Sporting Braga vs Sporting — Liga Portugal Betclic

Liga Portugal BetclicLiga Portugal 26/27

Fri 9 Oct··Matchday 8·Estádio Municipal de Braga·Sporting won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 5Corners2
  • 1Cards1
  • 15Shots9
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 11Fouls10
  • 23Throw-ins17
  • 0Offsides2
  • 6Goal kicks5
  • 1Saves3
  • 22Tackles17
  • 7Interceptions7
  • 10Dribbles12
17 Free2 VIP0 Free Active0 VIP Active

Board

Matches

1 match
Sporting BragavSportingLiga Portugal Betclic13 won / 6 lost · +7.04u · 19 picks

Cards · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeLost
over 2.51.92 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.51.92Model chance52.8%EV+1.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate+464.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds18.00Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate+1298.9%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.60Model chance54.7%EV-12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2odds1.28Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.60Model chance54.7%EV-12.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate−12.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate−18.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.85Model chance54.7%EV+1.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 1.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate77.7%Closing EV estimate−5.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate54.7%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate32.8%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 23:51: over 2.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 01:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeWon
under 2.51.95 at Betlive+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +12.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.95Model chance57.8%EV+12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 2.51.95Model chance57.8%EV+12.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate22.3%Closing EV estimate−24.2%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−11.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−9.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.51.65Model chance45.3%EV-25.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate22.3%Closing EV estimate−28.7%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−25.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate−18.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.51.64Model chance45.3%EV-25.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate5.9%Closing EV estimate−93.7%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate45.3%Closing EV estimate−25.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:47: under 2.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Cards · Sporting total

Open match →FreeWon
under 2.51.87 at Superbet+0.87u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +6.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 2.51.80Model chance69.7%EV+25.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate42.3%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+24.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate−1.6%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.51.87Model chance57.0%EV+6.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate14.6%Closing EV estimate−84.4%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+15.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.51.75Model chance69.0%EV+20.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate42.3%Closing EV estimate+24.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+10.5%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.51.65Model chance69.0%EV+13.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate42.3%Closing EV estimate+18.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate69.0%Closing EV estimate+13.8%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate86.3%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:42: under 2.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 11:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon
under 8.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 72.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.39. Expected value at recommendation: +37.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 8.51.91Model chance72.1%EV+37.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+38.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 8.51.96Model chance72.4%EV+41.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+64.0%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+53.4%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.96Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+41.8%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+29.5%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.51.80Model chance72.4%EV+30.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds5.30Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+69.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+43.2%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+30.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.49Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate96.5%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.51.80Model chance72.4%EV+30.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 5.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+35.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+43.2%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+30.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.51.80Model chance72.4%EV+30.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 4 Oct, 02:58

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+43.2%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+38.4%margin14.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+30.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+23.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+14.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.51.90Model chance72.4%EV+37.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate9.7%Closing EV estimate+25.9%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate19.3%Closing EV estimate+40.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds4.75Closing chance estimate31.9%Closing EV estimate+51.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate46.2%Closing EV estimate+52.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate60.2%Closing EV estimate+45.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate72.4%Closing EV estimate+37.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.58Closing chance estimate82.0%Closing EV estimate+29.5%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate88.9%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate93.6%Closing EV estimate+15.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate96.5%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate98.1%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 8.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeLost
under 3.52.00 at Bet365−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.52.00Model chance58.3%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+35.6%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 3.51.92Model chance58.3%EV+11.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+41.0%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 3.51.85Model chance59.2%EV+9.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate46.1%Closing EV estimate+61.3%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+42.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+29.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 3.51.80Model chance59.2%EV+6.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate46.1%Closing EV estimate+35.9%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+32.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 3.52.00Model chance58.3%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+41.0%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 3.51.90Model chance58.5%EV+11.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+40.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate46.1%Closing EV estimate+65.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+42.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+1.8%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 3.52.02Model chance58.3%EV+17.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate6.2%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin5.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds5.70Closing chance estimate22.9%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin8.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate46.1%Closing EV estimate+40.5%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate67.8%Closing EV estimate+36.9%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate83.3%Closing EV estimate+26.7%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate92.4%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate96.9%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Sporting total

