Ukraine vs Hungary 1-2 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Ukraine

1–2

HT 0–0

Hungary

Mon 5 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Neutral venue·Štadión Antona Malatinského·Hungary won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners4
1Cards2
17Shots10
2Shots on target4
10Fouls13
30Throw-ins13
3Offsides1
6Goal kicks8
2Saves1
14Tackles22
4Interceptions9
7Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

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Matches

1 match

12:45

Ukrainev

HungaryUEFA Nations League2 won / 2 lost · +0.15u · 4 picks

Fouls · Ukraine total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 10+1.20u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.205 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.205 Oct, 11:31

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 14.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 11:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:41
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+37.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
- under 15.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate70.5%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
- under 16.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+16.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 11:31
BetliveClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.4%EV+21.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 13.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+25.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- under 15.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.5%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- under 16.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.4%EV+18.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 04:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 12.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate44.2%Closing EV estimate+30.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 04:30
- under 13.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate53.5%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 04:30
- under 14.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate62.4%Closing EV estimate+18.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 04:30
- under 15.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.5%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 04:30
- under 16.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.5%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 04:30
- under 17.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate83.2%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 14.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Ukraine total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.705 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.705 Oct, 03:40

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation2.70
Closing odds2.70
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 7.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.70Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−12.7%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.45
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 7.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−13.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−20.8%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 8.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 08:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate59.5%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:41
- over 7.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−18.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate32.3%Closing EV estimate−24.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 08:31

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: over 8.5 at 2.70 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Offsides · Ukraine total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.455 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds2.455 Oct, 03:40

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 1.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.45
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+42.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 1.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds2.45
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.45Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+42.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- under 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- under 3.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 1.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds2.40
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:41
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate58.0%Closing EV estimate+39.2%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:41
- under 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.4%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:41
- under 3.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate93.2%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:41

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 1.5 at 2.45 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Saves · Ukraine total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+0.95u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.955 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds1.955 Oct, 03:40

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance—EV—
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison. The original model estimate is unavailable; results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate46.9%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 11:45: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+3.8%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+0.15units

W / L2 / 2picks

Avg odds2.33settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamUkraine Away teamHungary RefereeIgor Pajač

Previous meetings

Fri 25 SepHungary 0-1 Ukraine

Match overview

Matches

Fouls · Ukraine total

Goal kicks · Ukraine total

Offsides · Ukraine total

Saves · Ukraine total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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