VfL Osnabrück vs SG Dynamo Dresden — 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga 26/27

VfL Osnabrück

1–1

HT 0–1

SG Dynamo Dresden

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 7·Bremer Brücke·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 4Corners10
  • 5Cards4
  • 13Shots9
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 7Fouls11
  • 13Throw-ins16
  • 2Offsides1
  • 7Goal kicks6
  • 1Saves4
  • 12Tackles14
  • 10Interceptions10
  • 4Dribbles14
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available5Recorded Free0Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
VfL OsnabrückvSG Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga2 won / 3 lost · −0.80u · 5 picks

Corners · VfL Osnabrück total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 4+0.95u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.55
Odds down−0.40
Model chance at recommendation
51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.60
    Odds down−0.35
    Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate−29.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−9.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.55
    Odds down−0.40
    Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−23.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−17.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.60
    Odds down−0.40
    Model chance51.6%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate−27.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−15.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.0%EV-8.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.82
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.0%EV-3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.82
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.0%EV-3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.82Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.0%EV-13.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate9.4%Closing EV estimate−50.9%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate20.8%Closing EV estimate−34.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−22.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate53.0%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate68.3%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 09:06: under 5.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 10:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · SG Dynamo Dresden total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 10+1.25u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds1.95
Odds down−0.30
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+13.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.38
    Odds up+0.18
    Model chance50.2%EV+10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds down−0.30
    Model chance50.2%EV+13.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate21.7%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.35
    Model chance50.2%EV+18.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.8%EV+19.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.8%EV-2.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate21.7%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.8%EV+0.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate91.7%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate34.3%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate21.7%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds5.45Closing chance estimate12.7%Closing EV estimate−30.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 5.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 05:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · VfL Osnabrück total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.08
Closing odds2.00
Odds down−0.08
Model chance at recommendation
52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.92
Expected value at recommendation
+8.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +8.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.08
    Closing odds2.00
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance52.2%EV+8.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.5%EV+1.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin4.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−26.4%margin2.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.5%EV-7.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−45.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−79.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.5%EV-7.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−46.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−79.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.5%EV-7.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds6.60Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−45.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−79.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.5%EV-0.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate48.5%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate22.4%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds9.60Closing chance estimate8.3%Closing EV estimate−20.3%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds24.00Closing chance estimate2.5%Closing EV estimate−39.1%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:42: over 1.5 at 2.08 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · SG Dynamo Dresden total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds2.20
Odds up+0.28
Model chance at recommendation
52.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.93
Expected value at recommendation
-0.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: -0.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance52.4%EV+2.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−39.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−78.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance52.4%EV+2.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−39.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−78.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance52.4%EV+2.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.10Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−39.9%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.20Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−78.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds up+0.28
    Model chance52.1%EV-0.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.80Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds11.00Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−5.5%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds30.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−20.4%margin3.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance49.1%EV+3.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate23.0%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate2.7%Closing EV estimate−23.0%margin2.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:18: over 1.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 03:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+32.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +32.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance56.3%EV+32.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate64.5%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate52.9%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 01:36: over 10.5 at 2.35 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−16.0%ROI · 5 units staked
Profit−0.80units
W / L2 / 3picks
Avg odds2.11settled picks
Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

Competition2. BundesligaHome teamVfL OsnabrückAway teamSG Dynamo DresdenRefereeFlorian Exner
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