Open match →FreeWon
under 4.51.91 at Bet365+0.91u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 68.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +30.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.51.91Model chance68.4%EV+30.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.91Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 4.51.95Model chance67.5%EV+31.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:45

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 4.51.85Model chance60.4%EV+11.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.65Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+12.2%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.41Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 4.51.80Model chance59.8%EV+7.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 00:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiAt recommendationunder 4.51.95Model chance68.4%EV+33.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+8.5%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.51.88Model chance60.4%EV+13.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds8.30Closing chance estimate9.1%Closing EV estimate−24.1%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds4.35Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.88Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.13Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+5.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.51.80Model chance60.6%EV+9.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds4.90Closing chance estimate23.2%Closing EV estimate+13.9%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate41.8%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate76.1%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate86.8%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate93.4%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin13.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon
under 23.52.05 at Betlive+1.05u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.52.05Model chance53.6%EV+9.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 21.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate37.1%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 24.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 25.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate−2.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 26.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailable
    • under 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 23.52.50Model chance50.7%EV+26.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.50Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+31.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+19.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+13.7%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 23.52.35Model chance50.7%EV+19.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 22.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate44.7%Closing EV estimate+5.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate52.4%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate59.9%Closing EV estimate+22.8%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate67.0%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate73.3%Closing EV estimate+17.4%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate79.0%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:06: under 23.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeWon
under 12.51.95 at Superbet+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.51.95Model chance52.1%EV+1.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5odds1.83Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−6.8%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.51.80Model chance50.9%EV-8.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 13.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate−4.8%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 14.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate−4.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.52.00Model chance50.9%EV+1.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate40.1%Closing EV estimate−11.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 12.52.00Model chance50.9%EV+1.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 12.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.9%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate61.4%Closing EV estimate+4.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:42: under 12.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Sporting total

Open match →FreeWon
under 11.51.95 at Superbet+0.95u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +17.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 11.52.00Model chance59.1%EV+18.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+7.4%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+7.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 11.51.80Model chance61.2%EV+10.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+16.6%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.51.95Model chance60.1%EV+17.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate+21.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate+20.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.51.65Model chance60.3%EV-0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10odds2.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 10.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate48.8%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate60.3%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 12.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate70.7%Closing EV estimate−1.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:42: under 11.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 12:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon
over 2.52.01 at Pinnacle+1.01u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +1.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 2.52.01Model chance50.6%EV+1.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 2odds1.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.9%Model unavailable
    • over 2.25odds1.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.4%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+12.6%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 2.52.00Model chance50.6%EV+1.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.25odds1.19Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.4%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin4.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.75odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.5%Model unavailable
    • over 2odds1.52Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.1%Model unavailable
    • over 2.25odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin5.6%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin4.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.75odds2.32Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin6.8%Model unavailable
    • over 3odds2.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.7%Model unavailable
    • over 3.25odds3.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.0%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5odds3.60Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin5.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.75odds3.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin7.8%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate−4.5%margin4.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds16.00Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin3.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds36.00Closing chance estimate1.9%Closing EV estimate−31.4%margin2.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.52.00Model chance49.6%EV-0.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:55

