SK Beveren vs Lommel SK 1-3 — Pro League

Pro LeaguePro League 26/27

SK Beveren

1–3

HT 1–1

Lommel SK

Fri 9 Oct·12:45·Matchday 8·Freethielstadion·Lommel SK won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

12Corners6
2Cards1
9Shots19
3Shots on target7
6Fouls5
28Throw-ins18
1Offsides2
8Goal kicks9
4Saves3
23Tackles19
8Interceptions15
6Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

0Free available0VIP available7Recorded Free2Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45SK BeverenvLommel SKPro League7 won / 2 lost · +4.74u · 9 picks

Cards · SK Beveren total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.127 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds2.279 Oct, 12:35

Odds up+0.15

Model chance at recommendation: 56.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +19.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +19.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance54.3%EV+5.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+17.2%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:34
- under 2.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+9.2%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:34
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.27
Odds up+0.15
Model chance56.2%EV+19.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate25.3%Closing EV estimate−73.9%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- under 1.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+36.4%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.1%EV+5.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+5.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.1%EV+8.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:02
- under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate84.0%Closing EV estimate+5.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:02
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.1%EV+5.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.76Closing chance estimate60.1%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 1.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Lommel SK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.907 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds2.029 Oct, 12:35

Odds up+0.12

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance56.8%EV+2.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+11.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:34
- under 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+6.6%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:34
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds2.02
Odds up+0.12
Model chance53.5%EV+1.6%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate26.8%Closing EV estimate−72.4%margin9.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 08:45
- under 1.5odds2.02Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+25.3%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.1%EV-0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:30
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.60Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:30
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.1%EV+2.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 02:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+2.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:02
- under 2.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate85.3%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin14.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 02:02
KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.1%EV+4.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.68Closing chance estimate62.1%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 1.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · SK Beveren total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.128 Oct, 14:18

Closing odds2.089 Oct, 12:20

Odds down−0.04

Model chance at recommendation: 53.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.08
Odds down−0.04
Model chance53.4%EV+13.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds2.08Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:20
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.00
Odds down−0.20
Model chance53.4%EV+17.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:02
- under 6.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+0.4%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:02
- under 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:02
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds2.00
Odds down−0.10
Model chance51.3%EV+7.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−1.8%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 10:04
- under 5.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 6.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 7.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate−1.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- under 8.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−4.4%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds2.17
Unchanged
Model chance53.4%EV+15.9%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.17Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 6.5odds1.68Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+8.8%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- under 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.2%EV+3.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5odds2.88Closing chance estimate32.7%Closing EV estimate−5.7%margin8.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- under 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.10Closing chance estimate49.2%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- under 6.5odds1.66Closing chance estimate64.8%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- under 7.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:44
- under 8.5odds1.24Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:44

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 14:18: under 5.5 at 2.12 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Lommel SK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+1.05u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.057 Oct, 13:06

Closing odds1.739 Oct, 12:20

Odds down−0.32

Model chance at recommendation: 58.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +19.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +19.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.73
Odds down−0.32
Model chance58.2%EV+19.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.73Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:20
KambiAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds1.71
Odds down−0.44
Model chance58.2%EV+25.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- over 3.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+18.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- over 4.5odds2.38Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+22.2%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:44
- over 5.5odds3.45Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+18.1%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.4%EV+25.0%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+25.0%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.4%EV+0.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:02
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+8.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:39
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.45Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+0.7%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:02
- over 4.5odds2.00Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+2.7%margin14.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:02
- over 5.5odds2.95Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin13.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:02
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.4%EV+4.2%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 11:07
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate94.8%Closing EV estimate−2.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:04
- over 2.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate−0.7%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.50Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+4.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- over 4.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+7.8%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- over 5.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate34.2%Closing EV estimate+9.5%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
- over 6.5odds5.40Closing chance estimate20.6%Closing EV estimate+11.4%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:07
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.4%EV+20.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 7 Oct, 10:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate84.9%Closing EV estimate+12.9%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.73Closing chance estimate69.4%Closing EV estimate+20.1%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34
- over 4.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate51.3%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin7.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 7 Oct, 10:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:06: over 3.5 at 2.05 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 14:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 20.5Actual: 11+0.95u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.959 Oct, 01:42

Closing odds1.959 Oct, 01:34

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 56.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 20.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance56.3%EV+9.8%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.95Closing chance estimate63.4%Closing EV estimate+23.6%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
- under 21.5odds1.70Closing chance estimate70.9%Closing EV estimate+20.6%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
- under 22.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate77.6%Closing EV estimate+16.3%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 01:42: under 20.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Lommel SK total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 5+0.80u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.809 Oct, 01:42

Closing odds1.809 Oct, 01:34

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 62.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +12.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds1.80
Unchanged
Model chance62.3%EV+12.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate67.2%Closing EV estimate+21.0%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 01:42: under 10.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · SK Beveren total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+0.95u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.958 Oct, 14:18

