Tigre vs Banfield — Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026
Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 12·Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna·Banfield won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 9Corners3
- 3Cards3
- 26Shots10
- 8Shots on target2
- 7Fouls14
- 29Throw-ins21
- 1Offsides2
- 6Goal kicks13
- 0Saves6
- 11Tackles18
- 2Interceptions13
- 4Dribbles7
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
TigrevBanfieldLiga Profesional de Fútbol5 won / 3 lost · +2.79u · 8 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +12.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetliveAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance57.6%EV+12.3%UnchangedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds1.95Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin13.8%
- under 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin13.8%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance53.6%EV+12.5%Odds down−0.02At recommendation2.10Closing odds2.08Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+15.3%margin10.2%
- under 3.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin9.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance55.4%EV-3.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.75Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.2%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin14.3%
- under 3.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin13.9%
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance55.4%EV+2.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 11:07Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 1.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate29.6%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.6%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.9%
- under 3.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin12.6%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance55.4%EV-3.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.74Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate8.6%Closing EV estimate−90.9%margin10.2%
- under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimate55.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin8.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 9 Oct, 05:17: under 2.5 at 2.10 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 54.0%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.86
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance54.0%EV+8.0%UnchangedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 13:20Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin7.9%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance53.8%EV+7.6%UnchangedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds2.00Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.5%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin7.1%
- over 4.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin7.6%
- over 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin7.7%
- over 6.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+8.0%margin7.8%
- over 7.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin7.8%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin7.8%
- over 9.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin8.2%
- over 10.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin7.8%
- over 11.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin8.2%
- over 12.5odds5.90Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin7.9%
- over 13.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate9.1%Closing EV estimate−27.0%margin7.7%
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance55.1%EV+4.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:15Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate93.9%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin12.0%
- over 5.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin12.3%
- over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.9%
- over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.3%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin13.2%
- over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.6%
- over 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin14.2%
- over 11.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin11.5%
- over 12.5odds7.70Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.0%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance55.1%EV+2.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 08:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin14.3%
- over 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin13.8%
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin15.4%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin14.7%
- over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.6%
- over 10.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin14.1%
KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance55.1%EV+2.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.85Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate87.7%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin9.0%
- over 6.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.4%
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin9.6%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+2.0%margin9.3%
- over 9.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin9.1%
- over 10.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin9.3%
- over 11.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate21.8%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin9.3%
- over 12.5odds5.75Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−16.8%margin9.1%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance55.1%EV+4.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.90Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 6.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate78.8%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin13.9%
- over 7.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate67.6%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.3%
- over 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin13.2%
- over 9.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin13.1%
- over 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.3%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin14.2%
Recommendation record
Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.80
- Expected value at recommendation
- +25.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +25.1%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.6%EV+25.1%UnchangedAt recommendation2.25Closing odds2.25Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin8.1%
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.6%EV+14.0%UnchangedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds2.05Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin9.2%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin9.0%
- over 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate−11.7%margin9.1%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.6%EV+17.9%UnchangedAt recommendation2.12Closing odds2.12Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 16:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.0%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin7.1%
- over 1.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+3.3%margin8.1%
- over 2.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin8.0%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin7.8%
- over 4.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin8.0%
- over 5.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin8.0%
- over 6.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate7.7%Closing EV estimate−43.5%margin8.0%
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance48.1%EV+1.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:15Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin12.4%
- over 2.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.5%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%
- over 4.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin12.1%
- over 5.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin11.9%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance48.1%EV+1.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:35Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin14.0%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin14.3%
- over 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.6%
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance48.1%EV+1.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.10Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 14:13Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.8%
- over 2.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate−3.4%margin13.1%
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate48.1%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%
- over 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin12.6%
- over 5.5odds6.50Closing chance estimate16.0%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.5%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 16:33: over 3.5 at 2.25 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.0%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.96
- Expected value at recommendation
- +50.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +50.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 21.5
Model chance51.0%EV+50.6%UnchangedAt recommendation2.95Closing odds2.95Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 21.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.95Closing chance estimate50.6%Closing EV estimate+49.2%margin13.9%
- under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin13.8%
- under 23.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate66.6%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin13.3%
