Benchmarks

Unified statistical cells with bookmaker breakdowns across all leagues.

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

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Unified historical cells

All bookmakers and all leagues in scope, combined for each statistical cell.

Historical evidence

Click a statistical cell to expand one row per bookmaker, with all leagues pooled for that bookmaker.

Each signal uses one unit split equally across bookmakers. Multiple bookmaker offers are not independent matches. This view provides combined evidence; each live pick still uses its own qualification checks.

This table counts available model signals, not all stored bookmaker odds. Coverage varies by statistic and model version. Match counts are distinct fixtures.

Fouls · OverAway teamMatches66 SignalsNormal+2.70u45.0% ROIReversed−2.95u-49.2% ROI2 bookmakers3 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	55 Signals	+1.70u34.0% ROI	−1.95u-39.0% ROI	3 leagues0 recorded · 5 reconstructed
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+1.00u100.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Fouls · OverMatch totalMatches66 SignalsNormal+2.05u34.2% ROIReversed−2.54u-42.3% ROI3 bookmakers5 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
BetliveAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.70u70.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+1.60u160.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	55 Signals	+2.85u57.0% ROI	−3.24u-64.8% ROI	4 leagues0 recorded · 5 reconstructed

Goal kicks · OverAway teamMatches66 SignalsNormal+3.06u51.0% ROIReversed−3.19u-53.1% ROI4 bookmakers4 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
BetliveAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.35u35.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.55u55.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	44 Signals	+1.50u37.5% ROI	−1.12u-28.0% ROI	3 leagues0 recorded · 4 reconstructed
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	22 Signals	+1.56u78.0% ROI	−2.00u-100.0% ROI	2 leagues0 recorded · 2 reconstructed

Throw-ins · OverHome teamMatches66 SignalsNormal−6.00u-100.0% ROIReversed+4.97u82.8% ROI3 bookmakers6 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+1.00u100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	22 Signals	−2.00u-100.0% ROI	+1.05u52.5% ROI	2 leagues0 recorded · 2 reconstructed
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	33 Signals	−3.00u-100.0% ROI	+2.92u97.3% ROI	3 leagues0 recorded · 3 reconstructed

Goal kicks · OverHome teamMatches33 SignalsNormal−1.37u-45.7% ROIReversed+0.46u15.3% ROI2 bookmakers2 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.36u36.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	22 Signals	−0.37u-18.5% ROI	+0.10u5.0% ROI	2 leagues0 recorded · 2 reconstructed

Throw-ins · OverMatch totalMatches33 SignalsNormal−1.42u-47.3% ROIReversed−0.05u-1.7% ROI2 bookmakers3 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	22 Signals	−2.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.95u47.5% ROI	2 leagues0 recorded · 2 reconstructed
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.58u58.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Goal kicks · OverMatch totalMatches22 SignalsNormal−0.27u-13.5% ROIReversed−0.75u-37.5% ROI3 bookmakers2 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.25u25.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.25u25.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.73u73.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Offsides · UnderAway teamMatches22 SignalsNormal+2.40u120.0% ROIReversed−2.00u-100.0% ROI2 bookmakers2 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
BetliveAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+1.55u155.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.85u85.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Offsides · OverMatch totalMatches22 SignalsNormal+1.00u50.0% ROIReversed−2.00u-100.0% ROI2 bookmakers2 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
BetliveAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.70u70.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.30u30.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Offsides · UnderMatch totalMatches22 SignalsNormal+1.55u77.5% ROIReversed−2.00u-100.0% ROI3 bookmakers2 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
BetliveAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.75u75.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.75u75.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.80u80.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Offsides · OverHome teamMatches22 SignalsNormal+3.10u155.0% ROIReversed−0.95u-47.5% ROI1 bookmakers2 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	22 Signals	+3.10u155.0% ROI	−0.95u-47.5% ROI	2 leagues0 recorded · 2 reconstructed

Offsides · UnderHome teamMatches22 SignalsNormal+2.25u112.5% ROIReversed−2.00u-100.0% ROI2 bookmakers2 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	22 Signals	+2.25u112.5% ROI	−2.00u-100.0% ROI	2 leagues0 recorded · 2 reconstructed
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.80u80.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Offsides · OverAway teamMatches11 SignalsNormal−1.00u-100.0% ROIReversed+0.70u70.0% ROI1 bookmakers1 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.70u70.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Saves · OverAway teamMatches11 SignalsNormal+0.95u95.0% ROIReversed−1.00u-100.0% ROI1 bookmakers1 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.95u95.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Saves · UnderAway teamMatches11 SignalsNormal−1.00u-100.0% ROIReversed+1.05u105.0% ROI1 bookmakers1 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+1.05u105.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Saves · OverMatch totalMatches11 SignalsNormal+0.80u80.0% ROIReversed−1.00u-100.0% ROI1 bookmakers1 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
CrocobetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.80u80.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Saves · UnderMatch totalMatches11 SignalsNormal−1.00u-100.0% ROIReversed+0.85u85.0% ROI1 bookmakers1 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.85u85.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Saves · OverHome teamMatches11 SignalsNormal−1.00u-100.0% ROIReversed+0.18u18.0% ROI1 bookmakers1 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
LiderbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	+0.18u18.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed

Throw-ins · OverAway teamMatches11 SignalsNormal+0.72u72.0% ROIReversed−1.00u-100.0% ROI1 bookmakers1 leagues

Bookmaker totals below pool all leagues for this statistical cell.

Bookmaker	Matches	Normal	Reversed	Evidence coverage
SuperbetAll leagues pooled	11 Signals	+0.72u72.0% ROI	−1.00u-100.0% ROI	1 leagues0 recorded · 1 reconstructed