Stade Rennais vs Auxerre — Ligue 1

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

Stade Rennais

4–1

HT 1–1

Auxerre

Sun 11 Oct··Matchday 6·Roazhon Park·Stade Rennais won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 12Corners5
  • 4Cards0
  • 21Shots12
  • 11Shots on target5
  • 12Fouls11
  • 26Throw-ins19
  • 2Offsides4
  • 4Goal kicks10
  • 4Saves7
  • 18Tackles20
  • 7Interceptions7
  • 3Dribbles12
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available8Recorded Free4Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
Stade RennaisvAuxerreLigue 110 won / 2 lost · +8.99u · 12 picks

Cards · Auxerre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 0+1.65u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.65
Closing odds2.65
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.94
Expected value at recommendation
+36.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +36.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.75
    Closing odds2.75
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.1%EV+46.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+29.1%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.75
    Closing odds2.30
    Odds down−0.45
    Model chance52.7%EV+44.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.65
    Closing odds2.65
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.6%EV+36.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.65Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+38.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.65
    Closing odds2.75
    Odds up+0.10
    Model chance51.7%EV+36.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+44.1%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.95
    Closing odds2.60
    Odds down−0.35
    Model chance51.6%EV+52.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate20.1%Closing EV estimate−78.7%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+36.3%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate78.3%Closing EV estimate+21.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate92.1%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: under 1.5 at 2.65 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Auxerre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds1.58
Odds down−0.33
Model chance at recommendation
64.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.57
Expected value at recommendation
+22.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +22.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds1.58
    Odds down−0.33
    Model chance64.0%EV+22.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 01:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.68
    Odds down−0.22
    Model chance64.0%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 06:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds20.00Closing chance estimate2.4%Closing EV estimate−52.6%margin4.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate11.0%Closing EV estimate−23.0%margin6.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin7.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.19Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate95.3%Closing EV estimate+3.8%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate98.0%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.7%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin3.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.8%EV+13.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.8%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.8%EV-1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 00:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.58
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.8%EV+3.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin8.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.58Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.8%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate65.8%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate80.4%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 1.91 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 23+0.90u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.97
Odds up+0.07
Model chance at recommendation
54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.83
Expected value at recommendation
+4.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 24.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.97
    Odds up+0.07
    Model chance54.9%EV+4.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 24.5odds1.97Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.9%EV-8.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate−11.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.9%EV-8.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate−13.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−6.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance50.9%EV-8.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate28.6%Closing EV estimate−15.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate35.7%Closing EV estimate−14.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate43.2%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate58.4%Closing EV estimate−6.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate65.5%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate72.0%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: under 24.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Auxerre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 11+0.92u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds1.95
Odds up+0.03
Model chance at recommendation
54.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+3.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds1.95
    Odds up+0.03
    Model chance54.0%EV+3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.1%EV-5.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate−3.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.1%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate29.5%Closing EV estimate−8.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate71.2%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.1%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate51.1%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate61.7%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: under 12.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 01:19. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.12
Model chance at recommendation
59.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+12.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds2.02
    Odds up+0.12
    Model chance59.2%EV+12.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+10.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate+12.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+13.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+13.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance58.2%EV+10.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate83.8%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.4%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate67.7%Closing EV estimate+8.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate58.2%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate38.8%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds3.85Closing chance estimate30.0%Closing EV estimate+15.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 15.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.90u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+0.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.1%EV+0.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−7.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds1.95
    Unchanged
    Model chance53.1%EV+3.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate−1.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds5.25Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance52.6%EV-0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.2%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.39Closing chance estimate73.0%Closing EV estimate+1.5%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate52.6%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate33.1%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate18.4%Closing EV estimate−10.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds8.25Closing chance estimate9.0%Closing EV estimate−25.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 02:48: over 3.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 03:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 33+1.18u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.18
Closing odds2.23
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
64.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+41.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +41.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+31.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+39.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • over 29.5odds2.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation2.18
    Closing odds2.23
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance64.9%EV+41.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:41