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin4.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds3.40Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate−6.0%margin6.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds7.00Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−20.0%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 2.52.28Model chance49.6%EV+13.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin0.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 0.75odds1.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.7%Model unavailable
    • over 1odds1.12Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailable
    • over 1.25odds1.26Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate+4.1%margin1.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.75odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin3.2%Model unavailable
    • over 2odds1.67Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%Model unavailable
    • over 2.25odds1.97Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.3%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.28Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+13.1%margin0.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.75odds2.68Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.8%Model unavailable
    • over 3odds3.43Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.6%Model unavailable
    • over 3.25odds3.88Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.5%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5odds4.30Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate+18.9%margin1.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.75odds5.76Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.1%Model unavailable
    • over 4odds8.81Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.4%Model unavailable
    • over 4.25odds9.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.7%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.75odds14.23Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin2.3%Model unavailable
    • over 5odds24.42Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.2%Model unavailable
    • over 5.25odds25.21Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.1%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds26.00Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate+38.8%margin0.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.75odds37.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin1.7%Model unavailable
    • over 6odds63.59Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%Model unavailable
    • over 6.25odds64.29Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin0.6%Model unavailable
    • over 6.5odds65.00Closing chance estimate1.9%Closing EV estimate+23.9%margin0.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.51.90Model chance49.6%EV-5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1odds1.07Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−4.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2odds1.47Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.5%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3odds2.65Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.8%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5odds3.15Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate−12.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4odds4.90Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate−29.4%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5odds7.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.6%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−60.5%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.51.90Model chance49.6%EV-5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 10:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2odds1.44Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.0%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate−15.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4odds4.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate−32.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5odds7.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds7.40Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−60.5%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.51.90Model chance49.6%EV-5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1odds1.06Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin12.2%Model unavailable
    • over 1.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2odds1.45Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.5%Model unavailable
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate−5.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3odds2.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin10.6%Model unavailable
    • over 3.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate−15.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4odds4.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.7%Model unavailable
    • over 4.5odds5.20Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate−32.0%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5odds7.20Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.9%Model unavailable
    • over 5.5odds7.30Closing chance estimate5.3%Closing EV estimate−61.0%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 117.5odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin8.1%Model unavailable
    • over 120.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 124.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 130.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
    • over 131.5odds1.80Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin11.1%Model unavailable
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.52.20Model chance49.6%EV+9.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 13:10

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.05Closing chance estimate93.0%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate74.3%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate49.6%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate27.7%Closing EV estimate+10.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds8.00Closing chance estimate13.1%Closing EV estimate+4.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 23:51: over 2.5 at 2.01 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Saves · match total

Open match →FreeWon
under 4.52.30 at Liderbet+1.30u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +18.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.52.30Model chance51.4%EV+18.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 4.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate50.4%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate67.3%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate80.5%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 05:42: under 4.5 at 2.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreeLost
under 23.52.10 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +25.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.51.65Model chance62.6%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.51.65Model chance62.6%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin11.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.52.10Model chance59.6%EV+25.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds4.20Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate+66.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+58.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+51.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+42.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+35.4%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25.5odds1.69Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+27.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26.5odds1.51Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+22.3%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+17.1%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 28.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate89.1%Closing EV estimate+13.2%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.51.65Model chance62.6%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate39.5%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailable
    • under 21.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate47.3%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22odds2.10Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 22.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate55.1%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23odds1.75Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 23.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.6%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 24odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 24.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 25odds1.37Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 25.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.6%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 26odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailable
    • under 26.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate81.0%Closing EV estimate+13.4%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 27odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • under 27.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate85.5%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 05:02: under 23.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 00:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Sporting Braga total

Open match →VIPWon
over 10.51.85 at Liderbet+0.85u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +4.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.51.85Model chance56.2%EV+4.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−34.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−50.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance36.2%EV-36.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • over 9.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−30.3%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−36.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • over 11.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−41.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • over 12.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate17.5%Closing EV estimate−56.2%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.51.75Model chance36.2%EV-36.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−27.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−36.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−45.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate17.5%Closing EV estimate−61.5%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.51.64Model chance36.2%EV-40.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate72.5%Closing EV estimate−16.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate60.6%Closing EV estimate−23.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.42Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−31.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.64Closing chance estimate36.2%Closing EV estimate−40.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds1.95Closing chance estimate25.8%Closing EV estimate−49.6%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.35Closing chance estimate17.5%Closing EV estimate−58.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.90Closing chance estimate11.3%Closing EV estimate−67.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate6.9%Closing EV estimate−75.4%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 10:47: over 10.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 11:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeLost
under 10.52.05 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +21.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.51.75Model chance63.8%EV+11.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • under 9.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+16.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+7.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12odds1.33Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • under 12.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 10.52.00Model chance63.9%EV+27.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+19.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 10.52.05Model chance63.9%EV+30.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+14.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+26.1%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.52.05Model chance59.0%EV+21.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds4.15Closing chance estimate27.5%Closing EV estimate+14.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds3.50Closing chance estimate39.4%Closing EV estimate+38.1%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds2.67Closing chance estimate52.0%Closing EV estimate+38.7%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds2.12Closing chance estimate63.8%Closing EV estimate+35.3%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+32.0%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate82.5%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate88.7%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate93.1%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: under 10.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Sporting total

