VfL Bochum 1848 vs Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 — 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga2. Bundesliga 26/27

VfL Bochum 1848

0–1

HT 0–0

Arminia Bielefeld

Sun 11 Oct·05:30·Matchday 7·Vonovia Ruhrstadion·Arminia Bielefeld won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners4
2Cards3
9Shots12
3Shots on target2
9Fouls9
27Throw-ins24
1Offsides2
6Goal kicks7
1Saves3
14Tackles15
3Interceptions8
8Dribbles8

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Matches

1 match

05:30VfL Bochum 1848vArminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga2 won / 1 lost · +0.95u · 3 picks

Cards · VfL Bochum 1848 total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+0.95u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9511 Oct, 04:33

Closing odds1.9511 Oct, 04:30

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 64.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.56
Expected value at recommendation: +25.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +25.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance64.4%EV+25.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:30
- under 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.4%EV-6.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate−12.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 03:32
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.4%EV+22.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate37.5%Closing EV estimate+34.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate+22.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.5%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.49
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.4%EV-4.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate12.0%Closing EV estimate−87.6%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 00:03
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.49Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 04:33: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · VfL Bochum 1848 total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 6+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds2.009 Oct, 09:02

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance54.9%EV+9.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:02
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+0.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:01
- over 4.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:01
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:01
- over 6.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:01
- over 7.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:01
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-4.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 09:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
- over 6.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 10 Oct, 09:36
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+6.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:36
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 4.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
- over 6.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:36
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate−2.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 6.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 7.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+8.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:39
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:39
- over 3.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:39
- over 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate70.2%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:39
- over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:39
- over 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate38.7%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:39
- over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate25.4%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:39
- over 8.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate15.4%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:39

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5011 Oct, 03:09

Closing odds2.5011 Oct, 02:32

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 53.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +33.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +33.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds2.50
Unchanged
Model chance53.4%EV+33.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
- over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 02:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.4%EV+33.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 04:03
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate84.7%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.7%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 9.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate65.0%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03
- over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 04:03

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 10.5 at 2.50 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+31.7%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit+0.95units

W / L2 / 1picks

Avg odds2.15settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

Competition2. Bundesliga Home teamVfL Bochum 1848 Away teamArminia Bielefeld RefereeKonrad Oldhafer

Match overview

Matches

Cards · VfL Bochum 1848 total

Corners · VfL Bochum 1848 total

Shots on target · match total

This match

Around this match

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