Closing odds2.059 Oct, 12:31

Odds up+0.10

Model chance at recommendation: 52.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.10
Model chance52.6%EV+2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:31
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:31
- under 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:31
- under 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:31
- under 3.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:31
- under 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:00
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.10
Model chance52.6%EV+2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 3.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:33
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.10
Model chance52.6%EV+2.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:33
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds4.60Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate−14.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 1.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 2.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+0.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 3.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:33
- under 4.5odds1.01Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:34
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 1.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.15
Odds up+0.03
Model chance52.6%EV+11.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds5.50Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate+2.2%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- under 1.5odds2.15Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+7.2%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- under 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- under 3.5odds1.10Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+0.0%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- under 4.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin5.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 11:06
Bet365Closing estimateunder 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV+9.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:51
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate18.6%Closing EV estimate+11.5%margin5.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
- under 1.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate49.8%Closing EV estimate+9.7%margin7.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
- under 2.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+3.9%margin6.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
- under 3.5odds1.11Closing chance estimate90.9%Closing EV estimate+1.0%margin5.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
- under 4.5odds1.03Closing chance estimate97.1%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin3.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51
- under 5.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.2%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin2.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 09:51

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 14:18: under 1.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 10+1.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.059 Oct, 02:32

Closing odds1.929 Oct, 12:35

Odds down−0.13

Model chance at recommendation: 50.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +4.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +4.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds2.25
Unchanged
Model chance51.0%EV+14.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+7.5%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:00
- over 8.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate+9.0%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:00
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.25Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+11.8%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:00
CrocobetAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance50.9%EV+19.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+11.2%margin14.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- over 8.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate+12.1%margin14.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+16.8%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds1.92
Odds down−0.13
Model chance50.9%EV+4.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 5.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate91.4%Closing EV estimate−5.0%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 11:40
- over 6.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate−4.2%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin7.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 8.5odds1.52Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−5.3%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 9.5odds1.92Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−4.6%margin8.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 10.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin9.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 11.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate26.9%Closing EV estimate−12.6%margin10.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 12.5odds4.40Closing chance estimate18.2%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 13.5odds6.00Closing chance estimate11.7%Closing EV estimate−29.6%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV+14.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 6.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate84.1%Closing EV estimate+3.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 8 Oct, 04:40
- over 7.5odds1.44Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- over 8.5odds1.78Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate+10.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate+14.3%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- over 10.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate+16.4%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.7%EV-8.1%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 7.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate74.1%Closing EV estimate−3.6%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
- over 8.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate62.3%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin13.8%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
- over 9.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate49.7%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
- over 10.5odds2.50Closing chance estimate37.6%Closing EV estimate−6.1%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34

Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 02:32: over 9.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Lommel SK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+1.04u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.047 Oct, 13:06

Closing odds1.759 Oct, 12:38

Odds down−0.29

Model chance at recommendation: 52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds1.79
Odds down−0.25
Model chance52.2%EV+6.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:20
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 3.5odds1.79Closing chance estimate65.6%Closing EV estimate+17.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:20
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.04
Closing odds1.75
Odds down−0.29
Model chance52.2%EV+6.5%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:38
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.29Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- over 3.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate65.6%Closing EV estimate+14.8%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
- over 4.5odds2.63Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate+23.2%margin11.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:38
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.6%EV+21.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 05:00
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:00
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.6%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 05:00
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.6%EV+21.4%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 03:32
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin14.1%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.6%Closing EV estimate+21.4%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
- over 4.5odds2.70Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate+26.5%margin14.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:32
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.6%EV+8.3%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 01:34
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 2.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+3.0%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.65Closing chance estimate65.6%Closing EV estimate+8.3%margin14.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
- over 4.5odds2.25Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate+5.4%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 01:34
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.6%EV+5.7%
Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 12:35
Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.
lineoddsClosing chance estimateClosing EV estimatemarginevidence / captured
- over 1.5odds1.04Closing chance estimate93.7%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 03:35
- over 2.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate82.4%Closing EV estimate+1.4%margin10.7%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.61Closing chance estimate65.6%Closing EV estimate+5.7%margin8.6%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 4.5odds2.27Closing chance estimate46.8%Closing EV estimate+6.3%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 5.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate29.9%Closing EV estimate−1.2%margin10.9%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35
- over 6.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate17.2%Closing EV estimate−12.2%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimateCaptured 9 Oct, 12:35

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 13:06: over 3.5 at 2.04 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 04:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+52.7%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit+4.74units

W / L7 / 2picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionPro League Home teamSK Beveren Away teamLommel SK RefereeMichiel Allaerts

Match overview

Matches

Cards · SK Beveren total

Cards · Lommel SK total

Corners · SK Beveren total

Corners · Lommel SK total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Lommel SK total

Goals · SK Beveren total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Lommel SK total

This match

Around this match

On this page

This category

StatsGem

Bro VIP · Beta

Football intelligence, with your VIP.

What are we exploring, bro?