- under 24.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate+28.7%margin14.3%
- under 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate79.7%Closing EV estimate+23.5%margin13.3%
- under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin14.0%
- under 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin13.8%
Recommendation record
Recorded 10 Oct, 05:42: under 21.5 at 2.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 58.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.73
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +11.0%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 15.5
Model chance58.1%EV+11.0%UnchangedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:50Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin7.9%
SuperbetAt recommendationover 15.5
Model chance58.1%EV+17.4%Odds down−0.05At recommendation2.02Closing odds1.97Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 11.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate88.2%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin8.0%
- over 12.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate82.3%Closing EV estimate+10.3%margin8.0%
- over 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+12.8%margin8.0%
- over 14.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin8.3%
- over 15.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin8.2%
- over 16.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+15.2%margin7.9%
- over 17.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate40.2%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin8.2%
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance58.1%EV+19.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.05Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate75.2%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin14.0%
- over 14.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin14.7%
- over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate58.1%Closing EV estimate+19.1%margin13.3%
- over 16.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate49.0%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin13.8%
Recommendation record
Recorded 10 Oct, 16:03: over 15.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.73
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +10.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
Model chance57.9%EV+10.6%UnchangedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin7.9%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance53.8%EV-3.1%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin14.0%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin14.4%
- under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin14.3%
- under 10.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin13.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance53.8%EV-8.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.70Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin14.3%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.70Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin14.4%
- under 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin14.4%
KambiClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance53.8%EV-6.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.73Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 7.5odds2.28Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.4%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin12.4%
- under 9.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−6.2%margin12.1%
- under 10.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin12.7%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance53.8%EV-6.9%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.73Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 4.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate8.9%Closing EV estimate−34.8%margin10.8%
- under 5.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate17.0%Closing EV estimate−21.7%margin11.0%
- under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate27.9%Closing EV estimate−13.4%margin10.4%
- under 7.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate40.7%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin9.0%
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate53.8%Closing EV estimate−6.9%margin7.8%
- under 9.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin9.9%
- under 10.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin11.2%
- under 11.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate84.5%Closing EV estimate−7.0%margin11.3%
- under 12.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate90.3%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin11.1%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.75
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 57.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance57.4%EV+9.5%Odds down−0.11At recommendation1.91Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:50Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin7.9%
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance52.8%EV+0.8%UnchangedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds1.91Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 15:50Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin11.2%
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance52.8%EV+0.8%Odds down−0.02At recommendation1.91Closing odds1.89Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin10.6%
- over 4.5odds1.89Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin11.0%
- over 5.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+19.4%margin11.0%
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance60.3%EV-12.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.45Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin13.4%
- over 5.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−15.4%margin13.8%
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance60.3%EV-6.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.55Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin14.2%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin14.5%
- over 5.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate−13.2%margin14.5%
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance60.3%EV+8.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.80Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- over 1.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate96.4%Closing EV estimate−3.2%margin11.0%
- over 2.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate89.0%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin11.0%
- over 3.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.5%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin9.9%
- over 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin8.2%
- over 5.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate43.4%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin9.4%
- over 6.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.1%
- over 7.5odds5.35Closing chance estimate17.3%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin11.3%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 15:51. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 65.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.54
- Expected value at recommendation
- +31.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.
Model chance at recommendation 65.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.54. Expected value at recommendation: +31.6%.
The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance65.1%EV+31.6%Odds down−0.04At recommendation2.02Closing odds1.98Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:06Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 3.5odds1.98Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin11.1%
- under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin11.0%
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance62.2%EV+2.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.65Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:32Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate40.2%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin14.1%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin14.7%
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance62.2%EV-3.6%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.55Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 08:39Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 2.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate40.2%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin14.0%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin14.5%
- under 4.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin13.9%
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance62.2%EV+10.0%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.77Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 16:04Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
- under 0.5odds12.00Closing chance estimate4.7%Closing EV estimate−43.5%margin—
- under 1.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate18.8%Closing EV estimate−5.9%margin10.9%
- under 2.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate40.2%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin9.9%
- under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.77Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin8.6%
- under 4.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate79.2%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin10.6%
- under 5.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate90.0%Closing EV estimate+1.7%margin11.0%
- under 6.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate95.7%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.6%
Recommendation record
Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: under 3.5 at 2.02 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.
Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions