SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga

BundesligaBundesliga 26/27

SC Paderborn 07

0–2

HT 0–1

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 10 Oct··Matchday 5·Home Deluxe Arena·VfB Stuttgart won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 7Corners5
  • 1Cards0
  • 24Shots18
  • 6Shots on target8
  • 10Fouls11
  • 19Throw-ins15
  • 1Offsides1
  • 5Goal kicks9
  • 5Saves4
  • 24Tackles20
  • 14Interceptions9
  • 11Dribbles8
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available8Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
SC Paderborn 07vVfB StuttgartBundesliga7 won / 2 lost · +5.70u · 9 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.05
Odds up+0.05
Model chance at recommendation
53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.89
Expected value at recommendation
+6.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.05
    Odds up+0.05
    Model chance53.1%EV+6.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 0.5odds15.00Closing chance estimate3.3%Closing EV estimate−50.5%margin—Unmeasured estimate
    • under 1.5odds6.10Closing chance estimate14.6%Closing EV estimate−11.1%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds3.20Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate+8.1%margin9.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+14.0%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+11.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.23Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate+6.9%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 6.5odds1.09Closing chance estimate94.1%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin10.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 7.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.7%Closing EV estimate−0.4%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.6%EV+1.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+1.9%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate14.6%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:03

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate14.6%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.34Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate−0.5%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.6%EV-2.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 2.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−10.5%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate−2.7%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.36Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+0.9%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:33

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 1.5odds5.00Closing chance estimate14.6%Closing EV estimate−27.2%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 2.5odds2.75Closing chance estimate33.8%Closing EV estimate−7.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 3.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.6%Closing EV estimate+0.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.2%Closing EV estimate+0.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 5.5odds1.14Closing chance estimate86.9%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.93
Closing odds1.85
Odds down−0.08
Model chance at recommendation
52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+1.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.93
    Closing odds1.85
    Odds down−0.08
    Model chance52.4%EV+1.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.15Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−4.7%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.60Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.90Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.6%Unmeasured estimate
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.1%EV-2.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 09:25

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.83Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−2.6%margin9.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.1%EV-1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.43Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−1.3%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin12.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.55Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate−7.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.1%EV-1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 08:01

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.18Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate−3.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.70Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate−8.7%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.84
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.1%EV-2.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 3.5odds1.21Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+0.3%margin10.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.84Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−2.2%margin9.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.43Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin9.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.25Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate−19.8%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds4.50Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate−32.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.1%EV-1.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 8 Oct, 04:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 0.5odds1.00Closing chance estimate99.7%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin2.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 1.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate97.8%Closing EV estimate−0.3%margin4.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 2.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate92.6%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin7.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 3.5odds1.22Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+1.1%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 4.5odds1.46Closing chance estimate69.1%Closing EV estimate+0.8%margin7.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate53.1%Closing EV estimate−1.7%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds2.42Closing chance estimate37.7%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin7.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds3.35Closing chance estimate24.7%Closing EV estimate−17.4%margin6.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds4.70Closing chance estimate14.9%Closing EV estimate−29.8%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds6.70Closing chance estimate8.4%Closing EV estimate−43.6%margin6.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds9.70Closing chance estimate4.4%Closing EV estimate−57.0%margin6.5%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 16:11: over 5.5 at 1.93 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 16:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 20.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds2.12
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+8.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +8.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 20.5
    At recommendation2.12
    Closing odds2.12
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.0%EV+8.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.12Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate+6.8%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.0%EV-10.7%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 17.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds2.05Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−12.4%margin13.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.75Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−10.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.26Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate−7.2%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.0%EV-8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 17.5odds3.30Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−11.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds2.65Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−8.4%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate−5.4%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate−6.5%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance51.0%EV-8.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 17.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate27.0%Closing EV estimate−19.1%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 18.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate34.6%Closing EV estimate−15.3%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 19.5odds2.10Closing chance estimate42.7%Closing EV estimate−10.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 20.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate51.0%Closing EV estimate−8.1%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 21.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate59.2%Closing EV estimate−8.3%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 22.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate66.8%Closing EV estimate−7.9%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 23.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate73.6%Closing EV estimate−8.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 06:36: under 20.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · SC Paderborn 07 total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 10+1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
52.9%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+5.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds2.00
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.9%EV+5.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate+10.0%margin10.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.71Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.0%EV-1.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.48Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−1.9%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.0%EV-1.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate31.0%Closing EV estimate−3.8%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−0.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 12.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate76.0%Closing EV estimate−2.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.0%EV-1.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 9.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate42.9%Closing EV estimate−5.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate55.0%Closing EV estimate−1.0%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 11.5odds1.45Closing chance estimate66.3%Closing EV estimate−3.9%margin13.4%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:34: under 10.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 07:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · SC Paderborn 07 total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 5+0.90u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds1.90
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
58.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.72
Expected value at recommendation
+11.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +11.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • BetliveAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.85
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.5%EV+6.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate56.7%Closing EV estimate+4.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance57.5%EV+9.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.45Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+4.7%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.7%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds1.90
    Unchanged
    Model chance58.4%EV+11.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 7.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate42.8%Closing EV estimate+2.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 8.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate56.7%Closing EV estimate+7.7%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • under 9.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate69.3%Closing EV estimate+4.0%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationunder 8.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds1.72
    Odds down−0.11
    Model chance57.5%EV+5.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • under 8.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate56.7%Closing EV estimate−2.5%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:36: under 8.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 9+1.40u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds2.40
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
62.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.61
Expected value at recommendation
+49.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +49.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.40
    Closing odds2.40
    Unchanged
    Model chance62.3%EV+49.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+22.6%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+34.7%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+52.6%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.6%EV+52.6%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.38Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+20.8%margin11.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+34.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.40Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+52.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.6%EV+46.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 4.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate87.5%Closing EV estimate+18.2%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 5.5odds1.75Closing chance estimate77.0%Closing EV estimate+34.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+46.3%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance63.6%EV+14.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 05:38

