Uganda vs DR Congo 1-1 — International Friendly Games

International Friendly GamesInt. Friendly Games 2026

Uganda

1–1

HT 0–0

DR Congo

Mon 5 Oct·07:00·Drawn

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Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Board

Matches

1 match

07:00

Ugandav

DR CongoInternational Friendly Games1 pick· 0 available

Corners · Uganda total

Open match →FreePrevious modelAwaiting result

Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.

over 3.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.005 Oct, 05:17

Closing odds2.005 Oct, 12:01

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance50.3%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 12:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 12:01
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-21.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 06:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate−9.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:30
- over 2.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−13.1%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:30
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−21.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:30
- over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−30.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:30
- over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate12.4%Closing EV estimate−40.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:30
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-27.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−16.3%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−27.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 4.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−37.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
- over 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate12.4%Closing EV estimate−50.5%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:40
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 06:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
- over 2.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−11.2%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
- over 4.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−25.4%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
- over 5.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate12.4%Closing EV estimate−35.7%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 06:31
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.6%EV-16.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 5 Oct, 03:42
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 0.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate95.8%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin6.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:42
- over 1.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate83.0%Closing EV estimate−3.7%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:42
- over 2.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate63.0%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:42
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−16.9%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:42
- over 4.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate24.1%Closing EV estimate−30.2%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:42
- over 5.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate12.4%Closing EV estimate−46.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:42
- over 6.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate5.7%Closing EV estimate−61.7%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 5 Oct, 03:42

Recommendation record

Recorded 5 Oct, 05:17: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 5 Oct, 06:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 0 active suggestions across 1 listed match.

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CompetitionInternational Friendly Games Home teamUganda Away teamDR Congo

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Corners · Uganda total

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