Open match →FreeWon
under 11.52.37 at Superbet+1.37u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +27.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.52.37Model chance53.7%EV+27.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:40

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate21.3%Closing EV estimate−26.6%margin8.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate30.6%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds2.52Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate+3.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+8.7%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 16.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate85.6%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin7.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.52.10Model chance41.1%EV-13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:30

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11odds2.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailable
    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−13.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12odds1.95Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 12.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate−9.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13odds1.55Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 13.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate−9.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailable
    • under 14.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 15odds1.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.1%Model unavailable
    • under 15.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate79.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.52.00Model chance41.1%EV-17.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 07:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−17.8%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate−6.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 14.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate71.5%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.52.10Model chance41.1%EV-13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate41.1%Closing EV estimate−13.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate51.8%Closing EV estimate−11.9%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 13.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate62.2%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 05:02: under 11.5 at 2.37 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 23:51. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon
under 7.52.00 at Superbet+1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.52.00Model chance52.1%EV+4.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds10.00Closing chance estimate5.4%Closing EV estimate−46.3%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate12.2%Closing EV estimate−23.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds4.00Closing chance estimate22.6%Closing EV estimate−9.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds2.72Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+1.6%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.57Closing chance estimate64.2%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.31Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin10.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate−2.3%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.07Closing chance estimate91.2%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.52.10Model chance50.3%EV+5.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 8.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate64.2%Closing EV estimate+5.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 9.5odds1.37Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10odds1.25Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.9%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.52.00Model chance50.3%EV+0.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin13.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.52.05Model chance50.3%EV+3.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 6.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate35.8%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate50.3%Closing EV estimate+3.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate64.2%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate75.9%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:06: under 7.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeLost
under 3.51.92 at Superbet−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 3.51.95Model chance58.3%EV+13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3odds2.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.6%Model unavailable
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 3.51.95Model chance58.3%EV+13.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 06:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+5.3%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetAt recommendationunder 3.52.00Model chance58.3%EV+16.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.51.92Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:36

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds13.00Closing chance estimate3.8%Closing EV estimate−51.1%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds5.55Closing chance estimate16.1%Closing EV estimate−10.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate36.3%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds1.90Closing chance estimate58.5%Closing EV estimate+11.1%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.6%Closing EV estimate+7.3%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate88.5%Closing EV estimate+3.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.06Closing chance estimate95.0%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 10:51: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Sporting Braga total

Open match →FreeLost
under 16.52.05 at Betlive−1.00u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +4.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.52.05Model chance50.9%EV+4.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16odds2.35Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17odds1.85Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.7%Model unavailable
    • under 17.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18odds1.60Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.8%Model unavailable
    • under 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19odds1.40Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.0%Model unavailable
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.51.90Model chance50.1%EV-4.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin15.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.52.05Model chance50.1%EV+2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.05Closing chance estimate50.1%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 17.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate58.8%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.9%Closing EV estimate+3.7%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:06: under 16.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Sporting total

Open match →FreeWon
under 18.51.92 at Superbet+0.92u on one unit

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 18.51.92Model chance52.4%EV+0.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.92Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 18.51.85Model chance51.3%EV-5.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:00

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 17.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−3.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18odds2.05Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin13.3%Model unavailable
    • under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19odds1.70Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.4%Model unavailable
    • under 19.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−4.9%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20odds1.50Closing chance estimateModel unavailableClosing EV estimate—margin14.3%Model unavailable
    • under 20.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 18.51.85Model chance51.3%EV-5.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:02

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 18.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate−5.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds1.65Closing chance estimate59.4%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate67.1%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 00:11: under 18.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 01:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+37.0%ROI · 19 units staked
Profit+7.04units
W / L13 / 6picks
Avg odds2.00settled picks
Recorded picks191 matches

Around this match

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