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 25.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+32.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.94Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+40.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailable
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.10
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance64.9%EV+33.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 22.5odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailable
    • over 23.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+25.5%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+33.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+40.8%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.2%Model unavailable
    • over 29.5odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin9.9%Model unavailable
    • over 30.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate54.5%Closing EV estimate+66.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 31.5odds3.65Closing chance estimate48.3%Closing EV estimate+76.5%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+18.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+23.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+40.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 29.5odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 23.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate89.6%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 24.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate86.1%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 25.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate82.1%Closing EV estimate+27.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 26.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate77.4%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 27.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate72.2%Closing EV estimate+44.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 28.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.4%Model unavailable
    • over 29.5odds2.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 28.5 at 2.18 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Stade Rennais total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 17.5Actual: 21+1.15u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds2.12
Odds down−0.03
Model chance at recommendation
64.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+39.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 64.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +39.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 17.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.12
    Odds down−0.03
    Model chance69.6%EV+49.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 17.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+41.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 17.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds2.12
    Odds down−0.03
    Model chance64.8%EV+39.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 15.5odds1.63Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+31.7%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+37.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+41.6%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.8%EV+40.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+29.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+40.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 17.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds2.20
    Odds up+0.30
    Model chance64.8%EV+23.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+24.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.64Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+32.5%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.88Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+39.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+47.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds2.62Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+54.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 19.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate50.7%Closing EV estimate+54.6%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 20.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate+36.5%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.8%EV+83.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+33.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+49.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+63.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.75Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+83.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance66.8%EV+40.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate90.8%Closing EV estimate+18.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate86.4%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate80.8%Closing EV estimate+25.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+33.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 17.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+40.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 18.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+55.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:47: over 17.5 at 2.15 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Auxerre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 12+0.94u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds1.92
Odds down−0.02
Model chance at recommendation
62.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.60
Expected value at recommendation
+21.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +21.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.8%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+13.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+31.8%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.85Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation1.94
    Closing odds1.92
    Odds down−0.02
    Model chance62.5%EV+21.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.8%EV+16.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 22:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+16.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.92
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.8%EV+16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.8%EV-5.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.55Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate−10.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.8%EV+21.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 07:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+14.2%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+21.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.92
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance60.8%EV+16.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate88.1%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate80.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin10.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.62Closing chance estimate71.4%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate60.8%Closing EV estimate+16.7%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.82Closing chance estimate39.0%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate29.4%Closing EV estimate+4.3%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:09: over 10.5 at 1.94 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 16+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+20.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +20.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance60.2%EV+20.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+22.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+19.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+24.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+19.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+35.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+19.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.56Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+16.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.16Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+8.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+22.0%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+29.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate+34.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance61.3%EV+12.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.5%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate81.9%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.47Closing chance estimate72.3%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate61.3%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.32Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+15.5%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate38.6%Closing EV estimate+17.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate28.7%Closing EV estimate+24.7%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate20.3%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 09:34: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Stade Rennais total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 11+1.33u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.33
Closing odds2.25
Odds down−0.08
Model chance at recommendation
57.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.75
Expected value at recommendation
+33.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +33.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.33
    Closing odds2.25
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance57.3%EV+33.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.07
    Odds up+0.07
    Model chance50.2%EV+0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate89.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+1.3%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.59Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+7.0%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds2.77Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate15.9%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.7%EV+11.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.7%EV+8.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.7%EV+16.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.67Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+11.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate37.4%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.7%EV+5.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.8%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.5%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate51.7%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: over 6.5 at 2.33 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Auxerre total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.02u on one unit
BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds2.07
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+8.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds2.07
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance53.8%EV+8.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.9%EV+13.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:26

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.9%EV+10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.9%EV+13.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 03:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.9%EV+11.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 08:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+6.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.07Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+11.6%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.9%EV+15.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+15.9%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+22.1%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.9%EV+10.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 11 Oct, 09:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate89.4%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate73.7%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate53.9%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+6.4%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds4.85Closing chance estimate20.1%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds7.60Closing chance estimate10.4%Closing EV estimate−21.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: over 3.5 at 2.02 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+74.9%ROI · 12 units staked
Profit+8.99units
W / L10 / 2picks
Avg odds2.07settled picks
Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1Home teamStade RennaisAway teamAuxerreRefereeWilly Delajod

Previous meetings

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