Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

Shakhtar Donetsk

13:00

09:35:12

AEK Athens

Today·13:00·Matchday 2·Neutral venue·Arena Lviv, Lviv

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1 match

13:00Shakhtar DonetskvAEK AthensUEFA Champions League1 pick · 0 active

Corners · Shakhtar Donetsk total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 4.51.91 at Paddy Power

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +2.8%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 66 settled picks and +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.51.91Model chance53.9%EV+2.8%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 01:11
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds5.20Current model chance19.3%Current EV+0.4%margin8.1%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 01:11
- under 3.5odds2.88Current model chance35.9%Current EV+3.3%margin8.1%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 01:11
- under 4.5odds1.85Current model chance53.9%Current EV−0.3%margin8.1%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 01:11
- under 5.5odds1.44Current model chance69.8%Current EV+0.7%margin7.7%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 01:11
Bet365Currentunder 4.51.83Model chance53.9%EV-1.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 13:29
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.83Current model chance53.9%Current EV−1.3%margin9.1%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 13:29
BetliveCurrentunder 4.51.85Model chance53.9%EV-0.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 23:41
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.65Current model chance19.3%Current EV−10.2%margin12.4%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:41
- under 3.5odds2.65Current model chance35.9%Current EV−4.7%margin11.8%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:41
- under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.85Current model chance53.9%Current EV−0.3%margin11.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:41
- under 5.5odds1.41Current model chance69.8%Current EV−1.6%margin11.7%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:41
- under 6.5odds1.18Current model chance81.9%Current EV−3.4%margin12.1%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 23:41
CrocobetCurrentunder 4.51.85Model chance53.9%EV-0.3%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 07:13
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.75Current model chance19.3%Current EV−8.3%margin12.0%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 06:47
- under 3.5odds2.75Current model chance35.9%Current EV−1.1%margin11.6%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 07:13
- under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.85Current model chance53.9%Current EV−0.3%margin11.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 07:13
- under 5.5odds1.40Current model chance69.8%Current EV−2.3%margin12.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 07:13
- under 6.5odds1.18Current model chance81.9%Current EV−3.4%margin11.8%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 07:13
KambiCurrentunder 4.51.82Model chance53.9%EV-2.0%
Current bookmaker linesas of 14 Oct, 02:20
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds4.00Current model chance19.3%Current EV−22.8%margin9.7%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 02:20
- under 3.5odds2.55Current model chance35.9%Current EV−8.3%margin8.7%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 02:20
- under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.82Current model chance53.9%Current EV−2.0%margin8.7%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 02:20
- under 5.5odds1.44Current model chance69.8%Current EV+0.5%margin8.7%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 02:20
- under 6.5odds1.24Current model chance81.9%Current EV+1.5%margin9.2%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 02:20
- under 7.5odds1.12Current model chance90.0%Current EV+0.8%margin9.3%Validated estimateCaptured 14 Oct, 02:20
LiderbetCurrentunder 4.51.80Model chance53.9%EV-3.0%
Current bookmaker linesas of 13 Oct, 15:55
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- under 2.5odds5.00Current model chance19.3%Current EV−3.4%margin12.6%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 15:55
- under 3.5odds2.70Current model chance35.9%Current EV−2.9%margin12.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 15:55
- under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.80Current model chance53.9%Current EV−3.0%margin12.7%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 15:55
- under 5.5odds1.40Current model chance69.8%Current EV−2.3%margin12.2%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 15:55
- under 6.5odds1.16Current model chance81.9%Current EV−5.0%margin12.5%Validated estimateCaptured 13 Oct, 15:55
SuperbetCurrentunder 4.51.83Model chance53.9%EV-1.4%
Current bookmaker linesas of 12 Oct, 13:01
Other lines at this bookmaker, using current model values. These options do not add bets to the results.
lineoddsCurrent model chanceCurrent EVmarginevidence / captured
- under 0.5odds24.00Current model chance1.5%Current EV−64.1%margin3.7%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 1.5odds8.20Current model chance7.4%Current EV−39.5%margin6.5%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 2.5odds4.20Current model chance19.3%Current EV−18.9%margin7.1%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 3.5odds2.57Current model chance35.9%Current EV−7.6%margin6.9%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 4.5same line and oddsodds1.83Current model chance53.9%Current EV−1.4%margin7.3%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 5.5odds1.45Current model chance69.8%Current EV+1.2%margin7.1%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 6.5odds1.24Current model chance81.9%Current EV+1.5%margin7.3%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 7.5odds1.13Current model chance90.0%Current EV+1.7%margin6.7%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- under 8.5odds1.06Current model chance94.8%Current EV+0.5%margin6.7%Validated estimateCaptured 11 Oct, 18:20
- under 9.5odds1.02Current model chance97.5%Current EV−0.5%margin5.7%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01
- under 10.5odds1.01Current model chance98.9%Current EV−0.2%margin4.1%Validated estimateCaptured 12 Oct, 13:01

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:30: under 4.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 01:12. The original pick remains in the results.

2 additional VIP picks on this match.Unlock VIP details

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

No settled results yet. 0 active suggestions across 1 listed match.

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions League Home teamShakhtar Donetsk Away teamAEK Athens RefereeChris Kavanagh