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.80Closing chance estimate63.6%Closing EV estimate+14.5%margin7.6%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:36: over 6.5 at 2.40 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 04:26. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · SC Paderborn 07 total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 24+0.85u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds1.76
Odds down−0.09
Model chance at recommendation
59.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+9.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +9.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.1%EV+12.9%
  • BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.1%EV+8.2%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+20.5%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.85Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+20.5%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds1.76
    Odds down−0.09
    Model chance59.1%EV+9.4%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 11.5odds1.76Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+14.6%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.20Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+20.7%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+23.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+31.7%margin13.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.74
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+13.3%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.17Closing chance estimate89.3%Closing EV estimate+4.5%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.32Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+9.4%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+12.0%margin8.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.74Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+13.3%margin8.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.07Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+13.6%margin7.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds2.47Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+10.1%margin9.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate34.9%Closing EV estimate+4.8%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance65.1%EV+23.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 9.5odds1.33Closing chance estimate82.9%Closing EV estimate+10.2%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate74.7%Closing EV estimate+15.7%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.90Closing chance estimate65.1%Closing EV estimate+23.8%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds2.30Closing chance estimate54.9%Closing EV estimate+26.2%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate44.6%Closing EV estimate+38.2%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 04:36: over 11.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 8 Oct, 17:58. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 14+1.35u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds2.35
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.96
Expected value at recommendation
+20.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +20.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds2.35
    Unchanged
    Model chance51.1%EV+20.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.28Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+9.1%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.35Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+25.6%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.05Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+26.9%margin12.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds2.17
    Odds up+0.12
    Model chance51.1%EV+4.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 06:37

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 5.5odds1.02Closing chance estimate96.1%Closing EV estimate−2.0%margin10.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 6.5odds1.08Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate−0.8%margin11.6%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.20Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+2.3%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.40Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+6.7%margin9.9%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.72Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate+12.4%margin8.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5odds2.17Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+16.0%margin9.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.80Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+16.5%margin10.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.75Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+15.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 13.5odds5.10Closing chance estimate21.6%Closing EV estimate+10.4%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds6.30Closing chance estimate14.5%Closing EV estimate−8.8%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+22.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 7.5odds1.25Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+6.5%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.85Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate+20.9%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.10Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+29.0%margin12.3%Unmeasured estimate
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV-0.1%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:43

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 8.5odds1.30Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate−0.9%margin11.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.53Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate−0.0%margin11.2%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds1.87Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate−0.1%margin11.3%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds2.40Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate−0.2%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds3.55Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+9.3%margin11.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+22.9%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 6.5odds1.12Closing chance estimate91.8%Closing EV estimate+2.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 7.5odds1.27Closing chance estimate85.2%Closing EV estimate+8.2%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 8.5odds1.50Closing chance estimate76.2%Closing EV estimate+14.4%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 9.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate65.4%Closing EV estimate+17.6%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 10.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.30Closing chance estimate53.4%Closing EV estimate+22.9%margin12.4%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 11.5odds3.00Closing chance estimate41.6%Closing EV estimate+24.8%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 12.5odds4.25Closing chance estimate30.8%Closing EV estimate+30.8%margin12.0%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 02:51: over 10.5 at 2.35 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 06:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · SC Paderborn 07 total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 19+1.20u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds2.20
Unchanged
Model chance at recommendation
50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+10.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +10.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds2.20
    Unchanged
    Model chance50.4%EV+10.8%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 9 Oct, 14:35

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin12.7%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.20Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+5.6%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.0%EV+3.2%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 02:31

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 13.5odds1.35Closing chance estimate74.5%Closing EV estimate+0.6%margin11.8%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 14.5odds1.55Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+2.5%margin12.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.15Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate+3.2%margin13.2%Unmeasured estimate
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.0%EV-4.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 01:34

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 14.5odds1.60Closing chance estimate66.1%Closing EV estimate+5.8%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 15.5odds1.80Closing chance estimate57.2%Closing EV estimate+2.9%margin11.1%Unmeasured estimate
    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.00Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−4.0%margin12.5%Unmeasured estimate
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance48.0%EV-3.0%
    Last captured before kickoffas of 10 Oct, 04:39

    Closing estimates are a separate historical comparison and can differ from the model at recommendation. Results use the recorded pick.

    • over 16.5same line and odds · separate model estimateodds2.02Closing chance estimate48.0%Closing EV estimate−3.0%margin8.7%Unmeasured estimate
Recommendation record

Recorded 9 Oct, 03:36: over 16.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 03:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+63.3%ROI · 9 units staked
Profit+5.70units
W / L7 / 2picks
Avg odds2.08settled picks
Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBundesligaHome teamSC Paderborn 07Away teamVfB StuttgartRefereeFelix Zwayer

Previous meetings

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