Vasco da Gama vs Remo — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Vasco da Gama

0–0

HT 0–0

Remo

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 30·Estádio São Januário·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 6Corners5
  • 2Cards2
  • 17Shots9
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 18Fouls15
  • 19Throw-ins23
  • 1Offsides3
  • 4Goal kicks12
  • 3Saves5
  • 14Tackles10
  • 10Interceptions14
  • 8Dribbles7
0Free available0VIP available8Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Vasco da GamavRemoBrasileirão Série A3 won / 8 lost · −4.68u · 11 picks

Cards · Remo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.07u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds1.82
Odds down−0.25
Model chance at recommendation
57.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.75
Expected value at recommendation
+18.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +18.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.07
    Closing odds1.82
    Odds down−0.25
    Model chance57.3%EV+18.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate7.2%Closing EV estimate−92.3%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate26.0%Closing EV estimate−16.7%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.82Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.9%EV-8.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.9%EV-8.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate26.0%Closing EV estimate−19.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.9%EV-8.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate26.0%Closing EV estimate−20.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate72.8%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 11:51: under 2.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 04:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit
Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds2.38
Odds down−0.23
Model chance at recommendation
50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+31.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +31.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.9%EV+6.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds6.80Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance50.9%EV+6.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin15.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.9%EV+6.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation2.60
    Closing odds2.38
    Odds down−0.23
    Model chance50.4%EV+31.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.87Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+24.2%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+33.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.3%EV+20.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+12.3%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.84Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+20.3%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.3%EV+13.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 15:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.6%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate98.9%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate97.2%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate73.4%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.2%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate52.3%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate31.7%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate23.3%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds5.85Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate11.1%Closing EV estimate−15.5%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate7.3%Closing EV estimate−27.4%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds14.00Closing chance estimate4.6%Closing EV estimate−36.0%margin6.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 15:06: over 11.5 at 2.60 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 18:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+10.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 7.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.2%EV+10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 7.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.75
    Odds down−0.25
    Model chance52.4%EV+4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate−9.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 7.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.2%EV+15.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate19.1%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 7.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance52.4%EV+4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:13

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 7.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.2%EV+10.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 15:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate98.3%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.5%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate19.1%Closing EV estimate−10.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds6.40Closing chance estimate12.0%Closing EV estimate−23.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds8.80Closing chance estimate7.2%Closing EV estimate−36.9%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.9%EV-8.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.4%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate40.5%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 7.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Remo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.20u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
55.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+21.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +21.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.2%EV+21.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+21.1%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds down−0.10
    Model chance54.7%EV+17.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+6.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.80Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds2.02
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.2%EV+11.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds1.90
    Odds down−0.30
    Model chance54.7%EV+20.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:13

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+15.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.7%EV+12.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 15:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.9%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+11.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate10.9%Closing EV estimate−23.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate5.2%Closing EV estimate−38.1%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds18.00Closing chance estimate2.2%Closing EV estimate−60.0%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds29.00Closing chance estimate0.9%Closing EV estimate−74.4%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.0%EV+7.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:04

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.0%EV+12.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.6%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate36.0%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate20.9%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:36: over 3.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 33−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.10
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+13.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 24.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.6%EV+11.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance55.6%EV+13.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 24.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.7%EV+8.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate40.8%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.7%EV+16.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 23.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate62.8%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.3%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 03:42: under 24.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 30.5Actual: 26−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+1.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.9%EV+1.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:08

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds1.80
    Unchanged
    Model chance55.7%EV+0.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 29.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.78
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.7%EV-0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:42

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 27.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.61Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.63Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate31.4%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.78
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.7%EV-0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:14

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 26.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate73.8%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate68.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 29.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate62.0%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 30.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.78Closing chance estimate55.7%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 32.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate43.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 33.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 34.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.4%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 35.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate26.2%Closing EV estimate−14.8%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 15:06: over 30.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Remo total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds1.83
Odds up+0.01
Model chance at recommendation
56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.77
Expected value at recommendation
+2.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +2.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds1.83
    Odds up+0.01
    Model chance56.5%EV+2.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:42

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+13.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 10:50

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV+5.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance56.9%EV-6.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 12:09

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate68.7%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate56.9%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate44.9%Closing EV estimate−11.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−19.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−27.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.80Closing chance estimate16.4%Closing EV estimate−37.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: over 9.5 at 1.82 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.92
Expected value at recommendation
+14.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.94
    Odds down−0.01
    Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:42

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.2%EV+14.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:14

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.1%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate91.9%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.92Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV+12.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV+7.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+10.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.5%EV+20.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate85.4%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+24.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 04:17: over 10.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 14:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.91
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+15.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +15.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.2%EV+15.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:06

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance63.0%EV+32.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds2.10
    Unchanged
    Model chance63.0%EV+32.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds2.25
    Odds down−0.05
    Model chance63.0%EV+44.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:07

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+42.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds1.80
    Odds down−0.07
    Model chance62.8%EV+17.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:14

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate94.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate+9.8%margin9.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate+19.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate23.5%Closing EV estimate+7.9%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.56
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.4%EV-1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 03:42

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate87.4%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.8%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.56Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate48.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate35.1%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate23.5%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 15:06: over 6.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 37.5Actual: 42+1.05u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds2.05
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.84
Expected value at recommendation
+11.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +11.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 37.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.05
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.4%EV+11.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 34.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 35.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 36.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 37.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 38.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate49.4%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 37.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance54.4%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 35.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 36.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 37.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate54.4%Closing EV estimate+6.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 06:36: over 37.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Vasco da Gama total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 20.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+24.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +24.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 20.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.9%EV+24.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.2%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate54.1%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 20.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.9%EV+16.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 18.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate61.8%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate54.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate46.4%Closing EV estimate+2.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 11:07: over 20.5 at 2.35 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 12:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return−42.5%ROI · 11 units staked
Profit−4.68units
W / L3 / 8picks
Avg odds2.10settled picks
Recorded picks111 matches

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