Suriname vs Martinique 2-1 — CONCACAF Nations League

CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations League 26/27

Suriname

2–1

HT 0–0

Martinique

Mon 28 Sep·16:00·Matchday 2·Group B·Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion·Suriname won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners6
14Shots10
5Shots on target3
14Fouls20
25Throw-ins17
1Offsides · Result conflict0
11Goal kicks7
2Saves3
14Tackles14
6Interceptions11
9Dribbles6

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Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Matches

1 match

16:00

Surinamev

MartiniqueCONCACAF Nations League0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0028 Sept, 15:11

Closing odds2.0028 Sept, 15:40

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 50.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance50.0%EV+0.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 28 Sept, 15:40
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:40
BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-10.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 28 Sept, 06:50
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−23.0%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 6.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 7.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−14.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 10.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 11.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 12.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
- under 13.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 06:50
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-10.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 28 Sept, 15:01
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate13.5%Closing EV estimate−17.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 6.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−13.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 7.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate33.7%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate45.8%Closing EV estimate−10.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate57.7%Closing EV estimate−7.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 10.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate68.5%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 11.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 12.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate84.8%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01
- under 13.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate90.1%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 28 Sept, 15:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 28 Sept, 15:11: under 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 28 Sept, 15:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 1 unit staked

Profit−1.00units

W / L0 / 1picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks11 matches

Around this match

CompetitionCONCACAF Nations League Home teamSuriname Away teamMartinique

Match overview

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