117 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,974 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 18 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.8%
Profit+141.34 u
W / L2,516 / 2,601
Avg odds2.12
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.